ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Enough of a hook to throw some decent QPF back further west to get more of the interior? Not sure, I think mostly ENE this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Stick a fork in it. Euro looks awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Kev gets his SE SNE special through 90h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Trying to make a late hook into the GOM..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Solid warning event for the Cape with less snow but still warning criteria out to 495. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 EC looks good for eastern New England. It's really trying to make this a nice hit for Cape Cod and extreme coastal areas in the later frames but this is the 3-4th run in a row with a major change so..... Phil and Don S potentially FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Congrats Phil...CC Crusher....basically 12/26/04 repeat. Big hit for coastal MA...maybe advisory snow to ORH...not much west. Maybe 1" to the CT River Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Pretty big storm for the Cape. Looks like a 6-8 deal for BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Congrats Phil...CC Crusher....basically 12/26/04 repeat. Big hit for coastal MA...maybe advisory snow to ORH...not much west. Maybe 1" to the CT River Valley. Yeah the comma head crushes the Cape on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Kev gets his SE SNE special through 90h. I just hope we see the hook signal return in later runs, the ski areas need the snow although snowmaking is ahead of last year. Well the EC continues to fold towards the ENS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 That STUPID lead s/w. Downstream ridging less than previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Any upslope moisture in VT/NH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Looks like about 0.70-0.75" to BOS on this run. Over an inch liquid for the Cape. About 0.25" back to ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Well this is a trend that must be stopped. Let's see what the ensembles say. Euro buckles...again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 still 90+ hours out, doubt the average of current solutions will stick, certainly room for better or worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Alright. I'm done. This has been a disgusting year. I'm sick of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I am still predicting a 35n/75w to 41n/69w track. That has been my track all along and I am sticking to it, I expect the low to be further west initially while it reaches Hatteras, NC do to the influences of the baroclinic zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Not surprised. The CT valley is the snow hole of New england. Always misses us. Oh well, we got our big snow for the season, a light dusting last night. Congrats Phil...CC Crusher....basically 12/26/04 repeat. Big hit for coastal MA...maybe advisory snow to ORH...not much west. Maybe 1" to the CT River Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Time to relax.....still d4-4.5 event. It can be totally OTS, as modeled, or trend back in.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 That is an absolutely ferocious commahead/CCB at 90 and 96 hours over CC and extreme E MA....if you back that 50-75 miles west, a large portion of the region gets slammed with a monster event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Eh...I'll take it. I guess not bad for 96hrs, bring back the old days when storms came nw at this time..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Congrats Phil...CC Crusher....basically 12/26/04 repeat. Big hit for coastal MA...maybe advisory snow to ORH...not much west. Maybe 1" to the CT River Valley. Big deal...ECM is clearly bowing to GFS, major loss for most of us as we trend from a big hit for all of SNE and NYC metro to another boring scraper. ECM has been performing miserably lately; we all assumed that the GFS was trending towards the ECM when it was truly the other way around. Incredible to think many of us could finish the month with only a couple inches of snow despite the persistent and often brutal cold. Pattern has basically been garbage though; I'm honestly ready for SW flow events and clippers even if they only give me a few inches. Unfortunately we may have to deal with an all-rain cutter around New Year's before the cold builds back in for the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 As expected...now I have to go do some errands and Xmas shop. I'm sure this could trend back west some for you NE people...but at 12z all these models are on a similar page so you figured the Euro would follow suit. Pretty good snow showers underway here now.... Kev gets his SE SNE special through 90h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Looks like Ray gets 3-8" this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 i know the short wave is already in NA.. but are all other players already sampled? I mean is the northern J/S energy still in Canada? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 That is an absolutely ferocious commahead/CCB at 90 and 96 hours over CC and extreme E MA....if you back that 50-75 miles west, a large portion of the region gets slammed with a monster event. I'm hoping to get in on that.......the 12/26/04 analog lives complete with the advance OES in some guidance. That was a great storm on the Cape and a very good one for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I'm hoping to get in on that.......the 12/26/04 analog lives complete with the advance OES in some guidance. That was a great storm on the Cape and a very good one for me. That was a fun storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 This one is certainly probably going to go down to the very last few model runs, just so much uncertainties and factors at play here, definitely going to take more time for the models to figure everything out and ingest everything. However, I do think it's becoming clearer that if anyone sees a decent impact from this it will definitely be out in eastern areas. We'd probably have to start seeing some significant trends for virtually the rest of SNE to get impacted. Let's see what the ens have to say though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 My pants are off....someone tell me when I can take off my boxers After Phil digs out on Monday, maybe he'll nab an after Christmas sale on some suspenders for your pants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Big deal...ECM is clearly bowing to GFS, major loss for most of us as we trend from a big hit for all of SNE and NYC metro to another boring scraper. ECM has been performing miserably lately; we all assumed that the GFS was trending towards the ECM when it was truly the other way around. Incredible to think many of us could finish the month with only a couple inches of snow despite the persistent and often brutal cold. Pattern has basically been garbage though; I'm honestly ready for SW flow events and clippers even if they only give me a few inches. Unfortunately we may have to deal with an all-rain cutter around New Year's before the cold builds back in for the long range. Actually they've trended toward eachother. GFS was a total fish storm a couple days ago giving nobody any snow. Now its coming to a coastal hit while the Euro is going from a big EC hit to just a coastal NE hit. Not surpising right now since the ensemble mean has been just outside the BM pretty consistently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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