skierinvermont Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 22 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: HREF 12z MAX amounts (NOT mean) Thru 12z Sunday (If i am reading that correctly) https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/?model=href&product=snowfall_024h_max§or=cp&rd=20210313&rt=1200 18 minutes ago, AlaskaETC said: From the looks of it, the mean is also very generous for most areas. the mean looks to be about 18" for the metro a little more west a little less east (adding the h24 and h48 totals). around 32" on the mean for Estes, with 47" for the max. more in the higher terrain N and E of Estes really slams just NW of Fort Collins and up into WY. up to 60" on the mean for the high terrain in WY. 80" on the max. also 80" max 55" mean near Cameron pass west of Fort Collins 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 SNow has all but stopped for now, just some real fine flakes right now. Temps back up above freezing. Really nothing on radar to indicate it'll pick back up any time soon. Though it looks a lull for a couple hours is expected, which is reassuring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 32 minutes ago, skierinvermont said: the mean looks to be about 18" for the metro a little more west a little less east (adding the h24 and h48 totals). around 32" on the mean for Estes, with 47" for the max. more in the higher terrain N and E of Estes really slams just NW of Fort Collins and up into WY. up to 60" on the mean for the high terrain in WY. 80" on the max. also 80" max 55" mean near Cameron pass west of Fort Collins Ya If you really peak at Estes and Fort Collins it looks you really want elevation (relatively speaking) . The Estes Bowl on 18z HRRR that Midlo wx posted last page sticks out pretty hard due to local downsloping on E flow (Less QPF by a good margin but probably overdone a bit) you wanna be on NE side or S edge of that town. Anything near Fort Collins just needs a bit more elevation ...just W of them seems to be very isolated , not much residential spots above 6K I always find Meso Scale weather Phenomena very interesting , i won't harp on it anymore, as this should be a awesome storm for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 I got my first flakes at about 11:50 AM start of storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CO SciFan Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Sorry I missed we have an actual storm-dedicated thread! It's fairly cranking in Laporte over the last twenty minutes but still fairly warm at 35ish degrees. I wonder if Laporte will get a bit more than Fort Collins being a tad higher and closer to the foothills, or will the Cheyenne Ridge keep that from happening? We recently moved from central Fort Collins to basically the middle of Laporte and it's amazing how much louder the lightning is against the foothills and how different the weather can be here than just a few miles away in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Just about 1" here in Boulder. Temp is 32 on the nose. Starting to accumulate on hard surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldnorthstate Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 rain/snow mix in denver. more melting than sticking at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wttnwx Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Off and on flakes in Laramie, quite breezy. Was rain/snow mix by Cheyenne and very foggy over the pass between Cheyenne and Laramie around 1030am. Spending night in Laramie before going up to 10k ft tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Looks like the good stuff for most of us begins late afternoon/evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Precip has nearly completely shut off here. This dry slot seems pretty hefty. Is this different than modeled? The HRRR doesn't show anything like this until later in the day. Perhaps this thing really is moving sloooooooooow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 1 hour ago, CO SciFan said: Sorry I missed we have an actual storm-dedicated thread! It's fairly cranking in Laporte over the last twenty minutes but still fairly warm at 35ish degrees. I wonder if Laporte will get a bit more than Fort Collins being a tad higher and closer to the foothills, or will the Cheyenne Ridge keep that from happening? We recently moved from central Fort Collins to basically the middle of Laporte and it's amazing how much louder the lightning is against the foothills and how different the weather can be here than just a few miles away in town. You can see on Weather Underground Meso net that area SW side of Fort Collins is running 30-31 along 38E by Horse Tooth Area while rest of town is 33-34 Dry slot always looked like an issue in Boulder but that was later...maybe this is just a lull there now. 18z Gfs looked best with Dryslot further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 A cell just spun up pouring graupel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Starting to pick up here in Casper. A slight wind, 32 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Temp back down below 29. Looks like radar is starting to fill in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Looking at the gfs if my time is correct this is 11pm tonight our time. Has an extremely heavy band of precip. 3-4”+? per hour snows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Yes, AFD mentions heaviest snow from 06z to 18z Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Because of daylight savings time, there will no snow between 2:00 AM and 3:00 AM. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 It's hard to stay positive on this mess. As I look at my gauge with a measly .08 so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 7 minutes ago, ValpoVike said: It's hard to stay positive on this mess. As I look at my gauge with a measly .08 so far. EDIT - ok, I guess not so bad. Peeking at the 06z para GFS from this morning, it was showing .09" for my area at this timeframe. Where are you located Valpo? With the snow not being bad yet even here wondering if I should head out N to a dif spot while I still can but idk. This is always the stressful part of chasing. We’ll know by like 11-12 tonight and how radar is looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 I am in Glen Haven, which is a few miles north of EP. EDIT - a town of about 200. No hotel, so I would think EP is still a good base for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Just now, ValpoVike said: I am in Glen Haven, which is a few miles north of EP. Ohh that’s a place I was just looking at myself for maybe last second move. There’s an Inn I saw near you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 Just now, Wentzadelphia said: Ohh that’s a place I was just looking at myself for maybe last second move. There’s an Inn I saw near you. Yeah, but not sure it is open with Covid. It is a mom and pop place owned by an elderly couple. I haven't seen any activity there for the past year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Where are you located Valpo? With the snow not being bad yet even here wondering if I should head out N to a dif spot while I still can but idk. This is always the stressful part of chasing. We’ll know by like 11-12 tonight and how radar is looking Para gfs qpf bombs Estes park during the next 6 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 Rates have been pretty solid here for the past 1-2 hours. All surfaces are completely covered now. 31.1 degrees with a little over 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 42 minutes ago, Amped said: Para gfs qpf bombs Estes park during the next 6 hrs. Yep it’s picking up everything covered now here we go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 Cheyenne looks like its getting pounded pretty good. West side gets up toward 6400' and higher. Radar looks "normal" there. GL to all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 The snowfall is not too impressive yet for most of the area. For me, the snow is just above the grass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 I probably have 3" total, though compressed down to 1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 Starting to accumulate here. Looking to get 8" or more overnight according to the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 THe pessimist in me expects to wake up with like 2" more than I have now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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