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Severe Event March 25th 2021


Bob's Burgers
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Over in NE GA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
253 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021

GAC011-157-195-251915-
/O.CON.KFFC.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-210325T1915Z/
Banks GA-Jackson GA-Madison GA-
253 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN BANKS...NORTHEASTERN JACKSON AND NORTHWESTERN MADISON
COUNTIES...

At 252 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Pocataligo, or 7
miles east of Commerce, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Law enforcement confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Commerce, Maysville, Nicholson, Ila, Pocataligo, Apple Valley and
Banks Crossing.
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5 minutes ago, ATDoel said:

I took my family and drove north, TDS went right over our house in Pelham 

 

5 minutes ago, VOLtage said:

Reports of people being entrapped in homes in Pelham.

Yikes. Here's hoping for the best in that area. That might end up being a really smart decision you made.

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TORE dropped... PDS TOR up now

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
157 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

ALC115-117-121-251945-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0048.000000T0000Z-210325T1945Z/
Talladega AL-Shelby AL-St. Clair AL-
157 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM CDT FOR NORTH
CENTRAL TALLADEGA...NORTHEASTERN SHELBY AND ST. CLAIR COUNTIES...

At 157 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Vandiver, or near Leeds, moving northeast at 40 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Pell City, Leeds, Moody, Rainbow City, Springville, Odenville,
Lincoln, Margaret, Argo, Ashville, Riverside, Ragland, Steele, Bald
Rock, Vandiver, Branchville, Logan Martin Lake, Honda Manufacturing
Of Alabama, Neely Henry Lake and Alabama International Dragway.
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Just now, NaoPos said:

Seems like positive trends to limit the ceiling on this event ....

 

 

Yeah this is definitely holding back the threat in MS so far. Sfc winds veered. I think a cap has built in to. Jet streak still seems to be hanging back west so curious in a few hours if that will deepen the low, improve sfc flow, and help to break the cap west. This has been a very sloppy evolution so far. 

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3 minutes ago, NaoPos said:

Seems like positive trends to limit the ceiling on this event ....

 

 

The directional shear didn't seem as impressive to me as some of the bigger outbreaks. But this one has some steep mid level lapse rates and strong wind velocities to maybe offset the lack of directional shear.

Outbreaks are very difficult to predict in terms of how many SUP cells or intense tors. One or two ingredients can be altered slightly which is the difference between St Patty's Day 2021 and April 2011. 

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