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April 2021 Discussion


Torch Tiger
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  On 4/7/2021 at 9:53 PM, Spanks45 said:

From 29.7⁰ this morning to 71.8⁰ this afternoon....what a glorious day, can't they all be like this?

We could use some rain though, definitely do not want to have to worry about wells this summer.

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That’s insane. You are in a mini Bakersville there. I knew when I saw your pictures of that field and low area in between hills you’d radiate, but not to that extent. Also easy to torch too on DSD days. Unfortunately not much rain next 7 days for lawns 

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  On 4/7/2021 at 5:02 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

And I think that is unavoidable given the evolution in the total blend of the technological acumen - heh...

I mean ...that blocking node that evolves over NE QUE and the western Maritime region pretty much WILL send a BD reality check to Atlantic Georgia ...anyone with a modicum of realistic perspective would think -

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To be sure, conditions well north of the BD can be quite pleasant this time of the year, as we move into mid April. Probably stating the obvious but it’s the vicinity where these stall/meander that we all should fear and that looks like the Northern Mid Atlantic. If this was a month ago, it would be quite a different story—a classic case of “what a difference a month makes”. Monday to Wed will probably register near normal and nice by early spring standards for most; with better weather—relative to climo— north/east.

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What is absolutely insane to me, is that for the next 10 days on the 12z ECMWF the 6-hourly temperature up here at MVL (radiational/fake cooling spot) never goes below freezing.

The average low is 26F... we could spend 10 days at 32F or above on those 6 hourly plots on that run.  I'm sure some min drops below freezing but that's an impressive streak at this time of year.

The EURO 7-day departure being +10F<  up in the north is impressive.

7DayDeparture.thumb.png.c631103fb4fec4f2b2435b7511dffa6a.png

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  On 4/8/2021 at 1:29 AM, powderfreak said:

What is absolutely insane to me, is that for the next 10 days on the 12z ECMWF the 6-hourly temperature up here at MVL (radiational/fake cooling spot).

The average low is 26F... we could spend 10 days at 32F or above on those 6 hourly plots on that run.  I'm sure some min drops below freezing but that's an impressive streak at this time of year.

The EURO 7-day departure being +10F<  up in the north is impressive.

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It's our turn to burn.  The rest Of the world has for decades while we were stuck in our Atlantic Canada biome. 

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  On 4/8/2021 at 1:29 AM, powderfreak said:

What is absolutely insane to me, is that for the next 10 days on the 12z ECMWF the 6-hourly temperature up here at MVL (radiational/fake cooling spot) never goes below freezing.

The average low is 26F... we could spend 10 days at 32F or above on those 6 hourly plots on that run.  I'm sure some min drops below freezing but that's an impressive streak at this time of year.

The EURO 7-day departure being +10F<  up in the north is impressive.

7DayDeparture.thumb.png.c631103fb4fec4f2b2435b7511dffa6a.png

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Just am amazing warm, sunny, dry spring that overall looks to continue . Other than 2012. This is how you draw them up 

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Doesn’t sound bad at all. Even will be some sun at times next week. Easy to take wx

The GFS and ECMWF also show low level high pressure building
south from Maine, generating an east wind across Srn New England. If
this air is drier, it will further limit QPF amounts. Will forecast
chance-level pops, with QPF values near 0.25 inches...but that
may be overestimating. The east flow will also bring cooler air
that supports max temps in the 50s. Another sign of the cooler
air will be the dew points, which fall to around 40 Sunday
night. This and the expected clouds suggest min temps in the
40s.

Monday through Wednesday...

Clouds linger Monday as one upper low...of several...moves overhead.
Some signs weak upper ridge between the upper lows moves through
sometime Tuesday or Wednesday, but timing confidence is low. Expect
partly to mostly cloudy skies along with scattered or widely
scattered showers during this time.
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  On 4/7/2021 at 5:02 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

GGEM , EURO, ICON all Stein train . Only new GFS left 

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  On 4/7/2021 at 5:04 PM, Great Snow 1717 said:

all have come into the ballpark so to speak.......

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  On 4/7/2021 at 5:11 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

We want rain. Unfortunately the pattern upcoming is not conducive 

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  On 4/8/2021 at 10:06 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

Just am amazing warm, sunny, dry spring that overall looks to continue . Other than 2012. This is how you draw them up 

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  On 4/7/2021 at 11:20 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

NYC end game . Each run another shunt. I wanted to drop fert too. Sucks 

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I believe Kev said little rain the next 7 days?

download (10).png

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  On 4/8/2021 at 10:13 AM, CoastalWx said:

Wheel of rhea in full effect coming up. 

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Best spring since 2012! Someone forgot what the end of April 2012 was like. Wheel of rhea

2012-04-22 57 43 50.0 -2.0 15 0 1.84 0.0
2012-04-23 62 43 52.5 0.1 12 0 0.92 0.0
2012-04-24 55 41 48.0 -4.7 17 0 0.01 0.0
2012-04-25 61 39 50.0 -3.1 15 0 0.04 0.0
2012-04-26 61 34 47.5 -5.9 17 0 T 0.0
2012-04-27 53 38 45.5 -8.3 19 0 0.01 0.0
2012-04-28 60 35 47.5 -6.6 17 0 0.00 0.0
2012-04-29 61 33 47.0 -7.4 18 0 0.00 0.0
2012-04-30 64 33 48.5 -6.2 16 0
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  On 4/8/2021 at 10:16 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

Doesn’t sound bad at all. Even will be some sun at times next week. Easy to take wx

The GFS and ECMWF also show low level high pressure building
south from Maine, generating an east wind across Srn New England. If
this air is drier, it will further limit QPF amounts. Will forecast
chance-level pops, with QPF values near 0.25 inches...but that
may be overestimating. The east flow will also bring cooler air
that supports max temps in the 50s. Another sign of the cooler
air will be the dew points, which fall to around 40 Sunday
night. This and the expected clouds suggest min temps in the
40s.

Monday through Wednesday...

Clouds linger Monday as one upper low...of several...moves overhead.
Some signs weak upper ridge between the upper lows moves through
sometime Tuesday or Wednesday, but timing confidence is low. Expect
partly to mostly cloudy skies along with scattered or widely
scattered showers during this time.
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That was made before the euro come out. 

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  On 4/8/2021 at 10:16 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

Doesn’t sound bad at all. Even will be some sun at times next week. Easy to take wx

The GFS and ECMWF also show low level high pressure building
south from Maine, generating an east wind across Srn New England. If
this air is drier, it will further limit QPF amounts. Will forecast
chance-level pops, with QPF values near 0.25 inches...but that
may be overestimating. The east flow will also bring cooler air
that supports max temps in the 50s. Another sign of the cooler
air will be the dew points, which fall to around 40 Sunday
night. This and the expected clouds suggest min temps in the
40s.

Monday through Wednesday...

Clouds linger Monday as one upper low...of several...moves overhead.
Some signs weak upper ridge between the upper lows moves through
sometime Tuesday or Wednesday, but timing confidence is low. Expect
partly to mostly cloudy skies along with scattered or widely
scattered showers during this time.
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Cloudy

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  On 4/8/2021 at 10:32 AM, Ginx snewx said:

Another COC day just perfect. Bob Maxon NBC Ct just said put down the lawn treatment Saturday.  Lol we know he reads here. 

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I’m not saying we don’t get a couple showers Sunday , but I will continue to vehemently disagree with this widespread soaking 1-2” rainfall idea. There’s tons of low level dry air. I’m kind of surprised you’re going against that and super  soaking region 

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  On 4/8/2021 at 11:03 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m not saying we don’t get a couple showers Sunday , but I will continue to vehemently disagree with this widespread soaking 1-2” rainfall idea. There’s tons of low level dry air. I’m kind of surprised you’re going against that and super  soaking region 

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Modeling delayed not denied. I believe Bob as well. 

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  On 4/8/2021 at 11:03 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m not saying we don’t get a couple showers Sunday , but I will continue to vehemently disagree with this widespread soaking 1-2” rainfall idea. There’s tons of low level dry air. I’m kind of surprised you’re going against that and super  soaking region 

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Yesterday you said Sunday was just cloudy. Where are you getting 2 inch rainfall amounts? Link please.

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