sauss06 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Hoping that Sunday and Monday turn out decent - Memorial Day weekend full of temps in the 50s is just awful. agreed. At this point, since Friday/Saturday look like a wash, i'll be happy just being dry Sunday/Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 Agree with you both about a cold Memorial Day weekend being no fun for anyone. I will say Monday looks pretty dang pleasant and Sunday is still a bit up in the air, kind of the transition day. Not great either way though. No pool parties this year ugh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 25 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Hoping that Sunday and Monday turn out decent - Memorial Day weekend full of temps in the 50s is just awful. I want Frost Advisories all weekend, just kidding! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 If only this were winter: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 33 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Agree with you both about a cold Memorial Day weekend being no fun for anyone. I will say Monday looks pretty dang pleasant and Sunday is still a bit up in the air, kind of the transition day. Not great either way though. No pool parties this year ugh. The only silver lining here is if we happen to witness something historic, which still isn’t out of the question. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 35 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Agree with you both about a cold Memorial Day weekend being no fun for anyone. I will say Monday looks pretty dang pleasant and Sunday is still a bit up in the air, kind of the transition day. Not great either way though. No pool parties this year ugh. And @sauss06 invited me over for a pool party this year. To drink all his beer too. Now I need to cancel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: And @sauss06 invited me over for a pool party this year. To drink all his beer too. Now I need to cancel. Absolutely not, if anything just more time to focus on drinking all the beer. Git 'er dun. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted May 27, 2021 Author Share Posted May 27, 2021 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Hoping that Sunday and Monday turn out decent - Memorial Day weekend full of temps in the 50s is just awful. Agree 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: Absolutely not, if anything just more time to focus on drinking all the beer. Git 'er dun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 54 minutes ago, paweather said: If only this were winter: Says the person in Northern PA while we would be hoping for FRZA vs a cold rain. HA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Says the man in Northern PA while we would be hoping for FRZA vs a cold rain. HA. I know it is too close to the PA Border but always time to change. Duel H's in the North gotta help though for a good wintery mix in the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 Just now, paweather said: I know it is too close to the PA Border but always time to change. Duel H's in the North gotta help though for a good wintery mix in the LSV. I just noticed there is snow at the very top of the graphic. That is something for this far into Spring. Last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I just noticed there is snow at the very top of the graphic. That is something for this far into Spring. Last week. Good catch didn't notice that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 59 minutes ago, TimB84 said: The only silver lining here is if we happen to witness something historic, which still isn’t out of the question. Very true, initially I wasn't very bullish on any records falling but I've got to say we have a real shot, particularly eyeing up that min max record for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Very true, initially I wasn't very bullish on any records falling but I've got to say we have a real shot, particularly eyeing up that min max record for Saturday. Could be on the verge of a mini 1816. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Very true, initially I wasn't very bullish on any records falling but I've got to say we have a real shot, particularly eyeing up that min max record for Saturday. It looks doable, and the 12z runs of virtually every model trend the low further south, which might help eliminate that pesky midnight high temperature issue. I’m not ruling it out for Pittsburgh either, the current low max is 54, which is the softest low max of May. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 They keep delaying the rain start Friday - it's now 4 p.m., was 11 a.m. yesterday morning) and cutting it off earlier Saturday (and overall lowering chances). Interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 18 minutes ago, TimB84 said: It looks doable, and the 12z runs of virtually every model trend the low further south, which might help eliminate that pesky midnight high temperature issue. I’m not ruling it out for Pittsburgh either, the current low max is 54, which is the softest low max of May. Trends south is our friend! Flakes could be flying. LOLLLL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 12 minutes ago, canderson said: They keep delaying the rain start Friday - it's now 4 p.m., was 11 a.m. yesterday morning) and cutting it off earlier Saturday (and overall lowering chances). Interesting. That is interesting. maybe soon they'll deny the lower temps and we will actually be sunny and 80 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted May 27, 2021 Author Share Posted May 27, 2021 4 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I saw a number of storm damage reports from up above Halifax and Berrysburg and whatnot so yes that area got hit pretty hard as well. One report of a barn blown over. I saw that barn. It was just off of 225. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 7 minutes ago, sauss06 said: That is interesting. maybe soon they'll deny the lower temps and we will actually be sunny and 80 Monday will be a really nice day. Perfect Memorial Day imo (it prob won't quite get to 80, but mid to upper 70s down here I think) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 One thing I keep seeing is the retrograding/reformation/block of the law as it gets over us Saturday AM. Could make for some very disparate precip totals as shown on the EC. People being dry slotted and not getting the 1.5 to 2". On the other hand its keeps a spinning area of moisture close to us all weekend so rain is possible into Monday. EC is, as usual, hotter than anything else so it busts when things trend cold or looks like a winner when they go above forecasts. But even it does not get MDT above 75 until a week from tomorrow. Low 70's Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 41 minutes ago, canderson said: They keep delaying the rain start Friday - it's now 4 p.m., was 11 a.m. yesterday morning) and cutting it off earlier Saturday (and overall lowering chances). Interesting. I am going to throw out a forecast and say someone from CTP south and east is having rain by noon tomorrow. Models have been suggesting rain gets into the MSV and USV a bit earlier than the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 20 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: One thing I keep seeing is the retrograding/reformation/block of the law as it gets over us Saturday AM. Could make for some very disparate precip totals as shown on the EC. People being dry slotted and not getting the 1.5 to 2". On the other hand its keeps a spinning area of moisture close to us all weekend so rain is possible into Monday. EC is, as usual, hotter than anything else so it busts when things trend cold or looks like a winner when they go above forecasts. But even it does not get MDT above 75 until a week from tomorrow. Low 70's Monday. Bubbler dry slotted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Bubbler dry slotted? How much for R'Ville? Not much. LOL. 1/2" would be just dandy for me. It seems no matter how much it rains the sun is going to put a beating on the grass if it is dry for a day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: How much for R'Ville? Not much. LOL. 1/2" would be just dandy for me. It seems no matter how much it rains the sun is going to put a beating on the grass if it is dry for a day or two. .5" is my benchmark. Anything more than that would be great, less...I'll be disappointed. Last night I got that amount in 15 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 14 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: .5" is my benchmark. Anything more than that would be great, less...I'll be disappointed. Last night I got that amount in 15 minutes. Each model run I see has areas of very enhanced rain so someone is going to get more than 2" if that plays out. But like you mentioned, .5 is just fine for grass and plants. The 2" is more helpful for the water sources. Three 1/4" rainfalls over a week is much better for the grass than one 3" rainfall and baking sun the other 6 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 On a related topic, I remember June's and July's in VA and PA where the grass was thick and healthy. Only thing I can blame the current way grass seems dry up in June, regardless of rain amounts, is the sun. Whether we have less atmospheric blocking of the sun or its seemingly a bit "closer" to us. In areas that are half shade the grass grows fine except for extreme droughts like here last summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 40 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Bubbler dry slotted? Yes he deserves it, he stole my snow this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: One thing I keep seeing is the retrograding/reformation/block of the law as it gets over us Saturday AM. Could make for some very disparate precip totals as shown on the EC. People being dry slotted and not getting the 1.5 to 2". On the other hand its keeps a spinning area of moisture close to us all weekend so rain is possible into Monday. EC is, as usual, hotter than anything else so it busts when things trend cold or looks like a winner when they go above forecasts. But even it does not get MDT above 75 until a week from tomorrow. Low 70's Monday. 10-1 Ratios? That is a FOOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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