BuffaloWeather Posted April 8, 2021 Author Share Posted April 8, 2021 One of the warmest places in the states right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 8, 2021 Share Posted April 8, 2021 I say it all the time, we can always use the rain lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 8, 2021 Share Posted April 8, 2021 Just shy of 80° here.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 8, 2021 Author Share Posted April 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Just shy of 80° here.. Official high of 84 at KBUF. Average high is 52. Broke the record by 9 degrees. Crazy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 8, 2021 Share Posted April 8, 2021 Few more warm days and then a cool down next week, not cold just comfortable lol Saturday night and Sunday another strong mid level trough will swing through Ohio Valley and Great Lakes, becoming vertically stacked and occluding over southern lower Michigan by Sunday afternoon. This trough will be stronger and farther east than the previous one, and will bring a much higher chance of beneficial rain to our region Saturday night through early Sunday. Though there is model discrepancy regarding the timing of the the steadiest rain, the main band of precip should be exiting the eastern Lake Ontario region by Sunday morning. Cooling temperatures aloft and increasing PVA ahead of the mid level closed low may produce some additional showers Sunday afternoon with diurnal instability developing in the wake of the earlier steady rain. Some isolated thunderstorms are not out of the question Sunday afternoon and evening if there are any breaks in the cloud cover. Highs will generally reach the 65-70F range, but may be held down a few degrees if the cloud and shower coverage persist through the day. Shower chances linger through Monday as a mid level closed low moves very slowly from the Great Lakes Sunday night and Monday to the Northeast. Temperatures will be cooler to start off the week with highs in the upper 50s and low 60s. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... A closed upper level low will slowly spiral across the Eastern Great Lakes region this period, with low chance to slight chance PoPs. Timing rain shower enhancing shortwaves embedded in this feature is tough at this point in time...and with model differences will side close to continuity and NBM with the PoPs. Temperatures at 850 hPa will slowly cool as this upper level low passes through...starting the period +3 to +7C across the region...and slowly cooling to a degree or two Celsius below zero. This will trend daytime temperatures cooler each day...with highs near the upper 50s to start the period down to the lower 50s by the periods end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 8, 2021 Share Posted April 8, 2021 Dreary looking week, even a few mangled flakes mixed in lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted April 8, 2021 Share Posted April 8, 2021 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Dreary looking week, even a few mangled flakes mixed in lol I’m still traumatized by the weather last April and first half of May when the thermometer was stuck between 33 and 43 degrees, the sun never shined, and it seemed to snow frequently (and stick!) during peak hearing hours. So even after this phenomenal stretch, when I see low 50’s and shower chances in the forecast , I think that’s pretty nice spring weather... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted April 8, 2021 Share Posted April 8, 2021 Made it to 77 here. Fantastic day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 8, 2021 Share Posted April 8, 2021 Almost 80 here by the lake with a stiff SE wind fighting back that lake breeze. It mostly succeeded and temps stayed in the upper 70s with low 50s DP. Perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted April 8, 2021 Share Posted April 8, 2021 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: One of the warmest places in the states right now Warmer than Miami!? It's unreal how easily Upstate New York warms up. Seems like the Great Lakes states are really being affected by whatever is going on with this warming going on. Syracuse yet again broke a record high. I should keep track of all the record warmth that's occurred around here in the past two years. 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Dreary looking week, even a few mangled flakes mixed in lol Trying to show those retrograding lows that we waited ALL winter to see. That'll stink if it happens now in Mid April. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 Little squall line Sunday AM on the NAM.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 2 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Little squall line Sunday AM on the NAM.. Can we get a Kuchera on that? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 WNY could use a little rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 Better hope we don't get any deep freezes after this weekend. With the warm Spring we've had, 70s/80s this weekend, and rain on Sunday, the green-up is going to be on Turbo speed. Things are quickly budding in the Syracuse sizzler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 7 hours ago, wolfie09 said: WNY could use a little rain.. I’m planning my garden irrigation for this summer, and I’m scaling my tubing for the contingency of severe drought. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 9, 2021 Author Share Posted April 9, 2021 Buffalo was 84/50 yesterday for a +24 average. We are +5.1 for April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 9, 2021 Author Share Posted April 9, 2021 15 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Warmer than Miami!? It's unreal how easily Upstate New York warms up. Seems like the Great Lakes states are really being affected by whatever is going on with this warming going on. Syracuse yet again broke a record high. I should keep track of all the record warmth that's occurred around here in the past two years. Trying to show those retrograding lows that we waited ALL winter to see. That'll stink if it happens now in Mid April. Buffalo is the Miami of the north, we always torch in S/SW winds ahead of lows with the downsloping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 One last hot day to get through.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 9, 2021 Author Share Posted April 9, 2021 My buddy is still skiing at Holimont. Crazy that yesterday you could ski with 80 degree temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 An area of drier air and weak high pressure will build into the eastern Great Lakes Saturday, bringing a return to dry weather and mostly sunny skies. South to southeast flow and warm advection will bring another day of record warmth once again with highs in the lower 80s across lower elevations. Record high at BUF is 82F and think we will have good chance of exceeding that. Record high at ROC is 85F so that may be tough to achieve but highs there should reach at least lower 80s. Record high at ART is 78F and forecast is very near that. Warm H85 temps to +13c, plenty of sunshine and deep mixing will help the cause for most areas. South to southeast flow will prevent lake breezes in most areas, with the one possible exception being the Lake Ontario shore west of Rochester. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 Looking for some days of 50 to 60 degrees with sunshine.....keep these 80s away until late June..or maybe never.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 9, 2021 Author Share Posted April 9, 2021 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Looking for some days of 50 to 60 degrees with sunshine.....keep these 80s away until late June..or maybe never.... Keep em coming! Welcome to the new normal my friend. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 6 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Keep em coming! Welcome to the new normal my friend. NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 52 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Looking for some days of 50 to 60 degrees with sunshine.....keep these 80s away until late June..or maybe never.... Bring the heat! I want subnucleate boiling in my pool by June. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 10 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Bring the heat! I want subnucleate boiling in my pool by June. Sorry bud but I don't think we will be seeing any heat this year due to El Nino developing this summer from La Nina. Usually when it comes to netural El Nino, we tend to have cool/chilly summer so it might be the case for this summer in the great lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 Looks like we escaped most of the heat today, briefly made it to 71° before clouds started rolling in, currently 59° with showers.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 10, 2021 Share Posted April 10, 2021 Gfs will be showing snow opportunities into July lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 10, 2021 Share Posted April 10, 2021 11 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Gfs will be showing snow opportunities into July lol These models are regressing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 10, 2021 Author Share Posted April 10, 2021 Definitely a cool down to around normal temps coming. We cannot keep this heat up. Average highs are low 50s with lows in 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted April 10, 2021 Share Posted April 10, 2021 14 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Definitely a cool down to around normal temps coming. We cannot keep this heat up. Average highs are low 50s with lows in 30s. Even with that, it looks the biggest departures once again miss us. Seems like colder air has been funneling more south than east the past couple years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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