April 2021 Discussion

[kdxken]

This is the pick of the week? I'd hate to see one of their s***** days.

[CoastalWx]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:04 PM, kdxken said:

This is the pick of the week? I'd hate to see one of their s***** days.

Expand  

Nobody ever respects WAA cirrus. Respect the clouds.

[dendrite]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:08 PM, CoastalWx said:

Nobody ever respects WAA cirrus. Respect the clouds.

Expand  

Glad we here. 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:08 PM, CoastalWx said:

Nobody ever respects WAA cirrus. Respect the clouds.

Expand  

Guy complains incessantly. Every post . Too much wind, too much cirrus, too much rain. Like a crabby old man 

[CoastalWx]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:27 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Guy complains incessantly. Every post . Too much wind, too much cirrus, too much rain. Like a crabby old man 

Expand  

I'm with him. These clouds are annoying. We bitch.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:32 PM, CoastalWx said:

I'm with him. These clouds are annoying. We bitch.

Expand  

That’s what happens when folks use NWS for their weather forecasts 

[Damage In Tolland]

Severe threat Thursday?

 

[CoastalWx]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:37 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s what happens when folks use NWS for their weather forecasts 

Expand  

So the KFS caught this?

[CoastalWx]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:39 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Severe threat Thursday?

 

Expand  

That would be tomorrow. Guidance is all over though.

[kdxken]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:27 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Guy complains incessantly. Every post . Too much wind, too much cirrus, too much rain. Like a crabby old man 

Expand  

Pick this...

[Ginx snewx]

It was snowing in NWCT this morning , best spring evah?

[Ginx snewx]

  On 4/27/2021 at 9:47 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

No one ever said anything like that. You do not live in a warm climate there on the water in E MA. Even in the summer how many days are ruined there by the North Atlantic ? Fortunately we live inland away from it and are looking at a warm week. Enjoy friend!

a warm/quasi-stationary front that is
expected to be draped somewhere across our CWA. This is rather
typical of late April in Southern New England, where the CT
valley tends to be located in the warm sector while coastal
areas are cooler thanks to onshore flow. 

Expand  

 

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:37 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s what happens when folks use NWS for their weather forecasts 

Expand  

 

[kdxken]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:40 PM, CoastalWx said:

So the KFS caught this?

Expand  

Kfs was for all out summer this week. What's the temp out in the far West anyway?

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:08 PM, CoastalWx said:

Nobody ever respects WAA cirrus. Respect the clouds.

Expand  

Looping the hi res vis ...the cloud production is clearly elevation caused - these have an obvious orographic forcing aspect to them.  It seems perhaps the low level resolution/ topographical featuring is the reason for the error/bust by models ... we have a WNW flow bumping over the elevations blah blah.  Even the NAM's meshing missed this effect:  https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

[Typhoon Tip]

If that convection doesn't form like the NAM has for overnight ... as I annotated above ... it may bust the other direction tomorrow - long shot.

[CoastalWx]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:51 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

Looping the hi res vis ...the cloud production is clearly elevation caused - these have an obvious orographic forcing aspect to them.  It seems perhaps the low level resolution/ topographical featuring is the reason for the error/bust by models ... we have a WNW flow bumping over the elevations blah blah.  Even the NAM's meshing missed this effect:  https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

Expand  

Yeah some wave function there, but classic ring around the ridge cirrus ruining beach days in the summer type stuff. 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:49 PM, Ginx snewx said:

 

 

Expand  

Did you see me whining and complaining? I make my own forecasts 

[Ginx snewx]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:55 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Did you see me whining and complaining? I make my own forecasts 

Expand  

You quote NWS every day or Ryan or Stein, Fisher. 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:56 PM, Ginx snewx said:

You quote NWS every day or Ryan. 

Expand  

Can I ask something? Why do you argue everything with everyone? It’s always about starting some type of disagreement and that you know more than the person , whomever it happens to be that day. 

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:53 PM, CoastalWx said:

Yeah some wave function there, but classic ring around the ridge cirrus ruining beach days in the summer type stuff. 

Expand  

Lol... I almost want to split my residency between ...  any-f'um-where-else but here from mid April until late October, then return for winter. 

I bet if you took our specific location and compared it to every other point around the hemisphere at this latitude, we would find that this shit only happens here

[Typhoon Tip]

It's comical ... we get a bust to keep it cold today ... and tomorrow, the NAM will be right!

thus... we always "GET" to be cold - yay!  just what we wanted - lol

[cut]

  On 4/27/2021 at 2:58 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

Lol... I almost want to split my residency between ...  any-f'um-where-else but here from mid April until late October, then return for winter. 

I bet if you took our specific location and compared it to every other point around the hemisphere at this latitude, we would find that this shit only happens here

Expand  

Where are you located?

[Typhoon Tip]

Even down in north -central PA it's doing this... You can see a stationary cloud production axis and the resulting saturated ceiling layer is a shit streak blotting out the sky over NYC some 150 miles away

[dendrite]

Good day for me to troll. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Suns coming out here. Looks like a Jim Dandy of an afternoon . Friendly’s for all!

[tamarack]

  On 4/26/2021 at 11:44 PM, dendrite said:

This month would’ve fit climo better if you flipped it completely around.

Expand  

1-15 here averaged 44° and +7.  Since then it's run 42° and -1.

[Typhoon Tip]

  On 4/27/2021 at 3:15 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Suns coming has more chance of coming out here perhaps mid afternoon. Looks like a Jim Dandy of an late afternoon 

Expand  

 

[tamarack]

  On 4/27/2021 at 1:57 AM, Ginx snewx said:

15th warmest 26th driest so no, that and your 7 inches of snowfall in mid April lol. Today overall sucked wxwise. 

Expand  

The 7-day average max on that forecast is 69.7.  My average here for those days is 59.1 and I'd guess BDL's is 65+, so nicely AN but nothing out of the ordinary.

[tamarack]

  On 4/27/2021 at 12:02 PM, CoastalWx said:

Srn Maine? Nah, no real of rhea there on July 4th. Bigger issue is more downeast maine on humid days.

Expand  

Right.  At the state parks in S. Maine - Reid, Popham, Crescent Beach - 7/4 might be 75 and clear while it's a sticky 88 and hazy 20 miles to the west.  Of course there's the occasional summertime stratiform mess but that's miserable for all.  Despite a late opening and travel restrictions due to COVID last year, Maine parks crushed the previous record for attendance, including the ones on those beachfront ones.

[CoastalWx]

  On 4/27/2021 at 3:36 PM, tamarack said:

Right.  At the state parks in S. Maine - Reid, Popham, Crescent Beach - 7/4 might be 75 and clear while it's a sticky 88 and hazy 20 miles to the west.  Of course there's the occasional summertime stratiform mess but that's miserable for all.  Despite a late opening and travel restrictions due to COVID last year, Maine parks crushed the previous record for attendance, including the ones on those beachfront ones.

Expand  

I love Maine. And when I went up to Bar Harbor in June 2015 it was beautiful.