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April 2021 Discussion


Torch Tiger
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  On 4/1/2021 at 6:45 PM, dendrite said:

2 good rain events in a row and a shit pattern ahead and he's posting this? It's mostly D0 outside of VT and we know they never truly have to worry about water. Napril Fool's maybe?

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that plus in the tweet he said "last year there wasn't any drier than average conditions in the northeast". 

i thought we were in some kind of drought last year? or is he trying to say last year at this time?

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I think there's a trend here to improve away from a bottom barrel pattern though -

Probably we've been over-selling the 'glumness' of it - I know I have...  heh.  I don't trust April and hate and despise it, too - so somewhere in there might slip objectivity from time to time.

But, I was looking that 300, 500 and 700 mb RH fields in the GFS and frankly, it's debatable whether that vortex - in that guidance 12z - even impacts much.  This Euro is weird ...it's trying to plume a heat anomaly into the Lakes while we contend with rotting polar wound air with that thing ..but it's also attempting/hinting narrow escapes.

We'll see..

It won't warm... it's a matter of how shitty and hopefully less. 

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