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With a last gasp effort, winter 20-21 refuses to give up the ghost


moneypitmike
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8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Who cares what models show. How many times were they wrong this winter. Radar upstream looks bad . Anyone looking at that isn’t excited for 1-2” inches of rain 

Looks fine to me for modeled 1 to 1.5 rain.  Our heavy rain is over southern Illinois heading due  northeast. We watch your station on Weather underground.

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43 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Harvey’s got that too. Looks good at this juncture. I’m more worried about less qpf though . We’ll see if models are right for once . Stein concerned

 

“Any shifts north and we would end up with even more precipitation” is another way to look at it... but from what you share of his posts the fear is *always* less.

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I’d prob go 1-3” based on the overnight runs. The precip is moving out very quickly on those runs. We’ll see if it reverts back a bit on the 12z stuff but if not, then I’d be surprised if anyone got more than 3”. 

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