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Upstate/Eastern New York


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11 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

I've noticed so far here that we tend to spike early afternoon, 1-3 pm before slowly dropping off the rest of the day..Had a high of 66° at 1pm, down to 59° as of 5 pm.

 

Screenshot_20210414-170458.png

What do the winds look like during that same time. I imagine you are seeing the lake breeze crashing through.  I have seen it happen a lot this year in my backyard.  Nice warm afternoon then a stiff north breeze takes over as the lake front passes and temps nose dive.  

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1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said:

What do the winds look like during that same time. I imagine you are seeing the lake breeze crashing through.  I have seen it happen a lot this year in my backyard.  Nice warm afternoon then a stiff north breeze takes over as the lake front passes and temps nose dive.  

Yeah, winds turned Northerly and NW around here, and the temp has dropped almost 15 degrees from the highs we had earlier. Now in the mid 50s, while it is warmer up on the Tug.

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Our attention will then turn to a more significant feature in the
form of a strong cold front that is forecast to approach the eastern
Great Lakes Tuesday afternoon, then cross our region sometime
between late Tuesday night and Wednesday. Model consensus on timing
of the frontal passage continues to differ a little bit. Thus will
keep precip chances capped in the high chance range until better
agreement on timing of this feature locks in, after which can easily
see raising PoPs into the "Likely" range with later packages. Precip
does appear as though it may be anafrontal. Significance here is
that with an airmass in the wake of the boundary possibly colder
than the one we currently have over us, will see the possibility
once again for some snow to mix in during this timeframe.
Timing will again play a role as well being latter April. Cold
upper low then crosses over the region Wednesday night and
Thursday. A cold, moist cyclonic flow aloft and temps off the
deck that may be cold enough to support a lake response
(nocturnal) will keep a few rain and snow showers in the
forecast to close out the period.
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