burgertime Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, rduwx said: I was thinking about this earlier. I believe I've seen every bad trend there is since I started this hobby almost 20 years ago but I don't think I've ever had a positive trend. This one ranks up there as far as gut punches though...LOL! March 2009 comes to mind for me. ULL was all over the place and then at the last second folks along I-85 cashed in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justicebork Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I think we can breathe a collective sigh of relief now that part of the 18z models suite still shows a storm.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 minute ago, burgertime said: But do they work on government contracts? By the way as global warming becomes more and more of an issue weather models are going to be more and more important. That should bring budgets but it will also bring a lot of secrecy. The government isn't just going to hire any contractor to work on NSA servers for instance. Also congress has proven over and over again that when it comes to NOAA they will not approve anything unless they are forced to because of some catastrophic event. I have a world for the way modeling has handled this system and it's also "catastrophic". Amazes me we are 48 hours before a event and the models are clueless. May as well use the ETA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, burgertime said: March 2009 comes to mind for me. ULL was all over the place and then at the last second folks along I-85 cashed in. I remember that storm. We've been around to see some bad trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGator Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 hour ago, 85snowline said: Forsyth County NC or GA? Oh good question, I always forget there’s one in both GA and NC! I’m in Georgia. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kimmie Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 14 minutes ago, Tony Sisk said: my Mama used to tell me to never eat from the first snowfall. I mean, I didn't realize then that we didn't have many options. Sometimes, there is no snowfall....you better take advantage on all snowfalls! My Mama said the same thing. Something about the first snowfall cleaning the air of pollution (old wives' tale?) That was back when we got some awesome storms growing up in the northeastern Piedmont of NC in the 70s. There was always the next storm for snow cream. Now that I am in upstate SC, we get our snow cream when we can - with air pollution sprinkles, if need be. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I understand everyone's frustrations about not being in the epicenter of the upcoming storm. Living in Southeastern North Carolina i was this happen to us all the time. Models come in showing a good hit then boom the inevitable NW trend or warm nose comes along. It has been many many years since Southeastern North Carolina has seen a decent winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kimmie Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, timnc910 said: I understand everyone's frustrations about not being in the epicenter of the upcoming storm. Living in Southeastern North Carolina i was this happen to us all the time. Models come in showing a good hit then boom the inevitable NW trend or warm nose comes along. It has been many many years since Southeastern North Carolina has seen a decent winter storm. Remember the Blizzard of December 1989? I was a student in Wilmington at UNCW. I left quickly to go home for Christmas just before it started, and when I came back to Wilmington, I had to shovel my way to my apartment door. The drifts were all of the way to my doorknob. It was glorious! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 25 minutes ago, burgertime said: March 2009 comes to mind for me. ULL was all over the place and then at the last second folks along I-85 cashed in. I remember that Burger…. Was a Sr in HS at NW Cabarrus in Concord…. It poured rain all day that Sunday …. Then woke up the next AM and had 5/6” lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kimmie Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, Kimmie said: Remember the Blizzard of December 1989? I was a student in Wilmington at UNCW. I left quickly to go home for Christmas just before it started, and when I came back to Wilmington, I had to shovel my way to my apartment door. The drifts were all of the way to my doorknob. It was glorious! Here it is: https://www.weather.gov/ilm/ChristmasSnow1989 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 The most recent epic knife to the heart I've experienced was Feb 2014. literally everyone in a circle around me got 6-10 inches or more and somehow I managed to get 2 inches of mostly sleet that melted the next day. NWS had me getting 9-14 inches as the event was starting. Just want to add this screw hole had nothing to do with lee side warm eddies or anything like that. It was purely bad luck as the fronto band stalled just to my south for hours dumping on those people, then by the time the band shifted north the 800mb warm nose had advanced just past my house, where it stalled allowing people just to my east and north to get hammered with snow while I got sleet. Then the back side stuff minima'd me to cap off the event. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 This was the all time worst though... Forecasted for 4-6 inches. Got a feather dusting. Places to my west and south got 4-6. Places to my east... well... screw those guys! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 hour ago, burgertime said: March 2009 comes to mind for me. ULL was all over the place and then at the last second folks along I-85 cashed in. Big time. Even heard thunder that night. That was the first time our sons experienced snow as we had just moved to Lyman from Charleston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 hour ago, timnc910 said: I understand everyone's frustrations about not being in the epicenter of the upcoming storm. Living in Southeastern North Carolina i was this happen to us all the time. Models come in showing a good hit then boom the inevitable NW trend or warm nose comes along. It has been many many years since Southeastern North Carolina has seen a decent winter storm. It is not even about being in the epicenter. We weren't to begin with. A nice 4-6 here has vaporized to maybe a dusting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 For RDU there is always next year or maybe 4 more years of meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: For RDU there is always next year or maybe 4 more years of meh. yeah if we don't get one by the end of this month and the pattern shifts we're done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Anyone want to help me out with something at the other place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justicebork Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 We (I) try to be good natured about it, but it is difficult to describe the depth of the shaft that snow loving residents of Raleigh and southern Wake County have gotten for the past 5 or 6 years. Blanking on this storm would be a colossal gut punch. One of the biggest. That can’t possibly happen, can it? Tell me you love me!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Shame on everyone that went crisis mode, 18z EURO jumped westSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Damn you Euro! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Sandstorm94 said: Shame on everyone that went crisis mode, 18z EURO jumped west Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk So, we are not going cliff diving? I wrote a last will and testament and all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 So, we are not going cliff diving? I wrote a last will and testament and all.HereSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 I know that belonged in the storm thread but just showing there is hopeSent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Euro is proving its worthless, flip flopping like a fish out of water. Can’t take it serious anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 The March 2009 storm was the worst for me being in the leeside screw zone. It also hurt a lot since we hadn't had a good snow since 2004. https://projects.ncsu.edu/atmos_collaboration/nwsfo/storage/cases/20090302/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxJordan Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 hour ago, burrel2 said: This was the all time worst though... Forecasted for 4-6 inches. Got a feather dusting. Places to my west and south got 4-6. Places to my east... well... screw those guys! One of the best snowstorms for me! I lived in Hickory and it just kept coming and coming. Never will forget it as 2-4 inches was all that was forecasted by the local mets...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Was working all day and stopped otw home for more bread and milk. What did I miss ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 hours ago, burgertime said: March 2009 comes to mind for me. ULL was all over the place and then at the last second folks along I-85 cashed in. Didn't the Boxing day storm go away late in the run up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 I completely understand why weather enthusiasts get so disappointed, and frustrated, when model trends move towards a less desirable solution. That said, I’d simply like to note that as good as computer modeling has become over the past few decades, they will never be able to 100% accurately account for all the complexities involved in the atmospheric processes that lead to such weather phenomena. With that in mind, It’s important to also remember that the significant strides we’ve made in weather forecasting over the past few decades has been the result of enhanced computer modeling…without which, forecasts would result in far greater errors. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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