dendrite Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: No rain . No surprise . Convective not synoptic This has been a truly warm spring. Best since 2012. Can anyone let us know if Pope drops in here today. I’ll let him know the temps in the warm sector in CT He’s visiting Tolland today. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 1 minute ago, kdxken said: Not much around here. The less rain the better. Kind of surprising that April has been above normal (BOX) for rain with all the drought talk. Just a trace here. Going to be a nice day I hope 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: No rain . No surprise . Convective not synoptic This has been a truly warm spring. Best since 2012. Can anyone let us know if Pope drops in here today. I’ll let him know the temps in the warm sector in CT 15th best we showed you the stats but you don't care. Anecdotal Kev 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: No rain . No surprise . Convective not synoptic This has been a truly warm spring. Best since 2012. Can anyone let us know if Pope drops in here today. I’ll let him know the temps in the warm sector in CT Kevin in Troll-land: Sunday: “Days and days of high dews and heat incoming folks.” Monday: “85F on Wednesday” Tuesday: “80F on Wednesday” Wednesday: “Warm sector today” Getting there buddy... ...And the rest of the week Kevin? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 17 minutes ago, dendrite said: He’s visiting Tolland today. It’ll be interesting to see if he acknowledges his errors or disappears like the snowstorm forecast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 15th best we showed you the stats but you don't care. Anecdotal Kev I said best since 2012 correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: No rain . No surprise . Convective not synoptic This has been a truly warm spring. Best since 2012. Can anyone let us know if Pope drops in here today. I’ll let him know the temps in the warm sector in CT A disturbance riding along a warm front isn't synoptic? Okey dokey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I said best since 2012 correct? Incorrect 16 was much warmer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’ll be interesting to see if he acknowledges his errors or disappears like the snowstorm forecast Coming from zero-accountability, zero-credibility guy. At least we can zero in on on a few terrible forecasts from me. And you? Where do we start.? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 Surprised SPC unenthused with severe risk in Eastern PA, Southwest CT, down to NYC, NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 Where’s @weatherwiz This looks like a good one for him— for a short trip, that is... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 Just under .2” here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 .18" overnight and a couple very loud cracks of thunder at 3:00 that freaked out the dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, butterfish55 said: .18" overnight and a couple very loud cracks of thunder at 3:00 that freaked out the dog. No sh1t. I got up at 3am and walked downstairs because I kept hearing rumbling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 41 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Kevin in Troll-land: Sunday: “Days and days of high dews and heat incoming folks.” Monday: “85F on Wednesday” Tuesday: “80F on Wednesday” Wednesday: “Warm sector today” Getting there buddy... ...And the rest of the week Kevin? "Kevin in Troll-land: " LOLZ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 17 minutes ago, kdxken said: "Kevin in Troll-land: " LOLZ He’s had a tough year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 50 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Coming from zero-accountability, zero-credibility guy. At least we can zero in on on a few terrible forecasts from me. And you? Where do we start.? Hey man..can you go back and give a write up of what went wrong in your thought process/ forecast for the big snowstorm where you had no snow for HFD to BOS on north? It would be a great learning experience for you I believe.. and would help us to see what happened. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 Some violence on the HRRR today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 0.25” so far... Definitely the cool mornings have made things feel BN for me, but it’s only April so could still go either way.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 9 hours ago, Bostonseminole said: This spring so far has not felt warm at all.. I’m surprised it’s top 15 if that is correct. . Higher mins, that’s all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 Let's see if we can get Stein'd through Fri. Frcst is for 0.5-1.0". Doubting that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 1 hour ago, butterfish55 said: .18" overnight and a couple very loud cracks of thunder at 3:00 that freaked out the dog. Same here. Nothing too impressive on radar but good for a couple house shakers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 So it looks like many of us avoid 80 this month which despite it being milder....no real 80F days. I suppose today 80 could occur further down in SW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 58 here now...I think if the sun stays out long enough..we can make a run at 80. But if it clouds up early, then no way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: So it looks like many of us avoid 80 this month which despite it being milder....no real 80F days. I suppose today 80 could occur further down in SW CT. LCI had an 80°. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 The cold front will usher in a much cooler air mass. In fact, any lingering showers late Fri night into early Sat morning could transition into snow showers, particularly over the high terrain. Available global and ensemble guidance has trended colder, with 850mb temperatures between -2 to -4C late Fri night into Sat. In fact, this is around the 10th percentile for 850mb temperatures for our area according to NAEFS Ensemble Situational Awareness Table. The other aspect for Friday into Friday night will be the gusty northwest winds behind the cold front. With steepening mid to low level lapse rates thanks to a -25C cold pool at 500mb, expect strong winds to mix down to the surface. Wind headlines may eventually be needed for at least parts of the region, particularly the higher elevation for gusts above 40 kt. Overall, May could come in like a lion, with blustery conditions and possibly flakes in the forecast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 LOL a lion. A few flakes above 1K Friday night and low 60s Saturday. Roar!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 ridge building in. And thanks to deep mixing and higher sun angle for early May, temperatures should rebound pretty quickly to just a tad below seasonal levels (low to mid 60s for early May). Not bad considering the brief shot of late winter chill! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 Sat loop suggests we clear even in the E ...~ S of a EEN-ASH type axis. But I suspect with high hot sun boiling the llv moisture left in place, and some modest positive shear in the area...if that band between the Pike and Rt 2 does get appreciable solar skies may destruct in convection ... In fact, that may be the case anywhere the sun cleaves through or continues to shine. Regional LIs are -2 or -3 ...and the sounding isn't really capped. Triggers may be lacking ... I'm noticing that even tho band between the decaying mid level deck in C-NE and the area N of NYC resides on the cool side of the warm/stationary front, the wind is light and not showing a lot of impetus in moving from E to W. Typical BD mechanics are not really part of this. Modest positive anomalies at 850s lurk well N ...indicating this air mass is shallow under an oblique warm frontal slope. -marine contamination within shore hauls of the eastern coast ..10 clicks inland maybe. There really isn't very much higher surface pressure N of Maine doing the more typical damming and BD chilly low level jet. That changes the map a little on whether those CT zones can warm up significantly ... and it may also allow of more sfc heating realization between the Pike and Rt 2 as well. Logan may be 54 F while it's 64 F as near as protected nooks up Arlington Heights, ...and 74 out near FIT... 84 at HFD/BDL *IF* the present sat trends hold. Obviously more convective sequencing would limit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 28, 2021 Share Posted April 28, 2021 Sunday 70s. 80+ Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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