PhineasC Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 Glad I am in FL blasting margaritas instead of up in Randolph sweating these shifts, TBH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 Probably a US fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 6 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Glad I am in FL blasting margaritas instead of up in Randolph sweating these shifts, TBH. To late in the season to sweat anything, That shipped sailed long ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 Don’t sweat the technique Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Probably a US fail That's my gut feeling too, but can't rule out that they are correct yet. A compromise probably isn't good enough for most of us either...except maybe ORH northward at elevation. Hubbdave's area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 At least they all agree that drought talk can cease now. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 That's some decent cold coming at us on some guidance later in the month. Some areas of New England won't be done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 24 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Glad I am in FL blasting margaritas instead of up in Randolph sweating these shifts, TBH. Trust the east flow. 850mb streamlines look great for that area to maximize whatever comes. Even the RGEM that ticked a little SE, this prolonged wind flow can’t be denied in that area of NNH. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: At least they all agree that drought talk can cease now. Maybe we can get a big jump N and start sweating the dry slot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's some decent cold coming at us on some guidance later in the month. Some areas of New England won't be done. Yeah... GFS has been hinting "Sping? Ain't no Sping" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 BOX point n click for my hood: Rain showers before 2am, then snow showers. Low around 33. East wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Friday Rain and snow showers before 3pm, then snow showers likely between 3pm and 4pm, then rain and snow showers likely after 4pm. High near 38. North wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 At this point while I am almost as bullish on this stock as I am in my GME shares, I highly doubt after this storm we get another flake of snow. I honestly didn’t think we would even have a shot. I had already moved on from winter and storm tracking until I heard the local weatherman say the word “snow”, that’s when I decided to look and I liked what I saw. The low on the Canadian and Euro looks to take a track from roughly block island to right over the canal, and stalls there (euro a bit more inland, more like 10 mi se of my house). I would typically lean against big snows this time of the year since we are a month into spring, but the amount of cold air available in the upper levels, the dynamics, the amplified nature of the flow, and the strength of the low scream big storm. There’s going to likely be over 2 inches of QPF in all of Mass, with jackpots of 3+ inches. If this were even late March there would likely be winter storm warnings and blizzard watches up in all of Mass right now. While the low track isn’t perfect, it’s only like 30-40 miles too NW of ideal and is rapidly bombing out and stalling. However due to it being mid April things are more complicated with high bust potential both high and low. When I first gave my forecast, it (understandably) got a lot of flak due to my previous failed forecasts as well as it being mid April. Now it’s not looking so crazy though, especially in the elevations. My area and se we are going to need some more help, but it wouldn’t take much to get us in on the fun too (maybe 10-20 miles south with the low). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 25 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Trust the east flow. 850mb streamlines look great for that area to maximize whatever comes. Even the RGEM that ticked a little SE, this prolonged wind flow can’t be denied in that area of NNH. CNE/NNE is looking really good for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's some decent cold coming at us on some guidance later in the month. Some areas of New England won't be done. I don't buy it either... That appears to be over-wrought and almost inorganic looking so late in the season. I lean away from that 13 isohypsotic flow maelstrom of the GFS on D12 ... we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: I don't buy it either... That appears to be over-wrought and almost inorganic looking so late in the season. I lean away from that 13 isohypsotic flow maelstrom of the GFS on D12 ... we'll see I mean even the EPS has some chilly air. Anyways, I mentioned New England and not Southern New England knowing how difficult it would be...but still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 GFS even trying to pop a severe threat April 27/28 across parts of NY/PA!!!!! Of course too the day I'm scheduled for my second shot so probably can't chase ughhhhhhhhhhhhhhh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 Euro looks like it's coming in a bit SE of 06z. We'll see what happens next couple frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 Euro looks interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 One great part about this is I have COVID shot #2 tomorrow so I am planning to take Friday off. Sat Sun look like it will help melt and if it is really bad I can use my new chainsaw. Springtime at 1200" in Vermont! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 Re the cold look to end out the month ... What are the EPS indexes right now? - curious. The GEFs telecon layout have actually been correcting the cooler complexion more normalized that last couple nights. Now has neutral PNA out there, as well as this +PNA here in the foreground being less largely so. Seems the operational GFS is doing exactly what I said it always f'n does ... It starts off each run cycles with handfuls of warmth it doens't get are caused by seasonal change ( a.k.a. celestial mechanics forcing it's hand) ...then, spends the next 4-6 days worth of time intervals figuring out how to scrub the warm out of the run so that it can get back to NCEP modeler's [ apparent ...] belief that it's always November 12th every day of the year. The Euro is obscene for a different set of reasons... that - I suspect - is related to it's defaulting everything and anything it is handling at D4 and then sees it through a magnification out in time. I just don't see 504 height cores over JB on May 1 as very likely ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 Euro looks pretty similar to 00z, maybe a hair colder...which was a little SE of 06z. So it ticked back SE some, but not a lot. That's pretty interesting for ORH county though...esp N ORH county into the S NH and S VT/Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 It still has that 6” -8” spot backbent me Fanny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 Just now, ineedsnow said: how many more ticks until we get Kevin doing naked snow angels while branches snap all around? asking for a friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 9-11" over mi casa.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 southern VT through the Berkshires into NW CT going to get absolutely smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 1 minute ago, crossbowftw3 said: how many more ticks until we get Kevin doing naked snow angels while branches snap all around? asking for a friend. Need another 50 miles or so imho before it gets super interesting. Right now you’d prob forecast an inch or two of slop for anyone outside of N ORH county/Berks/SVT/S NH at elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 The noon clown wrapup for imby: GFS 19" NAM 13 NAM 3k 10 Euro 10" Oh Canada 8 Ukie 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 Not a big difference in the 12z Euro from the 06z run up here other then it did bump up qpf some from the 06z run more NE into Mid Coast ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 Decent number of clowns giving me warning levels...(maps, not you clowns)... 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now