BuffaloWeather Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 Figured I'd start a new thread with Spring starting officially in a few days. The next week looks beautiful! Friday Sunny, with a high near 38. Saturday Sunny, with a high near 53. Sunday Sunny, with a high near 59. Monday Sunny, with a high near 63. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Wednesday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 62. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 Bring it....I made it to 100" this week, so it can be done... BTW, dog owner tip.....now that the snow is gone, if you need to clean up some accumulated droppings from your pet in your yard, the next few mornings offer an opportunity to collect frozen goodies, as opposed to softer variants....ie...a more pleasant task! 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 8 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Spring doesn't start next week, this warm is only brief before cold weather comes back on 1st week of April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 2 hours ago, LakeEffectKing said: Bring it....I made it to 100" this week, so it can be done... BTW, dog owner tip.....now that the snow is gone, if you need to clean up some accumulated droppings from your pet in your yard, the next few mornings offer an opportunity to collect frozen goodies, as opposed to softer variants....ie...a more pleasant task! I have to clean up after my dog every time he goes out, if not he eats it. I've tried everything to stop him from doing it, but nothing works. So my yard is completely clean! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 It's actually quite dry here for this time of year. Didn't get much rain yesterday, only 0.01". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 Buf is at +2.7 this month with .6" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 1 hour ago, brentrich said: Spring doesn't start next week, this warm is only brief before cold weather comes back on 1st week of April. Would like to see the data to back this up please... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 2 hours ago, vortmax said: It's actually quite dry here for this time of year. Didn't get much rain yesterday, only 0.01". Yeah....fire threat will undoubtedly be high by Mon/Tue for much of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 5 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Yeah....fire threat will undoubtedly be high by Mon/Tue for much of the area. Our dry season is in summer where it rarely rains here. Definite drought coming this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 GFS with a monster next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 3 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: GFS with a monster next week THAT I would sign up for! That would put KBUF inches away from average (it’s fantasy but I’m not interested in logic right now)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 6 hours ago, vortmax said: Would like to see the data to back this up please... Sure! Here you go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 3 hours ago, brentrich said: Sure! Here you go. Not trying to troll you but you do realize that by late March most of the averages in NY and Ontario are well into 40s and 50s. And spring in NY and Ontario almost always have snow and some cold spells. I actually expect to wake up one morning in April and see 1" of sloppy snow covering flowers and green grass. It happens nearly every year. The fantasy GFS Buffaloweather posted is exactly what happens in late March and April. Buffalo and Cleveland could see 4-8" and be under a winter storm warning and be 31F and heavy snow. While Detroit and Toronto are 40F with sloppy rain and wet snow because the best forcing is south of them. I enjoy watching big spring snowstorms in the midwest and plains. Could be 50F and cloudy in the Dakotas, 32F and blizzard in Minneapolis and 75F and thunderstorms in Chicago. The maps show very clearly where the heaviest precipitation is because its coldest and just cold enough for a big time snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 20, 2021 Share Posted March 20, 2021 Fantasy storm is gone. Like every other one this year. Colorado is having fun. I’d bet it’d be a great time to ski out there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 20, 2021 Share Posted March 20, 2021 The stats here demonstrate how mild of a snow season it has been...especially for those north of the Thruway. The Oswego to Fulton to Syracuse strip.....BAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2021 Share Posted March 20, 2021 11 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: The stats here demonstrate how mild of a snow season it has been...especially for those north of the Thruway. The Oswego to Fulton to Syracuse strip.....BAD. Is this the lowest Syracuse has had in years? The problem this year was the cold air. There wasn't alot around at all which is surprising given the negative NAO and AO. I finished the winter with 37.4 inches here in NYC which is 10 inches above normal but all my snow events were with temps in the upper 20s to low 30s. ( wet snow ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 20, 2021 Share Posted March 20, 2021 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Is this the lowest Syracuse has had in years? The problem this year was the cold air. There wasn't alot around at all which is surprising given the negative NAO and AO. I finished the winter with 37.4 inches here in NYC which is 10 inches above normal but all my snow events were with temps in the upper 20s to low 30s. ( wet snow ) Definitely top 10 least snow winters....maybe the 5th least snowy winter? Unfortunately, several of the least snowy have been in this century. Our four least snowy Winters: 2001-’02 (59.4”), 2011-’12 (50.6”) 1982-’83 (66.0”), and 1994-’95 (66.9”) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2021 Share Posted March 20, 2021 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Definitely top 10 least snow winters....maybe the 5th least snowy winter? Unfortunately, several of the least snowy have been in this century. Our four least snowy Winters: 2001-’02 (59.4”), 2011-’12 (50.6”) 1982-’83 (66.0”), and 1994-’95 (66.9”) Very surprising seeing the big differences between Syracuse and Oswego since those areas are close to each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 20, 2021 Author Share Posted March 20, 2021 https://www.tsforecast.com/seasonalsnowfall.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 20, 2021 Share Posted March 20, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Very surprising seeing the big differences between Syracuse and Oswego since those areas are close to each other. That 15 inch difference is actually very minor. It's not abnormal to see a seasonal difference of feet between locations around here...some of it depends on the wind setup. However, "usually" even with those differences, many locations will be in unison with having a good winter. This is, unless, it's a winter with a consistent wind coming from the SAME direction. For example, Watertown has done pretty good the past couple winters because of a never-ending SW wind off Lake Ontario. This winter, it was this strange consistent NW trajectory that continuously put the LES...what little came...over the Finger Lakes. This is why Auburn did better compared to many in CNY. The winds haven't been as variable the past couple winters to let everybody cash in. Plus, cold air, like you said....has been in short supply. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 20, 2021 Author Share Posted March 20, 2021 7 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: That 15 inch difference is actually very minor. It's not abnormal to see a seasonal difference of feet between locations around here...some of it depends on the wind setup. However, "usually" even with those differences, many locations will be in unison with having a good winter. This is, unless, it's a winter with a consistent wind coming from the SAME direction. For example, Watertown has done pretty good the past couple winters because of a never-ending SW wind off Lake Ontario. This winter, it was this strange consistent NW trajectory that continuously put the LES...what little came...over the Finger Lakes. This is why Auburn did better compared to many in CNY. The winds haven't been as variable the past couple winters to let everybody cash in. Plus, cold air, like you said....has been in short supply. I feel like that is going to be a problem nearly every winter going forward. We didn't drop below zero once in Buffalo this winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 20, 2021 Share Posted March 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I feel like that is going to be a problem nearly every winter going forward. We didn't drop below zero once in Buffalo this winter. Boo! How rare is that for Buffalo? I am thinking winters like last winter are going to become the norm. A few snow events with cutters that wash all the snow away. Up...down...up...down. Gone are the days of consistent snow cover. If we hadn't had the little SSW event to change things a "little" for this February, this very well would have been the least snowy winter here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2021 Share Posted March 20, 2021 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Boo! How rare is that for Buffalo? I am thinking winters like last winter are going to become the norm. A few snow events with cutters that wash all the snow away. Up...down...up...down. Gone are the days of consistent snow cover. If we hadn't had the little SSW event to change things a "little" for this February, this very well would have been the least snowy winter here. Not a great winter either in NNE. The original winter forecast was for a mild snowless winter for the Mid Atlantic and alot of the Northeast. Blocking saved many in the northern mid Atlantic. Parts of NJ saw over 50 inches Central Park ( if we don't get any more snow ) will end up slightly more than Boston ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 20, 2021 Share Posted March 20, 2021 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Not a great winter either in NNE. The original winter forecast was for a mild snowless winter for the Mid Atlantic and alot of the Northeast. Blocking saved many in the northern mid Atlantic. Parts of NJ saw over 50 inches Central Park ( if we don't get any more snow ) will end up slightly more than Boston ? Yeah, I have seen the posts from Phineas and the Maine folks on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 20, 2021 Share Posted March 20, 2021 11 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Boo! How rare is that for Buffalo? I am thinking winters like last winter are going to become the norm. A few snow events with cutters that wash all the snow away. Up...down...up...down. Gone are the days of consistent snow cover. If we hadn't had the little SSW event to change things a "little" for this February, this very well would have been the least snowy winter here. I’d tend to agree with this. If you believe the idea of warming, which I do, I think it lends itself to a more amplified pattern. Possibly with random visits by the vortex. Nobody really know. I think the biggest problem for us Matt, is that we live at temperate lake plain. The ADK’s are where it’s at. Or on top of the Tug. They’ll still get lots and it’ll stay through the transient warm spells. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 20, 2021 Author Share Posted March 20, 2021 15 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Boo! How rare is that for Buffalo? I am thinking winters like last winter are going to become the norm. A few snow events with cutters that wash all the snow away. Up...down...up...down. Gone are the days of consistent snow cover. If we hadn't had the little SSW event to change things a "little" for this February, this very well would have been the least snowy winter here. I'm not sure but just look at this list and tell me global warming isn't real. Look at the top 10 warmest/coldest years at the bottom. 4 out of 5 of the warmest years on record are in the last 15 years. The last time a year was top 10 for coldest on record? 1943...and before that 1926. Insane https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUF_top10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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