BuffaloWeather Posted March 26, 2021 Author Share Posted March 26, 2021 Wind reports. 67 at West Seneca, 69 at Fredonia had to have a few 65-70 in Hamburg as well. Almost all of Hamburg lost power at some point today. Our power is back on here. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 A little to warm for the lake shore verbatim according to TT but looks to be another timing CF/frontal wave situation.. Obviously numbers taken with a grain of salt.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Tornado with injuries in Vermont earlier today? Crazy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Ended up being quite a storm today... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Just like always this winter, the 144 hour storm is gone. Like clockwork this nonsense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 European still has it, just farther east and more realistic than feet of snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: European still has it, just farther east and more realistic than feet of snow lol Much improved IMBY 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Some guidance is suggesting fairly significant cyclogenesis along the aforementioned boundary as it nears the East coast Wednesday night into Thursday. This could result in an Aprils Fools day storm to our east with a period of steady accumulating snow for parts of our forecast area not out of the question. ECMWF and Can NH packages appear to have the best handle on this scenario and will remain as preferred guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Some decent ones in there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Would be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 12z EURO is a bomb 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Solid for all of kbuf CWA.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Ukie a little east.. Obviously doubtful it stays the course over the next several days lol Guess we'll see.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Lastly the Canadian.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Pretty good concensus this far out... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Some rain to get through first.. Recent rainfall and snowmelt from recent warm weather is causing rises on Black River and its tributaries and other rivers and streams that drain the Tug Hill, including the Salmon River. The highest levels will be reached later this weekend into early next week as another system brings around 1 inch of additional rainfall late tonight through Sunday. There remains a small risk for minor flooding. My backyard is the salmon river lol But it's a pretty big drop off so doubtful I ever have to worry about flooding.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 32 minutes ago, vortmax said: Pretty good concensus this far out... True. How many times have we been burned this season? I’m gun shy at this point. But I’d love to get a big last one. I never care if it melts right away. Time will tell. If it’s still there at 72 hours, I’ll be genuinely excited. Glad to see BUF is on board. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 27, 2021 Author Share Posted March 27, 2021 Few pics from yesterday winds https://buffalonews.com/news/local/photos-fridays-wild-weather/collection_ec877b4e-8e55-11eb-a59c-ebdabda80475.html?utm_campaign=snd-autopilot&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook_&fbclid=IwAR09J6UkQdRKFQrRKwCZH2E94lMmToTmabvMzR0eRljz1qpvbl_IdOdGn64#3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Well, I'm in Pennsylvania for the week....so you guys have that going for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 2 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Well, I'm in Pennsylvania for the week....so you guys have that going for you. “Which is nice”- Caddie Shack 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 0z Canadian and Gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 Ukie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 European shifted east Fwiw.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 14 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Well, I'm in Pennsylvania for the week....so you guys have that going for you. I'll be in CT later this week for my kid's return from deployment on his submarine. With Matt and I out of town you can lock this one in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 Amplified mid-upper pattern will continue across the CONUS for the middle and end of next week as a sizable longwave trough dominates the eastern third of the country for much of the period with well below normal temperatures expected for Thursday and Friday. Main features will be an upper low that closes off as it moves across the Great Lakes Thursday before pivoting northward into southeastern Canada as the main upper trough takes on a negative tilt. Meanwhile at the surface a powerful cold front will plow across the lower Great Lakes sometime later Wednesday and Wednesday night before slowing its` eastward progression owed to the upper trough taking on that negative tilt. This will also help to spawn an intensifying area of surface low pressure that will move north along the boundary passing just east of our forecast area. GOMEX and western Atlantic in play, so will have plenty of moisture to work with. In terms of sensible weather, strong forcing and plentiful moisture surging northward ahead of the boundary will bring a round of rain to the area initially before much colder air works in right behind the boundary. Rain will change to snow late Wednesday and Wednesday night, with an accumulating snowfall likely through the day on Thursday as deepening low pressure moves north-northeastward along the boundary that is just to the east of our area keeping plenty of moisture in place. The potential exists for winter weather headlines for snow accumulation Wednesday night through the end of the work week. At this time, the highest confidence for multiple inches of snow is on the Tug Hill Plateau. Core of the very cold Canadian airmass will settle across the region with the possibility for some upslope snow showers as well as the possibility for some lake effect/enhanced snow showers downwind of the Lakes for the end of the work week as wrap around moisture lingers across the region. Expect some modification of the airmass by the start of the weekend, however the next shortwave in the pipeline may approach from the northwest toward the very end of the period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 6z gfs was meh..lol Another small event a day or two later verbatim.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 Another one slipping away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 12z GFS a bit more amped. Still east and strung out. It’s got a loong way to go before it’s anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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