April 2021 Discussion

[kdxken]

This is the pick of the week? I'd hate to see one of their s***** days.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, kdxken said:

This is the pick of the week? I'd hate to see one of their s***** days.

Nobody ever respects WAA cirrus. Respect the clouds.

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Nobody ever respects WAA cirrus. Respect the clouds.

Glad we here. 

[Damage In Tolland]

16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Nobody ever respects WAA cirrus. Respect the clouds.

Guy complains incessantly. Every post . Too much wind, too much cirrus, too much rain. Like a crabby old man 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Guy complains incessantly. Every post . Too much wind, too much cirrus, too much rain. Like a crabby old man 

I'm with him. These clouds are annoying. We bitch.

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I'm with him. These clouds are annoying. We bitch.

That’s what happens when folks use NWS for their weather forecasts 

[Damage In Tolland]

Severe threat Thursday?

 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s what happens when folks use NWS for their weather forecasts 

So the KFS caught this?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Severe threat Thursday?

 

That would be tomorrow. Guidance is all over though.

[kdxken]

19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Guy complains incessantly. Every post . Too much wind, too much cirrus, too much rain. Like a crabby old man 

Pick this...

[Ginx snewx]

It was snowing in NWCT this morning , best spring evah?

[Ginx snewx]

5 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

No one ever said anything like that. You do not live in a warm climate there on the water in E MA. Even in the summer how many days are ruined there by the North Atlantic ? Fortunately we live inland away from it and are looking at a warm week. Enjoy friend!

a warm/quasi-stationary front that is
expected to be draped somewhere across our CWA. This is rather
typical of late April in Southern New England, where the CT
valley tends to be located in the warm sector while coastal
areas are cooler thanks to onshore flow. 

 

11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s what happens when folks use NWS for their weather forecasts 

 

[kdxken]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

So the KFS caught this?

Kfs was for all out summer this week. What's the temp out in the far West anyway?

[Typhoon Tip]

42 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Nobody ever respects WAA cirrus. Respect the clouds.

Looping the hi res vis ...the cloud production is clearly elevation caused - these have an obvious orographic forcing aspect to them.  It seems perhaps the low level resolution/ topographical featuring is the reason for the error/bust by models ... we have a WNW flow bumping over the elevations blah blah.  Even the NAM's meshing missed this effect:  https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

[Typhoon Tip]

If that convection doesn't form like the NAM has for overnight ... as I annotated above ... it may bust the other direction tomorrow - long shot.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Looping the hi res vis ...the cloud production is clearly elevation caused - these have an obvious orographic forcing aspect to them.  It seems perhaps the low level resolution/ topographical featuring is the reason for the error/bust by models ... we have a WNW flow bumping over the elevations blah blah.  Even the NAM's meshing missed this effect:  https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

Yeah some wave function there, but classic ring around the ridge cirrus ruining beach days in the summer type stuff. 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

 

Did you see me whining and complaining? I make my own forecasts 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Did you see me whining and complaining? I make my own forecasts 

You quote NWS every day or Ryan or Stein, Fisher. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

You quote NWS every day or Ryan. 

Can I ask something? Why do you argue everything with everyone? It’s always about starting some type of disagreement and that you know more than the person , whomever it happens to be that day. 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah some wave function there, but classic ring around the ridge cirrus ruining beach days in the summer type stuff. 

Lol... I almost want to split my residency between ...  any-f'um-where-else but here from mid April until late October, then return for winter. 

I bet if you took our specific location and compared it to every other point around the hemisphere at this latitude, we would find that this shit only happens here

[Typhoon Tip]

It's comical ... we get a bust to keep it cold today ... and tomorrow, the NAM will be right!

thus... we always "GET" to be cold - yay!  just what we wanted - lol

[cut]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Lol... I almost want to split my residency between ...  any-f'um-where-else but here from mid April until late October, then return for winter. 

I bet if you took our specific location and compared it to every other point around the hemisphere at this latitude, we would find that this shit only happens here

Where are you located?

[Typhoon Tip]

Even down in north -central PA it's doing this... You can see a stationary cloud production axis and the resulting saturated ceiling layer is a shit streak blotting out the sky over NYC some 150 miles away

[dendrite]

Good day for me to troll. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Suns coming out here. Looks like a Jim Dandy of an afternoon . Friendly’s for all!

[tamarack]

15 hours ago, dendrite said:

This month would’ve fit climo better if you flipped it completely around.

1-15 here averaged 44° and +7.  Since then it's run 42° and -1.

[Typhoon Tip]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Suns coming has more chance of coming out here perhaps mid afternoon. Looks like a Jim Dandy of an late afternoon 

 

[tamarack]

13 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

15th warmest 26th driest so no, that and your 7 inches of snowfall in mid April lol. Today overall sucked wxwise. 

The 7-day average max on that forecast is 69.7.  My average here for those days is 59.1 and I'd guess BDL's is 65+, so nicely AN but nothing out of the ordinary.

[tamarack]

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Srn Maine? Nah, no real of rhea there on July 4th. Bigger issue is more downeast maine on humid days.

Right.  At the state parks in S. Maine - Reid, Popham, Crescent Beach - 7/4 might be 75 and clear while it's a sticky 88 and hazy 20 miles to the west.  Of course there's the occasional summertime stratiform mess but that's miserable for all.  Despite a late opening and travel restrictions due to COVID last year, Maine parks crushed the previous record for attendance, including the ones on those beachfront ones.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, tamarack said:

Right.  At the state parks in S. Maine - Reid, Popham, Crescent Beach - 7/4 might be 75 and clear while it's a sticky 88 and hazy 20 miles to the west.  Of course there's the occasional summertime stratiform mess but that's miserable for all.  Despite a late opening and travel restrictions due to COVID last year, Maine parks crushed the previous record for attendance, including the ones on those beachfront ones.

I love Maine. And when I went up to Bar Harbor in June 2015 it was beautiful.