Tropopause_Fold Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 10:12 PM, CT Blizz said: Phil should probably post his thoughts lol...no change really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:09 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Why do i like men? why do you think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:04 PM, dendrite said: Guys...we've been lenient with the moderating, but we've been giving WAYYY more leeway than the other regional subforums. Keeps the posts mostly about weather. Yes you have. I'm on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:10 PM, cpickett79 said: why do you think You don't know why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I like seeing what the 18z GFS did. Slowed the system down by like 6hr by digging the system more. That extra digging makes a world of difference. I feel pretty good where I am right now along with the rest of the SE MA/ CC/ Island crew. If we can get this system to come ~50 miles closer to the coast most of E MA will be in for some fun times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 How is this going to deliver snow? I'm baffled.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 lol...979 on the ec ens mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:12 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: You don't know why. i mean a therapist could prob delve into that. on another note lots of forcing ....lift and LP placement combined with your locale assuming your not in ptown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:15 PM, cpickett79 said: i mean a therapist could prob delve into that. on another note lots of forcing ....lift and LP placement combined with your locale assuming your not in ptown give it a rest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:16 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: give it a rest sure thing 20$ ray. your looking good. (bet) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Heavy Snow In general, snowfall is accumulating at either of the following rates: 4 inches/10 cm or more in 12 hours or less. 6 inches/15 cm or more in 24 hours or less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Looks rather windy too, verbatim on the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:01 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Actually, I'm quite confident that when he applies numbers to those categories tmw, that they will be from west to east: D-1", 1-3", 3-6", 4-8" (ME), 6-12" (Boston) and 12+ (CC) Not quite the storm we had seen on the models but, they are still nice numbers. The storms seem to want to move away from the cost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Was out.. just looked at the GFS... The trend west has begun folks! I love where we are sitting right now. Just 50-100 miles more and were talking a major hit. 00z models are going to be fun tonight! 00z models are HUGE tonight... we have to hope they keep the shift west going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Can someone explain the situaion with the euro ens? Is it east of the op? Weaker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:15 PM, cpickett79 said: i mean a therapist could prob delve into that. on another note lots of forcing ....lift and LP placement combined with your locale assuming your not in ptown What in the world are you talking about...I simply asked for your rationale as to why you felt as though there would be a 2ndary maxima in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:22 PM, ETauntonMA said: Looks rather windy too, verbatim on the 18z GFS. ungodly. lol. like 75 knots atop the mixed layer out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:59 PM, ORH_wxman said: Wow, ECMWF ensemble mean is almost directly over the benchmark maybe a 9 iron east, slightly northwest of the OP run at 84 hours...but very close overall. On 12/23/2010 at 8:01 PM, dendrite said: It came west from the 00z ensembles. The mean LP doesn't look too drastically different from the OP to me. There's more QPF thrown back into the interior so there's probably a few good hits for the interior that are west of the OP. On 12/23/2010 at 11:24 PM, messenger said: Can someone explain the situaion with the euro ens? Is it east of the op? Weaker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:23 PM, snowNH said: Was out.. just looked at the GFS... The trend west has begun folks! I love where we are sitting right now. Just 50-100 miles more and were talking a major hit. 00z models are going to be fun tonight! I'm expecting an apps runner tonight. One run doesn't make a trend when it's adjusting to the mean IMO. Not yet anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:26 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: ungodly. lol. like 75 knots atop the mixed layer out here. I'm locking in 10-12" for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:26 PM, messenger said: I'm expecting an apps runner tonight. One run doesn't make a trend when it's adjusting to the mean IMO. Not yet anyway You're right. How about, the trend east has stopped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:26 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: What in the world are you talking about...I simply asked for your rationale as to why you felt as thought there would be a 2ndary maxima in this area. and i responded to that.....after doing a cut and paste like we do 10,000 x. now let me ask you do you disagree......and that it would probably set up NNE/SSW and to choose a better term ...not that you would = cape amounts but a secondary area of higher totals. or do you think a deform band like that is not as likely and Why....just trying to learn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:28 PM, ETauntonMA said: I'm locking in 10-12" for me. I'm locking 10-12" for me and a mix for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:28 PM, snowNH said: You're right. How about, the trend east has stopped? This I agree with.....in general, but we will see some run-to-run fluctuation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Nice model shifts for us in the eastern half of the viewing area. About all to say about that until more guidance comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 18 GFS has gone to the Euro OP solution all week. Upper levels are impressive especially at h7..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:26 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: What in the world are you talking about...I simply asked for your rationale as to why you felt as though there would be a 2ndary maxima in this area. i think just looking back historically, the north shore usually has a secondary maxima when the south shore does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:29 PM, cpickett79 said: and i responded to that.....after doing a cut and paste like we do 10,000 x. now let me ask you do you disagree......and that it would probably set up NNE/SSW or do you think a deform band like that is not as likely....just tryng to learn Whatever....I missed it. The CF would probably be along the immediate N shore onto Messenger and Bob's neck of the woods, so I would have to depend on one of those NW fringe deformation bands that are usually undermodeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:26 PM, messenger said: I'm expecting an apps runner tonight. One run doesn't make a trend when it's adjusting to the mean IMO. Not yet anyway Well that would take some hardcore readjusting of the ridge axis but if you think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 11:32 PM, ETauntonMA said: i think just looking back historically, the north shore usually has a secondary maxima when the south shore does. On 12/23/2010 at 11:33 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Whatever....I missed it. The CF would probably be along the immediate N shore onto Messenger and Bob's neck of the woods, so I would have to depend on one of those NW fringe deformation bands that are usually undermodeled. I agree, Bob.....but not this far inland....KBEV, Peabody, Salem, Danvers, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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