powderfreak Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 18z EURO still keeps showing a decent, moderate QPF event in a marginal cold column. I still like 4-8" at 1,500ft+ but down low it's hard to say... just for the record, I still never take these snow maps verbatim of course. I use them and alter the snow ratios to what I think is most likely.. like 6-8:1 at least on the final tally under 1,500ft. Up at the picnic tables it might be 12:1 in a cold atmosphere (that average ratio might include some 15:1 type upslope afterwards). I could see my backyard seeing 1-2" of slop on 0.5-0.75" water. But then solid advisory snowfall amounts up above 1,000-1,500ft. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Synoptically, it's not a bad sign to be just N/NW/W of the deepening mid-level lows. This map of the H5 looked to swing underneath us as it deepens. It's tilted a bit, but the H5, H7, and H85 lows swing just south/east of the Adirondacks, N.VT and N.NH. The seasonal trend of east ticks on the approach may help the higher terrain around the MVL-MPV-BML-HIE area. It does look like it deepens strongly as it proceeds east, with some big totals possible downstream in the Maritimes and up in what you Mainers call The County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 8 hours ago, powderfreak said: Synoptically, it's not a bad sign to be just N/NW/W of the deepening mid-level lows. This map of the H5 looked to swing underneath us as it deepens. It's tilted a bit, but the H5, H7, and H85 lows swing just south/east of the Adirondacks, N.VT and N.NH. The seasonal trend of east ticks on the approach may help the higher terrain around the MVL-MPV-BML-HIE area. It does look like it deepens strongly as it proceeds east, with some big totals possible downstream in the Maritimes and up in what you Mainers call The County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timp Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 We snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 17 minutes ago, timp said: We snow For whatever reason, I wasn't really expecting it this morning. I thought it would be tomorrow. I guess I haven't been paying close attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 I saw that some Winter Weather Advisories had gone up yesterday in NNY, but the BTV NWS has now extended them into NVT as well. The latest alert and expected snowfall maps are below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Event totals: 1.0” Snow/0.34” L.E. Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 1.0 inches New Liquid: 0.28 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 3.6 Snow Density: 28.0% H2O Temperature: 32.7 F Sky: Snow (2-10 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 1.0 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Pasted white outside at home. Evergreens drooping quite a bit... very wet snow, maybe 1.5” or so? 0.40” water though... can see why the summit got a fast 5”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Just now, powderfreak said: Pasted white outside at home. Evergreens drooping quite a bit... very wet snow, maybe 1.5” or so? 0.40” water though... can see why the summit got a fast 5”. What’s the earliest melt out of all time at the snow stake on Mt Mansfield? Was thinking we were going to see it this year but maybe the recent snow has saved it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Nice obs for a time at MVL with +SN. METAR KMVL 211105Z AUTO 35003KT 1/4SM +SN FG VV006 01/00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Good 4:1 ratio snow down here in the valley at 750ft. Bout to head up to work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Up at 1,500ft area there's a few inches. This is incredibly picturesque snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Nothing here today. Yey! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Colebrook NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 12 hours ago, powderfreak said: Synoptically, it's not a bad sign to be just N/NW/W of the deepening mid-level lows. This map of the H5 looked to swing underneath us as it deepens. It's tilted a bit, but the H5, H7, and H85 lows swing just south/east of the Adirondacks, N.VT and N.NH. The seasonal trend of east ticks on the approach may help the higher terrain around the MVL-MPV-BML-HIE area. It does look like it deepens strongly as it proceeds east, with some big totals possible downstream in the Maritimes and up in what you Mainers call The County. Current forecast for Clayton Lake is 5-10" thru tomorrow night. Only 3-6" at Pittston Farm where we'll be going tomorrow afternoon thru Saturday noon. It's at about 1100' but we'll be at 1300-1500 on the way in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 From a friend who works at Saddleback... this is Rangley, ME I believe. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 21, 2021 Author Share Posted April 21, 2021 Boston 66F. I'm 44F with rain showers about to begin. Wonder is I can score a few flakes this evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 70 Ash left for Stowe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 15 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 70 Ash left for Stowe PF just locked his wife in the house. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 BTV is Heavy Snow at the last hourly obs... it's slowly trying to come east. KBTV 211654Z 34014KT 1/4SM R15/2600VP6000FT +SN FG OVC007 01/M01 A2970 RMK AO2 SLP061 P0003 T00061011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Fun SPS... Including the cities of Malone, Plattsburgh, Star Lake, Saranac Lake, Tupper Lake, Dannemora, Lake Placid, Port Henry, Ticonderoga, Alburgh, South Hero, St. Albans, and Burlington 1134 AM EDT Wed Apr 21 2021 ...Locally Heavy Snow will move through Northern New York and the Northern Champlain Valley through 5 pm... Moderate to heavy snowfall at times move across the Adirondacks into the Northern Champlain Valley through 5 pm. Snowfall rates of an inch or more per hour is possible that could quickly deposit several inches of snowfall. Despite current wet roads in some locations, increased snowfall intensity and continued falling temperatures will allow for snow covered roads and slick travel. If traveling this afternoon and evening please be aware of changing conditions and other vehicles. Conditions will gradually improve this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 5 hours ago, powderfreak said: A few inches at 1,500ft... 1.5" down in the village. The picnic table snow cam got like 5" in 3 hours. Good burst of heavy snow this morning. Now we wait for this afternoon/evening's round. 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: BTV is Heavy Snow at the last hourly obs... it's slowly trying to come east. KBTV 211654Z 34014KT 1/4SM R15/2600VP6000FT +SN FG OVC007 01/M01 A2970 RMK AO2 SLP061 P0003 T00061011 I’m here at work in BTV, and indeed there’s been some 1”/hr snowfall at times with this second round of the system. It had backed off a little from that heaviest period, but it’s probably back up close to 1”/hr again with a bit more wind now. Accumulation here on the UVM campus looks like a couple of inches. I guess this system could be broken up into three parts if there ends up being an upslope portion on the backside as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 27 minutes ago, J.Spin said: I’m here at work in BTV, and indeed there’s been some 1”/hr snowfall at times with this second round of the system. It had backed off a little from that heaviest period, but it’s probably back up close to 1”/hr again with a bit more wind now. Accumulation here on the UVM campus looks like a couple of inches. I guess this system could be broken up into three parts if there ends up being an upslope portion on the backside as well. BTV looks to be doing the best this round so far. Awesome to see sub-freezing temps there with +SN. KBTV 211902Z 34009KT 1/4SM R15/2600V3500FT +SN FZFG VV006 M01/M02 A2972 RMK AO2 P0000 T10061017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Slushing here in Rutland now. It looks like the hood of my car has a coating on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 6 hours ago, powderfreak said: From a friend who works at Saddleback... this is Rangley, ME I believe. Nice, looks like 3"+. In town is just over 1500' evel while Saddleback base is near 2000'. I'd guess this place is closer to the latter (in elev.) RA+ last 10 minutes with one distant but long rumble of thunder that put our dog under the computer desk where I'm sitting. She's probably still a bit shell-shocked at the very close strike late last month. That one came after a couple distant rumbles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 32F and coming down pretty hard at the moment. Looking at radar most likely short lived, but maybe squeeze out 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 This would have been a nice airmass to have last event..ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Just now, backedgeapproaching said: This would have been a nice airmass to have last event..ha Yeah dropped fast into the 20s up at 1500ft. All the sudden it was snowing at 28F and sticking to the road. 31F down in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Just now, powderfreak said: Yeah dropped fast into the 20s up at 1500ft. All the sudden it was snowing at 28F and sticking to the road. 31F down in town. For sure...I dropped from 48F to 33F pretty quickly before this batch of precip even got in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Quite a temperature gradient in this area. 37 in Littleton and 42 at mi casa in spite of the elevation change. Normally it would be the opposite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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