nutmegfriar Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Here's my white Christmas 1 inch is better than 0..Just taken there was a squirrel running by the fence..not sure if it's visble You must have 2 inches of grass then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeD Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I'd say T-1' is most likely outcome for you currently Converted to the Tolland scale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Here's my white Christmas 1 inch is better than 0..Just taken there was a squirrel running by the fence..not sure if it's visble Similar scene, here. I'm out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Ouch I'd say the best possible outcome is for 6-10 east of Kevin in New London and Windham counties... but a 1-3 kinda deal seems like the most likely scenario... maybe event less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looks like 09z SREFs came west a little. Not a surprise considering how far east they were. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Just took a look at the Euro QPF map...can't say I'm not slightly dissapointed by last night's run, but it's still very close to a moderate event up here. Looks to be quite a tight QPF gradient, so a 30-50 mile shift west makes a huge different. Still doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Converted to the Tolland scale. Must be warning criteria on the mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I'd say the best possible outcome is for 6-10 east of Kevin in New London and Windham counties... but a 1-3 kinda deal seems like the most likely scenario... maybe event less. At this point, I'm mentally preparing for 2-4. I'm not sure it wants to snow this winter (in SE CT). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Here's my white Christmas 1 inch is better than 0..Just taken there was a squirrel running by the fence..not sure if it's visble Drove up 84 the other day from the inlaws and all I had in my head was this vision of Mt Tolland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Drove up 84 the other day from the inlaws and all I had in my head was this vision of Mt Tolland. Every time I drive down 84, I look in the distance for mighty Mt. Tolland. Never found it...maybe today is the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 just looked at the overnight modeling very disappointing and my unwarranted optimism has faded. well i hope most people have at least a little snow on the ground. merry christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Just took a look at the Euro QPF map...can't say I'm not slightly dissapointed by last night's run, but it's still very close to a moderate event up here. Looks to be quite a tight QPF gradient, so a 30-50 mile shift west makes a huge different. Still doable. Hate to say it, but I'm growing increasingly pessimistic for a significant westward shift, at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Every time I drive down 84, I look in the distance for mighty Mt. Tolland. Never found it...maybe today is the day. When I drove down that part of 84, acorns would bounce off my windshield once in a while. Must have been Kevin leaf blowing them off his yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looks like 09z SREFs came west a little. Not a surprise considering how far east they were. Yeah they must have some more amped up members in there because the qpf contours are definitely a bit west. The 03z run barely got 0.25" to here, and the 09z gets it a bit W of here and into E CT. 0.50" goes from near the CC Canal at 03z to near BOS at 09z. The 1 inch line goes form way out in the ocean at 03z to almost kissing ACK/CHH at 09z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 At this point, I'm mentally preparing for 2-4. I'm not sure it wants to snow this winter (in SE CT). to be honest I'm not really comfortable putting out numbers yet. May tonight at 11 depending on how everything goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Hey guys, I knew where to find everyone want to wish you and your families a very Merry Christmas, and a happy, healthy, and prosperous New Year!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I need a benchmark for what you term "insane". Us CCodder's and Islanders don't even take notice until it's 60+mph. People that don't live down near that water don't get it! Ct rain lol on accums. I'm going to wait for the 12z but I'm thinking I'm going to have to shift the thoughts ive had for days 20 or so miles east maybe with the sharp .5 towards ktan? But will reserve judgement for a bit. Convergence on a course outside the bm by 10-20 miles seems to be occurring. Was talking to a silent pro on this board, wants to know how we can talk so much without getting to the heart of the matter/making predictions! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Hate to say it, but I'm growing increasingly pessimistic for a significant westward shift, at this point. Eh, yeah, I'm probably in the same boat. I'll be happy if I can squeak out advisory at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 to be honest I'm not really comfortable putting out numbers yet. May tonight at 11 depending on how everything goes. Put a snowflakle on the board with a "Stay Tuned???" graphic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 At this point, I'm mentally preparing for 2-4. I'm not sure it wants to snow this winter (in SE CT). As opposed to the rest of CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2010 Author Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looks like the westward shift we knew was coming is starting..beginning with Joe D's SREF's..he loves those things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looks like the westward shift we knew was coming is starting..beginning with Joe D's SREF's..he loves those things. Srefs really nailed Monday's event at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 As opposed to the rest of CT? I prefer to pee in my own cornflakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Eh, yeah, I'm probably in the same boat. I'll be happy if I can squeak out advisory at this point. Saw this coming a mile away.......absolutely knew that the EURO would gradually shift east from that epic run that gave Jaffrey like 3' until it jackpotted the cape. Sure enough, the trend stopped as soon as it when too far east for my liking. This is why I was feaking out over what others' deamed to be minor swings......knew this was transpiring and that this is where we would stand. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 LOL I. Can totally relate, actually shoveled a bunch of the 1/2 off the deck and piled it in the shade, LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 People that don't live down near that water don't get it! Nope, they don't. Even the past 2 days, our high speed ferries weren't running half the trips from gusts in the high 30's and 4-5 foot seas on ACK Sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Converted to the Tolland scale. Mornin - what's your best guess given the current expected track? Think the cape has a chance to reach blizzard conditions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Saw this coming a mile away.......absolutely knew that the EURO would gradually shift east from that epic run that gave Jaffrey like 3' until it jackpotted the cape. Sure enough, the trend stopped as soon as it when too far east for my liking. This is why I was feaking out over what others' deamed to be minor swings......knew this was transpiring and that this is where we would stand. Oh well. Yep, agreed. At least we get to enjoy Christmas...any other time of the winter and I'd probably be rip****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Saw this coming a mile away.......absolutely knew that the EURO would gradually shift east from that epic run that gave Jaffrey like 3' until it jackpotted the cape. Sure enough, the trend stopped as soon as it when too far east for my liking. This is why I was feaking out over what others' deamed to be minor swings......knew this was transpiring and that this is where we would stand. Oh well. You have 72 hours for even a 30 mile shift in longitude which may increase your snowfall by 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Yep, agreed. At least we get to enjoy Christmas...any other time of the winter and I'd probably be rip****. Even though the start of the trend jackpotted me, I still got a sinking feeling because it was but a pit stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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