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Temp starting to drop as well, 67° at 10 am, down to 54° as of 10:40..

SWS issued

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN
JEFFERSON...WESTERN LEWIS AND NORTHEASTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...

At 1037 AM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from Adams to near Mexico Point State Park.
Movement was east at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail are possible with these
storms, along with brief torrential downpours.

Locations impacted include...
Carthage, Pulaski, West Carthage, Adams, Redfield, Selkirk Shores
State Park, Adams Center, Barnes Corners, Richland, Palermo, Denmark,
Mexico, Rodman, Orwell, Lorraine, Copenhagen, Sandy Creek, Lacona,
Parish and Altmar.

This includes Interstate 81 between exits 33 and 42.
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STW issued, mainly east of here..

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southeastern Jefferson County in central New York...
  Lewis County in central New York...
  Northeastern Oswego County in central New York...

* Until 1145 AM EDT..

* At 1044 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from near Barnes Corners to near Pulaski, moving east at
  45 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Carthage, Lowville, West Carthage, Redfield, Highmarket, Barnes
  Corners, Whetstone Gulf State Park, Richland, Denmark and New
  Bremen.
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SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
A longwave trough over the Northern and Central Plains will sharpen
while it tracks east towards the Ohio Valley Saturday night. An
intensifying jet stream and deep moisture advection ahead of the
trough will promote cyclogenesis along an advancing cold front across
the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Strong warm air advection will
take place across the eastern Great Lakes Saturday night. Mostly
dry conditions, thanks to a dry airmass in place. There remains
uncertainty going into Sunday as models diverge with the track of
deepening low pressure. The potential exists for a widespread
rainfall with pockets of moderate to heavy rain and strong winds
behind the cold front. Another factor is the timing of the cold
front which could promote chances of showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds Sunday afternoon. Whether light or heavy, rainfall
is likely Sunday.

Eventually the cold front will move east across the Lower Great
Lakes and models do agree that cold air will filter into the region
Sunday night into Monday. Northwest flow with 850mb temperatures
falling to near -10C by Monday morning will transition rain to snow
showers and snow showers will likely continue across the higher
terrain and southeast of the Lakes. Lake enhancement and lingering
lake effect snow showers will continue into Monday espeically east
of Lake Ontario. Light snowfall accumulations are possible on the
Tug Hill late Sunday night.

Temperatures will take a tumble Saturday night through Sunday night
with lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s Saturday night to the 20s to
low 30s Sunday night. Low confidence on the Sunday high temperature
due to the uncertainty in the speed of the cold front. At this time,
went with a model blend with high temps in the upper 50s to low 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Dry weather will start the next work week with high pressure
tracking from the Tennesee Valley to the Mid-Atlantic coast. An
upper level ridge will track overhead during this time. Temps
will start off chilly with highs in the 40s Monday and lows in
the 20s/30s Monday night. Return flow around the high will increase
warming into mid-week with temperatures reaching the 60s Tuesday
and Wednesday and 40s Tuesday night.

The upper level ridge will move off the east coast by Wednesday and
a longwave trough will approach the Great Lakes region. The next
system looks dynamic with strong forcing and moisture advection
moving into the region Wednesday night through Thursday. Cold air
advection may bring some very cold air down from Canada and increase
chance for lake effect snow showers just in time for April.
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