moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:14 PM, Dryslot said: There could be some truth to both of those statements............ Yeah, but like I've told you before--she thinks your name sounds dirty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Well the Euro gives east coastal areas off the Cape 6+, GFS 4+. Ensembles of GFS 6+. I'm hopeful the eastern trend is done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:39 PM, snowNH said: When will they come out? isn't it soon? Yeah they just started, but won't be out far enough for 15 or 20 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 SREF mean came in much more amped up still would be too east though. Sort of out of their range though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:40 PM, moneypitmike said: Yeah, but like I've told you before--she thinks your name sounds dirty. Just like my mind........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 will is there any shot that this thing goes east then hooks left (north).....something that would bury us....but miss the MA......and thus not fly in the face of no "ku's in 117 years of enso climatology" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 NAM rolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Well one model did trend west today....was a total whiff at 00z, and now a good hit for coastal areas. Our favorite...the JMA: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:46 PM, ORH_wxman said: Well one model did trend west today....was a total whiff at 00z, and now a good hit for coastal areas. Our favorite...the JMA: That should get most off the ledge now....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 NO MORE RADIO SHOWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 appears to be slightly more ridging out west out to 12 on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:50 PM, Dryslot said: That should get most off the ledge now....... The colors look impressive, but it's unfortunately a graze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:46 PM, ORH_wxman said: Well one model did trend west today....was a total whiff at 00z, and now a good hit for coastal areas. Our favorite...the JMA: Does this not look similar to the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:53 PM, dendrite said: The colors look impressive, but it's unfortunately a graze. You know you're in trouble when the JMA isn't even a hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:51 PM, Bostonseminole said: NO MORE RADIO SHOWS Yeah, like the horrible one two nights ago that gave us our dreams yesterday. Come on, really? That savvy old NAM may win again. Intriguing year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:54 PM, ETauntonMA said: Does this not look similar to the Euro? Slightly lighter than the Euro...looks like BOS is about 0.50" on that while its 0.75" on the Euro...but overall not totally dissimilar. Euro ensembles out in a minute or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:55 PM, ORH_wxman said: Slightly lighter than the Euro...looks like BOS is about 0.50" on that while its 0.75" on the Euro...but overall not totally dissimilar. Euro ensembles out in a minute or two. This is all I am waiting for before I leave work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:55 PM, ORH_wxman said: Slightly lighter than the Euro...looks like BOS is about 0.50" on that while its 0.75" on the Euro...but overall not totally dissimilar. Euro ensembles out in a minute or two. The ensembles look pretty close to the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:57 PM, dendrite said: The ensembles look pretty close to the OP. Where in regard to previous ensembles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Wow, ECMWF ensemble mean is almost directly over the benchmark maybe a 9 iron east, slightly northwest of the OP run at 84 hours...but very close overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 NAM at 500 at 18hr looks sharper with the 500 low in TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:59 PM, ORH_wxman said: Wow, ECMWF ensemble mean is almost directly over the benchmark maybe a 9 iron east, slightly northwest of the OP run at 84 hours...but very close overall. I am still in the game. Merry Christmas. Have fun with Megan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:59 PM, snowNH said: NAM at 500 at 18hr looks sharper with the 500 low in TX yes, there's more southern stream interaction earlier on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:59 PM, ORH_wxman said: Wow, ECMWF ensemble mean is almost directly over the benchmark maybe a 9 iron east, slightly northwest of the OP run at 84 hours...but very close overall. Yes!!! That really is awesome news. Game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:59 PM, ORH_wxman said: Wow, ECMWF ensemble mean is almost directly over the benchmark maybe a 9 iron east, slightly northwest of the OP run at 84 hours...but very close overall. great to hear Will, NAM looks slightly better than 12z so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:58 PM, Kbosch said: Where in regard to previous ensembles? It came west from the 00z ensembles. The mean LP doesn't look too drastically different from the OP to me. There's more QPF thrown back into the interior so there's probably a few good hits for the interior that are west of the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:59 PM, ORH_wxman said: Wow, ECMWF ensemble mean is almost directly over the benchmark maybe a 9 iron east, slightly northwest of the OP run at 84 hours...but very close overall. Thats a good sign must be a few members a good deal west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:57 PM, dendrite said: The ensembles look pretty close to the OP. How many feet do I get? Was interesting reading afd's backpedal on supporting the Ec. My impression of the Ec is it's been skipping this storm ne for several runs but that it's Probably slipped as far as it's going to and we will now restart the solution envelope from here. I think we will see shifts w to e the further north you are bit the cone down the coast is closing. I think the mega changes are down and we now see the general solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Nam at 24 is really amped up and a little further N with the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 7:59 PM, ORH_wxman said: Wow, ECMWF ensemble mean is almost directly over the benchmark maybe a 9 iron east, slightly northwest of the OP run at 84 hours...but very close overall. That's encouraging. If the qpf envelope is large enough, maybe we can whiten the ground up in the hinterlands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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