sauss06 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 3:59 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Hoping that Sunday and Monday turn out decent - Memorial Day weekend full of temps in the 50s is just awful. Expand agreed. At this point, since Friday/Saturday look like a wash, i'll be happy just being dry Sunday/Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 Agree with you both about a cold Memorial Day weekend being no fun for anyone. I will say Monday looks pretty dang pleasant and Sunday is still a bit up in the air, kind of the transition day. Not great either way though. No pool parties this year ugh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 3:59 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Hoping that Sunday and Monday turn out decent - Memorial Day weekend full of temps in the 50s is just awful. Expand I want Frost Advisories all weekend, just kidding! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 If only this were winter: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 4:21 PM, Mount Joy Snowman said: Agree with you both about a cold Memorial Day weekend being no fun for anyone. I will say Monday looks pretty dang pleasant and Sunday is still a bit up in the air, kind of the transition day. Not great either way though. No pool parties this year ugh. Expand The only silver lining here is if we happen to witness something historic, which still isn’t out of the question. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 4:21 PM, Mount Joy Snowman said: Agree with you both about a cold Memorial Day weekend being no fun for anyone. I will say Monday looks pretty dang pleasant and Sunday is still a bit up in the air, kind of the transition day. Not great either way though. No pool parties this year ugh. Expand And @sauss06 invited me over for a pool party this year. To drink all his beer too. Now I need to cancel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 4:58 PM, paweather said: And @sauss06 invited me over for a pool party this year. To drink all his beer too. Now I need to cancel. Expand Absolutely not, if anything just more time to focus on drinking all the beer. Git 'er dun. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted May 27, 2021 Author Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 3:59 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Hoping that Sunday and Monday turn out decent - Memorial Day weekend full of temps in the 50s is just awful. Expand Agree 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 5:02 PM, Mount Joy Snowman said: Absolutely not, if anything just more time to focus on drinking all the beer. Git 'er dun. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 4:38 PM, paweather said: If only this were winter: Expand Says the person in Northern PA while we would be hoping for FRZA vs a cold rain. HA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 5:32 PM, Bubbler86 said: Says the man in Northern PA while we would be hoping for FRZA vs a cold rain. HA. Expand I know it is too close to the PA Border but always time to change. Duel H's in the North gotta help though for a good wintery mix in the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 5:35 PM, paweather said: I know it is too close to the PA Border but always time to change. Duel H's in the North gotta help though for a good wintery mix in the LSV. Expand I just noticed there is snow at the very top of the graphic. That is something for this far into Spring. Last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 5:36 PM, Bubbler86 said: I just noticed there is snow at the very top of the graphic. That is something for this far into Spring. Last week. Expand Good catch didn't notice that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 4:56 PM, TimB84 said: The only silver lining here is if we happen to witness something historic, which still isn’t out of the question. Expand Very true, initially I wasn't very bullish on any records falling but I've got to say we have a real shot, particularly eyeing up that min max record for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 5:57 PM, Mount Joy Snowman said: Very true, initially I wasn't very bullish on any records falling but I've got to say we have a real shot, particularly eyeing up that min max record for Saturday. Expand Could be on the verge of a mini 1816. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 5:57 PM, Mount Joy Snowman said: Very true, initially I wasn't very bullish on any records falling but I've got to say we have a real shot, particularly eyeing up that min max record for Saturday. Expand It looks doable, and the 12z runs of virtually every model trend the low further south, which might help eliminate that pesky midnight high temperature issue. I’m not ruling it out for Pittsburgh either, the current low max is 54, which is the softest low max of May. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 They keep delaying the rain start Friday - it's now 4 p.m., was 11 a.m. yesterday morning) and cutting it off earlier Saturday (and overall lowering chances). Interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 6:03 PM, TimB84 said: It looks doable, and the 12z runs of virtually every model trend the low further south, which might help eliminate that pesky midnight high temperature issue. I’m not ruling it out for Pittsburgh either, the current low max is 54, which is the softest low max of May. Expand Trends south is our friend! Flakes could be flying. LOLLLL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 6:12 PM, canderson said: They keep delaying the rain start Friday - it's now 4 p.m., was 11 a.m. yesterday morning) and cutting it off earlier Saturday (and overall lowering chances). Interesting. Expand That is interesting. maybe soon they'll deny the lower temps and we will actually be sunny and 80 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted May 27, 2021 Author Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 2:04 PM, Mount Joy Snowman said: I saw a number of storm damage reports from up above Halifax and Berrysburg and whatnot so yes that area got hit pretty hard as well. One report of a barn blown over. Expand I saw that barn. It was just off of 225. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 6:25 PM, sauss06 said: That is interesting. maybe soon they'll deny the lower temps and we will actually be sunny and 80 Expand Monday will be a really nice day. Perfect Memorial Day imo (it prob won't quite get to 80, but mid to upper 70s down here I think) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 One thing I keep seeing is the retrograding/reformation/block of the law as it gets over us Saturday AM. Could make for some very disparate precip totals as shown on the EC. People being dry slotted and not getting the 1.5 to 2". On the other hand its keeps a spinning area of moisture close to us all weekend so rain is possible into Monday. EC is, as usual, hotter than anything else so it busts when things trend cold or looks like a winner when they go above forecasts. But even it does not get MDT above 75 until a week from tomorrow. Low 70's Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 6:12 PM, canderson said: They keep delaying the rain start Friday - it's now 4 p.m., was 11 a.m. yesterday morning) and cutting it off earlier Saturday (and overall lowering chances). Interesting. Expand I am going to throw out a forecast and say someone from CTP south and east is having rain by noon tomorrow. Models have been suggesting rain gets into the MSV and USV a bit earlier than the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 6:50 PM, Bubbler86 said: One thing I keep seeing is the retrograding/reformation/block of the law as it gets over us Saturday AM. Could make for some very disparate precip totals as shown on the EC. People being dry slotted and not getting the 1.5 to 2". On the other hand its keeps a spinning area of moisture close to us all weekend so rain is possible into Monday. EC is, as usual, hotter than anything else so it busts when things trend cold or looks like a winner when they go above forecasts. But even it does not get MDT above 75 until a week from tomorrow. Low 70's Monday. Expand Bubbler dry slotted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 7:12 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Bubbler dry slotted? Expand How much for R'Ville? Not much. LOL. 1/2" would be just dandy for me. It seems no matter how much it rains the sun is going to put a beating on the grass if it is dry for a day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 7:14 PM, Bubbler86 said: How much for R'Ville? Not much. LOL. 1/2" would be just dandy for me. It seems no matter how much it rains the sun is going to put a beating on the grass if it is dry for a day or two. Expand .5" is my benchmark. Anything more than that would be great, less...I'll be disappointed. Last night I got that amount in 15 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 7:15 PM, Itstrainingtime said: .5" is my benchmark. Anything more than that would be great, less...I'll be disappointed. Last night I got that amount in 15 minutes. Expand Each model run I see has areas of very enhanced rain so someone is going to get more than 2" if that plays out. But like you mentioned, .5 is just fine for grass and plants. The 2" is more helpful for the water sources. Three 1/4" rainfalls over a week is much better for the grass than one 3" rainfall and baking sun the other 6 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On a related topic, I remember June's and July's in VA and PA where the grass was thick and healthy. Only thing I can blame the current way grass seems dry up in June, regardless of rain amounts, is the sun. Whether we have less atmospheric blocking of the sun or its seemingly a bit "closer" to us. In areas that are half shade the grass grows fine except for extreme droughts like here last summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 7:12 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Bubbler dry slotted? Expand Yes he deserves it, he stole my snow this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On 5/27/2021 at 6:50 PM, Bubbler86 said: One thing I keep seeing is the retrograding/reformation/block of the law as it gets over us Saturday AM. Could make for some very disparate precip totals as shown on the EC. People being dry slotted and not getting the 1.5 to 2". On the other hand its keeps a spinning area of moisture close to us all weekend so rain is possible into Monday. EC is, as usual, hotter than anything else so it busts when things trend cold or looks like a winner when they go above forecasts. But even it does not get MDT above 75 until a week from tomorrow. Low 70's Monday. Expand 10-1 Ratios? That is a FOOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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