wolfie09 Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 Cold enough at 850mb this time of year to get a little help from the lake lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 Little bump east on the icon.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 57 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Little bump east on the icon.. 12z GFS is congrats DET to YYZ. As SouthBuffaloSteve said last night let’s get this over with cause we all know we may see a few wet flakes on the backside but this ones a rain maker for all of Upstate. Just end this misery of a season and let’s move on to spring/summer. Last week was such a tease with consistent 70s/80s and plenty of sunshine. If we’re not gonna get anything of significance wrt snow then I’d rather have the warmth and sunshine. Just aggravating season that EVERYTHING has been the same track all season long with Michigan and S Ontario jackpotting every single storm. Been a good season for them but in Upstate it’s been a different story. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 17, 2021 Author Share Posted April 17, 2021 UK is way SE, still way too early for consensus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 Nice day to head to the falls (orwell), highs in the upper 40s but with the lack of snowmelt and rain it was pretty dry.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 57 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: 12z GFS is congrats DET to YYZ. As SouthBuffaloSteve said last night let’s get this over with cause we all know we may see a few wet flakes on the backside but this ones a rain maker for all of Upstate. Just end this misery of a season and let’s move on to spring/summer. Last week was such a tease with consistent 70s/80s and plenty of sunshine. If we’re not gonna get anything of significance wrt snow then I’d rather have the warmth and sunshine. Just aggravating season that EVERYTHING has been the same track all season long with Michigan and S Ontario jackpotting every single storm. Been a good season for them but in Upstate it’s been a different story. Ummm GFS is a smack snowstorm for all of WNY. Unless I’m reading the wrong model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 17, 2021 Author Share Posted April 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: Ummm GFS is a smack snowstorm for all of WNY. Unless I’m reading the wrong model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 17, 2021 Author Share Posted April 17, 2021 GEFS favor WNY with a pretty huge signal too, one of the best of the year lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 Canadian similar to the GFS.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 17, 2021 Author Share Posted April 17, 2021 GEFS are way SE of OP run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 European not much different than 0Z.. System goes over us, wrap around/enhancement behind the front.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 When has wraparound or enhancement worked out for us this cold season? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 Maybe not this season but that's our main source of snow outside of LES lol At least Imby.. We'll see what happens lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 This ones done. Stick a fork in it now and don’t even waste your time lol. Congrats to the 2 people at 1800’ + on the Tug who will catch a few inches. The rest of us will be staring at the street light looking for a lone flake mixed in amongst a bone chilling rain. Bring back spring please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: GEFS favor WNY with a pretty huge signal too, one of the best of the year lol Don’t look at the mean look at the ensemble members. It looks good for WNY but there’s many more misses than hits. Just a few good “hits” skewing the mean to look good. There’s not a snowballs chance in hell BUF sees 6”+. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 Kbgm Not much change to the long term. The eastern US is expected to continue to be bombarded with troughing keeping temperatures below average over the long term and most likely longer. The EPO is currently negative expected to stay negative through next weekend along with a slightly negative AO and NAO. This favors a colder pattern for the Northeastern US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 18z GFS looks like low goes right over BUF so nice dry slot for a while before some scattered flurries. Better than lots of rain I guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 Pretty interesting and fascinating that Im tracking a possible historic snowstorm. Even if 4-8" fall it will be gone within 12-36 hours. By friday were back to the 50s and sun The weather nerd in me would love 60F on Monday with a winter storm watch, 31F Tuesday night with 4-8" of snow 35F Wednesday with wet snow, 55F and sunny Friday. If you somehow only looked outside monday and friday you would never know a snowstorm happened haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 18, 2021 Author Share Posted April 18, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 Lets keep it going lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 Canadian is decent.. What ever sticks, sticks, easy clean up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 Ukie still on the eastern side of the envelope.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 Another smack hit on the GFS this is beginning to have legs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 18, 2021 Author Share Posted April 18, 2021 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: Another smack hit on the GFS this is beginning to have legs... Biggest hit yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 18, 2021 Author Share Posted April 18, 2021 ENS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 38 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: ENS Ughh...this is the payback for the low 80’s 2 weeks ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 Well you can thank the-EPO lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 Wow....will the Eastern trend finally work out for us at the end of April?!? ...and it looks like that -EPO might finally happen... another month of winter left? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 Hi Res Canadian shifted a little more east on the 12z run... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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