wolfie09 Posted May 9, 2021 Share Posted May 9, 2021 For once I'm glad to be missing some rain to the south lol Nice day out today with temps in the low-mid 50s.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted May 9, 2021 Share Posted May 9, 2021 Nearing 60 degrees in Sizzlecuse. Per usual, temps over-performing here and warmer than almost everywhere else in the state. Seriously, the only time we stay below "the forecast high" is if the cloud cover is so thick and dark. Otherwise, it seems like a continuing of a rapidly warming Syracuse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 9, 2021 Share Posted May 9, 2021 Sizzlecuse in action lol Syracuse doesn't really have a cooling mechanism, not close enough to marine influence and no elevation. Interior portions of CNY can get toasty but today is a nice day nonetheless 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 9, 2021 Share Posted May 9, 2021 4.5 miles west of here right on the water is still reporting mid 40s.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 9, 2021 Share Posted May 9, 2021 Snowing in CPA.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted May 9, 2021 Share Posted May 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Snowing in CPA.. I lived 10 miles west of that location in DuBois for several years. That specific location is located at 2200' asl and the locals call it "Clearfield Mountain." It's one of those spots that has an extreme microclimate. Very interesting weather location! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted May 9, 2021 Share Posted May 9, 2021 US National Weather Service Binghamton NY 37 mins · SAY IT'S NOT SNOW...AGAIN!!! Attached picture is the current view from the Addison, NY mesonet obervation station in Southern Steuben County. Elevation here is 1,665 feet and in the higher elevations in western Steuben County (above 2K feet) it has been snowing for a couple of hours now. Is there snow falling where you are located? If so, post a picture below as well as your location and estimated elevation if you have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted May 10, 2021 Share Posted May 10, 2021 Remember last month when I mentioned no spring this year, you guys laughed. So who's right! Chilly pattern is going to stay until middle of June or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 10, 2021 Author Share Posted May 10, 2021 Warm up coming for end of May, just in time to open the pool for memorial day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted May 10, 2021 Share Posted May 10, 2021 Meanwhile another morning of 40F and drizzle. Oh joy...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 10, 2021 Share Posted May 10, 2021 A closed mid-level low and associated trough axis will move from the Lower Great Lakes on Tuesday to New England Tuesday night. This will bring the core of the cold air aloft across the area, along with increasing cloud cover and a risk of showers starting Tuesday afternoon. Moisture from the shortwave and steep lapse rates will not only support rain showers, but there also may be some graupel with any heavier showers. By Tuesday evening, 850 mb temperatures down to -4c which may even support some snow showers, especially across the higher terrain of the Western Southern Tier and Tug Hill. Rain and snow showers will taper off after midnight with the departure of the shortwave. Otherwise, this will maintain the cool weather pattern with highs on Tuesday only in the mid 40s to around 50 and lows in the 30s Tuesday night. Winds will limit the potential for frost, but the cooler valleys across the Southern Tier may get close to freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 10, 2021 Share Posted May 10, 2021 NWS has flakes mixing in here, not that I necessarily agree with that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 10, 2021 Share Posted May 10, 2021 LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Warming trend to continue during this period with temps actually nearing climo as we head towards the weekend. The vast majority of the period will be dry, however a weak mid- level trough will move through the area Friday and Saturday which may produce an isolated shower during the afternoon and evening hours. The bright spot is that there is increasing confidence in warmer weather for the weekend with highs in the 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 10, 2021 Author Share Posted May 10, 2021 It seems every year is the same for May. Cold first 2 weeks, and warm last 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted May 10, 2021 Author Share Posted May 10, 2021 Buffalo saw the lowest increase in yearly snowfall out of the great lakes and northeast. Buffalo, NY: +0.7" Rochester NY +2.5" Syracuse NY +4.0" Chicago, IL: +2.1" Detroit, MI: +2.5" Grand Rapids, MI: +2.6" New York City, NY: +4.0" Flint, MI: +4.7" Boston, MA: +5.4" Hartford, CT: +11.2" Pittsburgh, PA +2.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted May 10, 2021 Share Posted May 10, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Buffalo saw the lowest increase in yearly snowfall out of the great lakes and northeast. Buffalo, NY: +0.7" Rochester NY +2.5" Syracuse NY +4.0" Chicago, IL: +2.1" Detroit, MI: +2.5" Grand Rapids, MI: +2.6" New York City, NY: +4.0" Flint, MI: +4.7" Boston, MA: +5.4" Hartford, CT: +11.2" Pittsburgh, PA +2.7" That Hartford number is insane. That was almost 30% increase of their 40” a year average. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 10, 2021 Share Posted May 10, 2021 Frost advisories issued for this evening.. ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures in the low to mid 30s will result in frost formation. * WHERE...All of western and north central New York. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if left uncovered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 10, 2021 Share Posted May 10, 2021 Latest CPC maps.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted May 10, 2021 Share Posted May 10, 2021 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Latest CPC maps.. Doesn't show any above average next 10 days so I believe NOAA outlook for 6-10 days will be busted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted May 11, 2021 Share Posted May 11, 2021 19 hours ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: That Hartford number is insane. That was almost 30% increase of their 40” a year average. Evidently they moved the reporting site to Mt. Tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 11, 2021 Share Posted May 11, 2021 Gfs says what warm-up? Lol Pretty much below Average the entire run verbatim.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 11, 2021 Share Posted May 11, 2021 Euro brings in the warmth.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 11, 2021 Share Posted May 11, 2021 Looking at the statistics for the first 1/3rd of the month we have had an average high of 56.5° which is below average but with the constant clouds and showers the overnight lows are a bit above average..(41°).. Averages according to NOAA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted May 11, 2021 Share Posted May 11, 2021 I wish this was a joke but it just began to rain and is mixing with mangled flakes...WTF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted May 11, 2021 Share Posted May 11, 2021 29 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I wish this was a joke but it just began to rain and is mixing with mangled flakes...WTF Yeah, just had something fall with some rain, seemed like sleet not graupel and doubt it was tiny hail as it was light....temps significantly dropped. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted May 11, 2021 Share Posted May 11, 2021 17 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Yeah, just had something fall with some rain, seemed like sleet not graupel and doubt it was tiny hail as it was light....temps significantly dropped. I saw it out the window, thought it looked like grauple but I didn't get outside to feel it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted May 11, 2021 Share Posted May 11, 2021 Just now, cny rider said: I saw it out the window, thought it looked like grauple but I didn't get outside to feel it. Was pretty clear and rather small. Whatever lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 11, 2021 Share Posted May 11, 2021 Diurnally driven instability showers will dot the radar away from the lakes through the remainder of the afternoon, with a few showers producing graupel in a few spots. The main area of these showers are currently over WNY and from I90 southward. Temperatures are in the low to mid 40s for the higher terrain and where cool rain showers have recently occurred. For the lower elevations and areas closer to the lakes, temperatures are currently in the mid to upper 40s. A relatively sharp trough will drop through the forecast area this evening into the overnight. This feature will generate some showers for sites mainly east of Rochester...although just about anyone could experience a shower before 2 AM. Lows tonight will be in the mid to upper 30s for most areas. Expansive high pressure centered over the Upper Great lakes will promote fair weather Wednesday and Wednesday night. High temperatures for Wednesday, warm almost 10 degrees from Tuesday temperatures into the upper 50s to around 60 for most area, with some mid 50s for the higher terrain. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... High pressure will support mainly fair dry weather through the period...while temperatures will slowly moderate back to near normal levels. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Low amplitude ridging will continue to provide fair weather to the region for Sunday...then a broad storm system advancing from the Mid western states could bring us some showers for the start of the work week. Scenario supported by the Canadian NH...as per the NBM. Temps this period will average near...to just above...normal values Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted May 11, 2021 Share Posted May 11, 2021 On 5/10/2021 at 3:48 PM, wolfie09 said: Latest CPC maps.. Not as confident today as they were yesterday.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted May 11, 2021 Share Posted May 11, 2021 Honestly in mid-May we don't even need above normal. Just getting above 50-55F daily highs would feel great. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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