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Central PA - Spring 2021


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3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

It's closer to the ocean than many oceanfront homes are, but because it's not, I pay a fraction of what the oceanfront homes go for. Private pool, hot tub, cornhole, and bikes all included and it's a great time.

can you PM me the info. I'd like to check it out for next year, depending on what it sleeps

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2 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Figured you were, looks juicy out that way.  You could see earlier the way the radar was playing out that the best area for convergence was going to be along the central border.

It is intense.  Too much so if you ask me.  Over near Manchester MD there is apparently flash flooding ongoing.

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8 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Yes they're a great spot, always a great day to be in Happy Valley!

Always wish I would have went to school there. Mountain View was in really good shape for 40$. Otto’s was bigger than I expected. Probably an awesome place to watch PSU games. Had the green weenie ipa and their lager which were both good. Supposed to play Bedford springs tomorrow but looking iffy based on how much rain they got today and tomorrow’s forecast. Thanks again for the help :beer:

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2 minutes ago, canderson said:

Looks that way! I’m not sold on me getting much rain tomorrow - think the winners today win again tomorrow - but should get a little which will help. 

All we can do is look at where that low goes (how close). Not sure you get a ton of rain unless all the models are wrong.   Is that why you mentioned low humidity?  LOL.  To set up no rain :-)?  

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48 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

All we can do is look at where that low goes (how close). Not sure you get a ton of rain unless all the models are wrong.   Is that why you mentioned low humidity?  LOL.  To set up no rain :-)?  

I feel they are overamping the low just enough - hope I’m dead wrong. 

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14 hours ago, Bubbler86 said:

@CarlislePaWx just got a old fashioned Namming.  Its not done accumulating yet but he is already pushing 5" tomorrow afternoon

What???  I'm just checking in for the first time today (it's 12:45am Friday) and just saw your message.  Well the way the models have all blown the high amounts of rain anywhere in our area means I'll believe it when I see it.  It's actually quite pleasant out there tonight.  I took my dog out around 10:30 and immediately felt the drier air with a gentle breeze.  Sure enough when I came back in and checked my station it had a temp of 73 and a dew point of 59!  There have been sprinkles on and off so far.  Has evaporatively cooled down to 67 with a dew point of 57.  I'm willing to bet that if we stay cloudy all day Friday and it rains the temps will hold in the low 60's.  I wouldn't mind getting 5" of rain as it would fill up the reserves and turn everything green again.  It's been quite dry here since the start of the month with only 0.58" total qpf so far.  I don't have to worry about flooding as I have a huge retention basin right beside me that would have to fill up to like 10 feet before there'd be any issues.  Not worried at all.

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5 hours ago, CarlislePaWx said:

What???  I'm just checking in for the first time today (it's 12:45am Friday) and just saw your message.  Well the way the models have all blown the high amounts of rain anywhere in our area means I'll believe it when I see it.  It's actually quite pleasant out there tonight.  I took my dog out around 10:30 and immediately felt the drier air with a gentle breeze.  Sure enough when I came back in and checked my station it had a temp of 73 and a dew point of 59!  There have been sprinkles on and off so far.  Has evaporatively cooled down to 67 with a dew point of 57.  I'm willing to bet that if we stay cloudy all day Friday and it rains the temps will hold in the low 60's.  I wouldn't mind getting 5" of rain as it would fill up the reserves and turn everything green again.  It's been quite dry here since the start of the month with only 0.58" total qpf so far.  I don't have to worry about flooding as I have a huge retention basin right beside me that would have to fill up to like 10 feet before there'd be any issues.  Not worried at all.

It was just one run of the nam.  A good old fashioned namming.  Next run you had less than an 1" as the main area moved a bit south.    But for posterity's sake:

image.png.699653dc3f6b1daad96019ff6382afeb.png

 

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7 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

As others have previously mentioned, looks like the 'ol midnight high will bite us again today.  Was just scouring some records and it appears as though Harrisburg has never had a high temp in the 50s in all of its history for the month of July (and only once in August), was a bit surprised by that.

Makes sense, we’re generally a little colder than you out here (not today) and we only have one day in July/August that hasn’t reached 60 (7/5/72).

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30 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

As others have previously mentioned, looks like the 'ol midnight high will bite us again today.  Was just scouring some records and it appears as though Harrisburg has never had a high temp in the 50s in all of its history for the month of July (and only once in August), was a bit surprised by that.

GFS took out any Min Max records for next week but it has often brought them back so watching for that.  

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