TalcottWx Posted April 29, 2021 Share Posted April 29, 2021 Love this rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 29, 2021 Share Posted April 29, 2021 41 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said: Just when I thought I was done, the models (18z HRRR shown) offer up some considerable flakeage here tomorrow night. A potent inverted trough rotating in from the N, along with a strong cross barrier flow and a veering wind profile (W at surface to NE aloft) could result in some significant upslope rippage along the spine of the Greens. I suspect it'll be rain here before going to non-accumulating snow and then to sticking snow that yields up to 2-3" of accumulation on grassy surfaces as the temperatures drop. The summits of Mt. Snow and Stratton could walk away with 6-10" if trends hold. West wind at surface under a NE wind aloft will crush the west side of the crest. That’s a classic highly blocked flow... @backedgeapproaching might be white tomorrow morning too? I’d be surprised if that wind profile allows for enough propagation eastward to Mt Snow and Stratton? Isn’t the spine down there more like Woodford? Guess I’ll have to look at the sounding, but it’ll depend how far up in the atmosphere you go until that west wind backs NE... because it’s hard to get the upslope band to work west when fighting NE flow above it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 29, 2021 Share Posted April 29, 2021 4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Not synoptic? I was thinking the same thing today. Ya he’s struggling big time...pushes his dry agenda at the expense of any type of accuracy. You hate to see it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 29, 2021 Share Posted April 29, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 29, 2021 Share Posted April 29, 2021 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: Had to go to Haverhill for my second shot. Nice stripe of rain right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 29, 2021 Share Posted April 29, 2021 Radar would suggest it hasn't rained much since initially started, but it's been a steady rain all day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 29, 2021 Share Posted April 29, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: I was thinking the same thing today. Ya he’s struggling big time...pushes his dry agenda at the expense of any type of accuracy. You hate to see it. Kevin said Wednesday being convective...he wasn't talking about today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 29, 2021 Share Posted April 29, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: I was thinking the same thing today. Ya he’s struggling big time...pushes his dry agenda at the expense of any type of accuracy. You hate to see it. No one was discussing Thursday . It was the convection that missed . BTW.. how much total rain have you had this week after Sunday? Asking for a friend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 29, 2021 Share Posted April 29, 2021 10 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Kevin said Wednesday being convective...he wasn't talking about today He has no clue what’s going on here. Drops in for 3 minutes twice a week and thinks he understands what happened. The convection discussion was thru Wednesday night 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 29, 2021 Share Posted April 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He has no clue what’s going on here. Drops in for 3 minutes twice a week and thinks he understands what happened. The convection discussion was thru Wednesday night You don’t need to be here all day, Like you are, to know what’s going on. You, obviously never really know what’s going on..period. All you do is push BS constantly. Besides Wiz, We all know what you’ve been saying all week. Arguing with Ginx about convection vs synoptic. now you’re back pedaling as usual...we know your game. Same ol same ol. .4 here today and it was all synoptic. Plenty wet and rainy today. You can twist all you want. No drought. No dryness here... Go find Stein and have an IPA together. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted April 29, 2021 Share Posted April 29, 2021 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: West wind at surface under a NE wind aloft will crush the west side of the crest. That’s a classic highly blocked flow... @backedgeapproaching might be white tomorrow morning too? I’d be surprised if that wind profile allows for enough propagation eastward to Mt Snow and Stratton? Isn’t the spine down there more like Woodford? Guess I’ll have to look at the sounding, but it’ll depend how far up in the atmosphere you go until that west wind backs NE... because it’s hard to get the upslope band to work west when fighting NE flow above it. It doesn't go NE until above 500 mb and low level winds are robust, so I suspect blocking will be minimal. NAM has a pronounced inversion near 850 mb (HRRR a bit less so), which is above mountain top level so I expect snow will make it over the spine a bit with the heaviest near the crest. Typically an inversion near or below 900 mb will result in a more blocked flow whereas unblocked flow will have a higher inversion or none at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 29, 2021 Share Posted April 29, 2021 15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: You don’t need to be here all day, Like you are, to know what’s going on. You, obviously never really know what’s going on..period. All you do is push BS constantly. Besides Wiz, We all know what you’ve been saying all week. Arguing with Ginx about convection vs synoptic. now you’re back pedaling as usual...we know your game. Same ol same ol. .4 here today and it was all synoptic. Plenty wet and rainy today. You can twist all you want. No drought. No dryness here... Go find Stein and have an IPA together. I just looked at 6 stations in Southington. You absolutely 100% did not have .40 of rain today since midnight. That is a downright lie . I see .10-.22 there . Stop the BS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 29, 2021 Share Posted April 29, 2021 On 4/27/2021 at 6:09 AM, Damage In Tolland said: This is gonna be nice. Installs!!! Did you install? lolz... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 14 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: You don’t need to be here all day, Like you are, to know what’s going on. You, obviously never really know what’s going on..period. All you do is push BS constantly. Besides Wiz, We all know what you’ve been saying all week. Arguing with Ginx about convection vs synoptic. now you’re back pedaling as usual...we know your game. Same ol same ol. .4 here today and it was all synoptic. Plenty wet and rainy today. You can twist all you want. No drought. No dryness here... Go find Stein and have an IPA together. That was about WEDNESDAY...not Thursday. Kevin absolutely said nothing about today being convective. People need to go back and re-read the exchange and convo about that...it's 10000% obvious he was talking about Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: West wind at surface under a NE wind aloft will crush the west side of the crest. That’s a classic highly blocked flow... @backedgeapproaching might be white tomorrow morning too? I’d be surprised if that wind profile allows for enough propagation eastward to Mt Snow and Stratton? Isn’t the spine down there more like Woodford? Guess I’ll have to look at the sounding, but it’ll depend how far up in the atmosphere you go until that west wind backs NE... because it’s hard to get the upslope band to work west when fighting NE flow above it. Subcritical flow is not good normally for Stratton and Mt Snow. If its' really blocked the Taconics can trap the heavier stuff up by me and even Washington County NY can score a few inches and even block the good stuff from me on the Green's western slope. We aren't usually totally shut out even really blocked flow, but can limit maxing out on accum. Woodford normally is OK in any flow, the Taconics open up down by Bennington and the elevations are lower just to the north so the precip can bank up into there. Been a few times where Bennington itself has had more than up by me in Manchester when really blocked. I see Mitch just chimed in with some sounding stuff, so looks like it may make it to Stratton and even Mt Snow possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 hmmm actually I think I stand corrected...the model maps posted were valid through Friday/Saturday and the discussion went from there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 1.73” so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Supernovice Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 Stein-ing my way to 2+ inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: That was about WEDNESDAY...not Thursday. Kevin absolutely said nothing about today being convective. People need to go back and re-read the exchange and convo about that...it's 10000% obvious he was talking about Wednesday. He was arguing about a totals map through Saturday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 All 6 states néed rain as we hit summer season May 1. Everyone is running a deficit. We’ll see what the convection does the next 36 hours. See if Jerry’s and Ginx’s 1-3+ works out for everyone. It could if the storms hit . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, kdxken said: He was arguing about a totals map through Saturday. No it wasn’t. I was specifically talking about the convective portion which was only thru Wednesday. Now, if you want to say that and change what the original conversation was about then ok.. include today’s synoptic rain.. post map prognosis in CT and verification Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 ahhh this is it...I thought I saw something where he defined what he was talking about...can I stand corrected for standing corrected? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: ahhh this is it...I thought I saw something where he defined what he was talking about...can I stand corrected for standing corrected? You were correct in your other posts. It was with the convective potential only. I wasn’t looking at anything past that . 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: You were correct in your other posts. It was with the convective potential only. I wasn’t looking at anything past that . Of course not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 23 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: All 6 states néed rain as we hit summer season May 1. Everyone is running a deficit. We’ll see what the convection does the next 36 hours. See if Jerry’s and Ginx’s 1-3+ works out for everyone. It could if the storms hit Convection didn't do much but synoptic is laying it down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, kdxken said: Convection didn't do much but synoptic is laying it down. We synoptic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 What a drenching and quenching rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 .26 here. Glad the areas north of 90 got the goods. Models abysmal again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: .26 here. Glad the areas north of 90 got the goods. Models abysmal again What model said you were going to get more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted April 30, 2021 Share Posted April 30, 2021 .03” brutal wiff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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