CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Pretty sweet look nrn MA/SNH on the NAM through hr 42. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 LOL, NAM has been so erratic, back to the days where the NAM behaving like the NAM we used to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 2 inches of rain before any change to white rain....meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Would imagine BOX would need to issue out some watches later today at this point with advisories everywhere else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Just now, crossbowftw3 said: Would imagine BOX would need to issue out some watches later today at this point with advisories everywhere else Nah, watches not issued now. No confidence in Watch amounts at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 17, 2021 Author Share Posted March 17, 2021 12k brings back the goods. But is is rain or snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Nah, watches not issued now. No confidence in Watch amounts at all. Fair play, especially with no real confidence. The implementation of the v16 was also delayed because of today’s severe event down south which makes it a little more difficult Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Just now, moneypitmike said: 12k brings back the goods. But is is rain or snow? It's a lot of rain to start for everyone before it flips. Decent bump N from 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 That's a pretty sick band from the pike up into N MA border region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 2 inches of rain before any change to white rain....meh Get the lawn soaked before the warmth...I may have to aerate and lime sooner than I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 2 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: For once I would be elated if RT 2 corridor gets nada. Weekend yard work FTW if we can get one more good shift South, let CT have the snow. Same 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Get the lawn soaked before the warmth...I may have to aerate and lime sooner than I thought. But, but Stein? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Kevin's 3K a little more south. You see how delicate it is, but this does seem like oe of those events where 700-500 lift will dictate where the jack would be. Gonna need the DGZ to get smacked with VV to help flip that area over to snow. Look north of the H7 front IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Might even be a narrow area that gets pelted for a time too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Get the lawn soaked before the warmth...I may have to aerate and lime sooner than I thought. can't wait for next week's torch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Kevin's 3K a little more south. You see how delicate it is, but this does seem like oe of those events where 700-500 lift will dictate where the jack would be. Gonna need the DGZ to get smacked with VV to help flip that area over to snow. Look north of the H7 front IMO. Any gut thoughts on where it may snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: But, but Stein? He won’t have anything to tweet about for the foreseeable future. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That's a pretty sick band from the pike up into N MA border region. This is what I have been saying.....trying to tell high512, or whatever not to worry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Yup ... I don't buy it... I think this doesn't do shit in the cold air ... we'll see. I'll tell yah, the upshot is that it's still going to be 60+ from Sunday through at least Wednesday this next week. So even if this overcame all that synoptic limation the model is fighting against to get to these looks to happen ... the ensuing days almost make it tolerable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yup ... I don't buy it... I think this doesn't do shit in the cold air ... we'll see. I'll tell yah, the upshot is that it's still going to be 60+ from Sunday through at least Wednesday this next week. So even if this overcame all that synoptic limation the model is fighting against to get to these looks to happen ... the ensuing days almost make it tolerable. I wouldn't be shocked...tough to ever trust these set ups, but you have to hedge against modeling pretty strongly to forecast nothing at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I wouldn't be shocked...tough to ever trust these set ups, but you have to hedge against modeling pretty strongly to forecast nothing at this point. Which OKX is doing down here. BOX coverage is a different story though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Which OKX is doing down here. BOX coverage is a different story though. have to go by history-how often has back end rain changing to snow worked out after 2 inches of rain has fallen? I'll take almost never for $500 Alex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I wouldn't be shocked...tough to ever trust these set ups, but you have to hedge against modeling pretty strongly to forecast nothing at this point. Oh..well "NOTHING" as a distinction isn't really what I had in mind, either. Pistol to head? I think it cold rains more in CT/RI with sub-cat paw blats on the windshields, then some pingers start bouncing here and there...and then some mangle noodles then it ends... maybe a silver inch that turns diamond hard before disappearing Saturday...something snarky like that though.. . I don't like exuberance using tactical avoidance ...refocusing on aspect that make the positive returns thus seem more plausible? That is a delusional process, frankly. And although it is ultimately harmless in a random public internet social-media platform, such as this site and its ability to exert such a HUGE influence over a wide range of institutional policies ( LOL...), it's still toe-nail-curling to see. I know...I know. Lighten up - ...it may very well be the last chance for 7 months ( until the dependable October snow event next autumn ...) to tie off the bicep and slap the forearm veins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: have to go by history-how often has back end rain changing to snow worked out after 2 inches of rain has fallen? I'll take almost never for $500 Alex Especially in late March...yea, it make sense to fade it around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 19 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: have to go by history-how often has back end rain changing to snow worked out after 2 inches of rain has fallen? I'll take almost never for $500 Alex This, I admit... is part of the doubt-canvas for me in all this, not just applicable as a general rule down around OKX's AD but should be applied everywhere. It looks like a cyclone that is attenuating and breaking down toward that kind of 'ANA' look - and that's a red flag for me. Then, adding to that ... the 00z Euro was paltry and sub-pedestrian... in fact, a business meeting's distraction away from ever knowing there may have been snow falling look about it. Heh. Then adding, having to rely upon a model that tends to be the the last model to give up a NW position ... Then, adding a bunch of other negatives ...like the whole structure is attenuating upon arrive in the deep layer mechanics; the N/stream is faux phasing and is really bringing suppression factor... It could still just be a unique situation where it succeeds with no way of doing so ...haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This, I admit... is part of the doubt-canvas for me in all this, not just applicable as a general rule down around OKX's AD but should be applied everywhere. It looks like a cyclone that is attenuating and breaking down toward that kind of 'ANA' look - and that's a red flag for me. Then, adding to that ... the 00z Euro was paltry and sub-pedestrian... in fact, a business meeting's distraction away from ever knowing there may have been snow falling look about. Heh. Then adding, having to rely upon a model that tends to be the the last model to give up a NW position ... Then, adding a bunch of other negatives ...like the whole structure is attenuating upon arrive in the deep layer mechanics. It could still just be a unique situation where it succeeds with no way of doing so ...haha 0Z Euro was very stout Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 It’s going to snow and stick . Question is.. is it advisory or warning amounts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 28 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Oh..well "NOTHING" as a distinction isn't really what I had in mind, either. Pistol to head? I think it cold rains more in CT/RI with sub-cat paw blats on the windshields, then some pingers start bouncing here and there...and then some mangle noodles then it ends... maybe a silver inch. I don't like exuberance using tactical avoidance ...refocusing on aspect that make the positive returns thus seem more plausible? That is a delusional process, frankly. And although it is ultimately harmless in a random public internet social-media platform like this site's ability to exert a HUGE influence over a wide range of institutional policies ( LOL...), it's still toe-nail-curling to see. I know...I know. Lighten up - ...it may very well be the last chance for 7 months ( until the dependable October snow event next autumn ...) to tie off the bicep and slap the forearm veins. I'm not playing any mind games.....I think a few inches of snow is a plausible scenario given the pantheon of guidance at this time. That said, its tenuous and could certainly fail. I am the last person to ever bank on the anafront dynamic.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 looks like Heavy Rain ending as a coating on the grass down here. it's fine, not invested at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 17, 2021 Share Posted March 17, 2021 28 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Especially in late March...yea, it make sense to fade it around here. Yep this is a nothing burger Icon looks like dog poop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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