HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 Pretty dynamic system, that’s 1-2” of paste down into Greenfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 Just wondering something.. as bad as the euro has performed over the last year plus.. why does it have to be right with this one? When was the last storm it got right? Maybe it is this time. But when it’s by itself.. it’s tough to use it anymore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just wondering something.. as bad as the euro has performed over the last year plus.. why does it have to be right with this one? When was the last storm it got right? Maybe it is this time. But when it’s by itself.. it’s tough to use it anymore It's 3 days out and all the models agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It's 3 days out and all the models agree. The Euro is all alone. Nothing like GFS/ NAM/ ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 34 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Somewhere in Seinfeld land...George is not happy yet again. Another failed 15-40” forecast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: The Euro is all alone. Nothing like GFS/ NAM/ ICON Low placement is similar. I'm not going by incorrect clown maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Low placement is similar. I'm not going by incorrect clown maps. A dynamic storm should perform more like the others than Euro solution. But maybe it’s right this time. I just find it crazy that so many buy it over and over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Low placement is similar. I'm not going by incorrect clown maps. Pretty good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 Out of the 12z suite, NAM was further SE with the upper low....GFS is a little north and the Euro is west of the GFS. They aren't huge differences but they matter for exactly where the bigger snows might fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: A dynamic storm should perform more like the others than Euro solution. But maybe it’s right this time. I just find it crazy that so many buy it over and over The GFS and NAM look too cold near the low. The real accumulation is more in the firehose. If that moves SE than yeah that will push higher totals SE too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 Euro looks ready for another one day 10. That also has some ensemble support. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 51 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Somewhere in Seinfeld land...George is not happy yet again. Another failed 15-40” forecast. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Out of the 12z suite, NAM was further SE with the upper low....GFS is a little north and the Euro is west of the GFS. They aren't huge differences but they matter for exactly where the bigger snows might fall. Welcome to marginality, huh - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 This is just a weird week ... I mean, looking at sat loops and various shit ...we are still embedded in the under carriage west motion under -NAO influence... and we're 65 to 69 with still air and sun here that feels warm really.. So what? well...it's April 13 ... when is a long fetch off the N. Atlantic while hosing out of a -NAO like normally 68 partly sunny. Yet in two days 30 F correction into stuff of dreams - ...like, really? I guess. By the way, the buds popped here... really just the last two nights. Sugar maples flushing flowerettes. These are the first canopy species to go - though some Elm too. Lawn's looking more green with some individual blades sticking up. Good time to cake 'em in damage 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro looks ready for another one day 10. That also has some ensemble support. And it has arctic cold with it lol. Warm and dry spring (envisioned by one weenie) cancelled faster than a Georgia event. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Pretty dynamic system, that’s 1-2” of paste down into Greenfield. Just give me .5". 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just give me .5". I’m not buying any of it until tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 53 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This is just a weird week ... I mean, looking at sat loops and various shit ...we are still embedded in the under carriage west motion under -NAO influence... and we're 65 to 69 with still air and sun here that feels warm really.. So what? well...it's April 13 ... when is a long fetch off the N. Atlantic while hosing out of a -NAO like normally 68 partly sunny. Yet in two days 30 F correction into stuff of dreams - ...like, really? I guess. By the way, the buds popped here... really just the last two nights. Sugar maples flushing flowerettes. These are the first canopy species to go - though some Elm too. Lawn's looking more green with some individual blades sticking up. Good time to cake 'em in damage That’s why we mentioned last week to proceed with caution on a wet cold week. We mentioned there’d be nice sunny days too. So far most places this week saw .05 or less with 60’s today and 70 tomorrow. And yes, let’s cake the bud laden and newly leafed out trees in heavy wet snow and tear down whatever we can before another beautiful sunny mild weekend . What a warm spring second only to 2012. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 BTV has not gone big: Their PM discussion is a bit more bullish: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&issuedby=BTV&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 Quote By Thursday evening, a secondary coastal low is expected to develop near the Mid-Atlantic Coast and then track northeastward into southern New England. This will cause the axis of precipitation to pivot as the coastal low deepens during the overnight hours, allowing precipitation to start advancing into northern/eastern Vermont. In addition, the heaviest precip will become concentrated along the eastern slopes of the southern and central Green Mountains. Cooling overnight temperatures paired with dynamical cooling and weak cold air advection will cause rain to transition to snow, mainly above 1000 feet. Still, broad valley locations could see a mix of rain and snow early Friday morning. Precipitation will continue throughout the day on Friday before coming to an end late Friday night/early Saturday morning. Overall, liquid precipitation totals will be close to an inch across southern Vermont, 0.50 to 0.75 inches across northern New York and central Vermont, and less than 0.50 inches across northern Vermont. Snow accumulation will be limited to locations above 1000 ft with 4 to 8 inches possible. Isolated power outages are possible within these regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 The NAM. Good lord. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 Oooo nammy A foot for inside 128 20 inches Ct What a dream evolution 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 8” of snow onto Long Island and even NYC proper gets to see some snow, really starting to cut it close for anything meaningful for all of us in the Catskills and Poconos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The NAM. Good lord. The NAM is insane...about as perfect as you could be. closes off 700 just to our south with occlusion/500 closing off just to our southeast. All of CT would be hit hard in this I would think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: The NAM is insane...about as perfect as you could be. closes off 700 just to our south with occlusion/500 closing off just to our southeast. All of CT would be hit hard in this I would think Classic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 One whopper of a snow map. Starting to look like everyone east of the river is in for one heckuva ride Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 Just look at that transport of higher theta-e air into the storm. Throwing back all that Atlantic moisture into air significantly colder...oh boy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s why we mentioned last week to proceed with caution on a wet cold week. We mentioned there’d be nice sunny days too. So far most places this week saw .05 or less with 60’s today and 70 tomorrow. And yes, let’s cake the bud laden and newly leafed out trees in heavy wet snow and tear down whatever we can before another beautiful sunny mild weekend . What a warm spring second only to 2012. Leafed out? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 Did George run that nam from his CPU 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Classic If you were to write a book about how to get pummeled in CT with snow...this would be the example lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 13, 2021 Share Posted April 13, 2021 LOL NAM. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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