NorthShoreWx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Well put it in perspective. Out of maybe 75 million people who could have been affected by the former Euro storm, having 945 crazy enough to be on a BB looking at models at a 2 AM is a rather small percentage. The problem is I am sacrificing my claim to sanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 And what model is this? 960 or less at 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I suspect we'll like this run...trough digging even further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Pretty darn similar than the 18z run through 36 and a world slower than the 12z run...really not all that different with s/w placement than the NAM but much weaker with the southern vort and the northern stream energy. Heights might be a tick flatter over the East. yeah other than some noise and some slight differences over the midwest it's pretty close to 18z thru 50 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 And what model is this? One that does not matter.........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 960 or less at 87 I got to about 966 and couldn't tell if there were any more isobars or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I got to about 966 and couldn't tell if there were any more isobars or not. I blew it up about 400% and counted from the north. For Logan...its the RSM, whatever the hell that is: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/RSMEAST_0z/rsmloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 yeah other than some noise and some slight differences over the midwest it's pretty close to 18z thru 50 hrs Really starting to pull away from the NAM too by 42 HR with regards to the northern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 IMO this run will be slightly better than 18z, based on the through position,, if everything else remains similar.. but we will see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 GFS is digging much more and by hr 54 heights are higher along the MA coast than 18z.. should be a little west of that i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 IMO this run will be slightly better than 18z, based on the through position,, if everything else remains similar.. but we will see How do you feel about the ridge poking further east along the US/CA border? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Stronger run. Tighter into the coast 60 vs 18z 66 and tighter (narrower) trof. I like the changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Trough is digging at 60, This should be coming north........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 gonna be a bomb, but how close? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 WOW at hr 60.. gonna be west of 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
millpondwx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 IMO this run will be slightly better than 18z, based on the through position,, if everything else remains similar.. but we will see So far, big changes GFS 00z compared to 18Z. Flow from the southern wave is pointing in our direction with a cutoff low now forming IN/OH border. Much better looking, at least at this forecast hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I blew it up about 400% and counted from the north. For Logan...its the RSM, whatever the hell that is: http://www.meteo.psu...0z/rsmloop.html heh...it's the regional spectral model. There are perturbations of the RSM factored into the SREFs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Stupid question, but what website can I view the models at as the come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 wow..54 HR looking kind of nice, digging more with the trough and you have a 534dm closed contour developed back over OH/IN where this feature is more strung out on the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmj16725 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Noticably west at 60 . . . that Wisc S/W is interesting . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 trof axis still further west with more energy sliding down from the MW...should be a VERY good run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 How do you feel about the ridge poking further east along the US/CA border? not sure if I should feel good about that.. how do you feel about it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looks like this one is on the benchmark or a tick west............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Stupid question, but what website can I view the models at as the come out? click on GFS.. http://www.twisterdata.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
millpondwx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Even bigger changes now at 66h. 500 low cutoff in eastern kentucky. 500 flow now south to north along east coast with energy in VA. This looks like a much bigger hit compared to 18z. Lots of happy weenies after this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looks like this one is on the benchmark or a tick west............. How do you have it out that far already? NCEP is at 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 The mslp at 75 hours: 980 at 38.5/71. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 How do you have it out that far already? NCEP is at 54 He got the magic stick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 How do you have it out that far already? NCEP is at 54 SV, I am out to 81 and its a bomb......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 At 72 HR it's certainly west of 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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