wolfie09 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Saturday and Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 28 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: These are pretty much high temps on the gfs for Friday lol Cmon man! Where the Sizzle? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 2 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Receiving a nice downpour. I felt about 2 minutes of sparse raindrops cutting the lawn this eve. Dust Bowl days are here again! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 26, 2021 Author Share Posted May 26, 2021 A warm evening, still 74 out. Glad I got A/C installed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Since May 9th I've had 0.29" of rain. Quite dry. Hopefully we can get some downpours today thru Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 1 hour ago, Syrmax said: Since May 9th I've had 0.29" of rain. Quite dry. Hopefully we can get some downpours today thru Friday. Only 0.15" here during the same timeframe. Zero in the last 14 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Yup, started the month off strong but haven't seen much in the last 2 weeks..I picked up a quick 0.06" yesterday and a little less than 3" on the month.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Solid soaking on the NAM 12z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 I just hope the rain makes it this far north lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 The cold air that will be in place over the area on Thursday looks to play a fairly large role in the evolution of the next system to affect our area on Friday. Some phasing of the northern and southern stream looks to occur as the next nearly closed 500 hPa low advances into the Great Lakes on Friday. With the aforementioned jet phasing starting to occur, the right entrance region of an upper jet streak looks to track across northern Ohio and northern Pennsylvania. This sets up the corridor of low level convergence and associated 850 hPa frontal zone to our south. As a result, ascent across our area will generally be strongest from the southern shore of Lake Ontario and southward during the daytime on Friday. Further, ascent looks to be primarily stratiform in nature, so all signs are pointing to a prolonged light to moderate rainfall for all points south of the south shore of Lake Ontario that is likely to last at least through the daytime Friday...if not into Friday night. While northerly flow will hold temperatures back on Thursday, abundant clouds and steady rainfall seem poised to really chop back at temperature expectations on Friday. While MOS guidance favors mid 50s for much of the area on Friday, actually model 2 meter temperatures are far more pessimistic. While it would only take a few minutes of sun to bust the forecast in an upward direction, it seems highly unlikely we will see much/any sun on Friday other than in the North Country. As a result, for most of western New York, the western Southern Tier, and northern Finger Lakes, temperatures in the mid 40s to near 50 are about all we are likely to muster. Farther north, more dry air will play in the favor of far lower chances of rainfall in the Watertown area, and likewise, with a bit better chance of sunshine, temperatures will likewise be able to increase a tad...though still remain well below normal. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Much drier air moves into the area into the weekend. Even as this occurs, and the attendant sunshine returns, temperatures aloft will not be poised to increase all that rapidly. However, sunshine will result in better mixing profiles, so the +2 to +6C off the deck through the weekend should allow temperatures to gradually return to the 60s. Even still, this is several degrees below normal. It won`t be until the start of the new week that we will even begin to approach normal values for high temperatures as generally dry conditions look set to resume/persist across the Great Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 26, 2021 Author Share Posted May 26, 2021 We picked up a bunch of rain just now as a strong shower moved through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 26, 2021 Author Share Posted May 26, 2021 Buffalo is at +.6 after a really cold first 2 weeks. We likely finish right around normal for May. I would lean towards normal/slightly above normal June for temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 NAM is pretty much the opposite of what the NWS says with the coldest air over the north country.. Guess it depends how far north the rain/clouds get.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 More potential warmth coming the first week of June..50%-60% probabilities currently.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Eastern Wayne County in western New York... Cayuga County in central New York... Southwestern Oswego County in central New York... * Until 100 PM EDT.. * At 1159 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Chimney Bluffs State Park, or 14 miles southwest of Fair Haven Beach State Park, moving east at 50 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. * Locations impacted include... Oswego, Fulton, Fair Haven Beach State Park, Lyons, Central Square, Chimney Bluffs State Park, Mexico Point State Park, Nine Mile Point, Battle Island State Park and Scriba 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 That line was just forming over us and gave some nice wind gusts. Could see how it became severe so quickly. Enjoy and hope you keep your power! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Not much in the way of "severe" weather, mainly heavy rain and a little wind.. Strongest developing to the East/SE.. I'm not a huge fan of lightning anyway lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 PWS showing about 1" per hour rates, 0.20" liquid so far..13° drop in temp the last 25 minutes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 26, 2021 Author Share Posted May 26, 2021 Finally found some of the shock I was looking for at Walmart, should last me a month 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 I’m in the middle of that line of thundershowers right now. Fortunately for my dog there is not a lot of lightning in it. Rain is coming down heavily. I’ll get a measurement when it stops. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 The rain has just about stopped. I just measured 0.62 inch in about 15 minutes, that’s a pretty good downpour. We need rain since we’ve had next to nothing for the last 2 weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 Got 0.63" in about 15-20 mins with that line around noon. Nice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 49 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Finally found some of the shock I was looking for at Walmart, should last me a month How often do you shock your pool? Ive had mine open 3 weeks and haven’t shocked it besides when I opened it. Water is crystal clear and water test are perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 50 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Finally found some of the shock I was looking for at Walmart, should last me a month I have a full Biggie sized bucket of Chlorine hockey pucks. Now accepting bids via Bitcoin! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 26, 2021 Author Share Posted May 26, 2021 29 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: How often do you shock your pool? Ive had mine open 3 weeks and haven’t shocked it besides when I opened it. Water is crystal clear and water test are perfect. I put one bag in a week usually depending on when I test the water. Do you use test strips? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 SOURCE...Law enforcement has reported numerous trees and wires down in Onondaga county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted May 26, 2021 Share Posted May 26, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: I put one bag in a week usually depending on when I test the water. Do you use test strips? Yes I use test strips. I just use the 3” chlorine disks, 1-2 a week in the skimmer and 1-2 a week in a pool floater. Got a 40 pound bucket at Sam’s club for $99. Should last me all summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 Nice bump north on the european for Friday system.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 Bump north on the NAM as well. Nice soaking for all.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted May 27, 2021 Share Posted May 27, 2021 2 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Bump north on the NAM as well. Nice soaking for all.. Sad that I am interested in tracking Spring storms for poolwater... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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