wizard021 Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 1 minute ago, StormChaser4Life said: Well given that storm mode is significantly less discrete than it was earlier may not see like we did earlier with that storm. Not saying significant tornadoes can't happen in the moderate risk. Just seems like now the supercells are merging largely. But will likely still see spin ups given the shear. Could be more QLCS related though. We shall see. Its an outlook, nobody cares . What happens is happening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 4 minutes ago, wizard021 said: Its an outlook, nobody cares . What happens is happening. People get butthurt really easily in this forum. Lol. Was simply voicing my opinion and observations. Idc what the outlook is. I look at the meteorology not the SPC outlook. But was stating where the significant tornado happened earlier on was on the edge or possibly outside the 15 hatched but doesn't really matter. Just an observation. Calm down everyone. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Also had a close call on a muddy road. Managed to wiggle out. Could have been a much worse situation. It was a 3 mile bypass thanks to Google Maps. Started paved, otherwise I wouldn’t have taken it. Had to continue or I would have been destroyed by hail. Not one of my finer chase moments Tornado from earlier: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 1 minute ago, Quincy said: Also had a close call on a muddy road. Managed to wiggle out. Could have been a much worse situation. It was a 3 mile bypass thanks to Google Maps. Started paved, otherwise I wouldn’t have taken it. Had to continue or I would have been destroyed by hail. Not one of my finer chase moments Tornado from earlier: Nice catch man! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted March 13, 2021 Share Posted March 13, 2021 Circulation right over Clarendon, TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 10 minutes ago, TexMexWx said: Circulation right over Clarendon, TX They just got incredibly lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 1 minute ago, MUWX said: They just got incredibly lucky. Made a hard left so I thought the entire circulation would be occluding, but then it's just wrapped up a ton south of Howardwick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, TexMexWx said: Made a hard left so I thought the entire circulation would be occluding, but then it's just wrapped up a ton south of Howardwick Clarendon may not be out of the woods yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 tornado-warned storm near Paducah, TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 6 minutes ago, Chinook said: tornado-warned storm near Paducah, TX Couplet looked nasty there for a minute, but ramped down again on the next scan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 Core punched the Paducah storm. A lot of hail, but mostly sub severe. Followed it closely from behind for over a half hour and never saw anything conclusive. Just a raggedy, low cloud base. Looks like the severe threat with this event is ramping down. Quite a few rain-wrapped tornadoes, that I had no business getting close to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 possible tornado near Quanah, TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 Outside the Happy, TX storm today wasn't overly eventful from a tornado standpoint. I think that storm having more deviant motion off the front really enhanced its tornado potential. Other storms large paralleled the boundary and inflows were consistently getting contaminated by the next storm down the line. I think slower movement of cutoff low which isn't surprising lead to the flow paralleling the boundary instead of it being more orthogonal to it. Storms really struggled to get east off it into open warm sector. The best instability ended up setting up west where cirrus thinned sooner. Low level lapse rates and sfc based cape were not overly impressive in the eastern panhandle. Not a bad chase day for March but hopefully this season we can see some quality warm sector storms that aren't an HP mess in the Plains. Definitely a tricky chase today. Lots of storms to choose from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 12 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Outside the Happy, TX storm today wasn't overly eventful from a tornado standpoint. I think that storm having more deviant motion off the front really enhanced its tornado potential. Other storms large paralleled the boundary and inflows were consistently getting contaminated by the next storm down the line. I think slower movement of cutoff low which isn't surprising lead to the flow paralleling the boundary instead of it being more orthogonal to it. Storms really struggled to get east off it into open warm sector. The best instability ended up setting up west where cirrus thinned sooner. Low level lapse rates and sfc based cape were not overly impressive in the eastern panhandle. Not a bad chase day for March but hopefully this season we can see some quality warm sector storms that aren't an HP mess in the Plains. Definitely a tricky chase today. Lots of storms to choose from. There was a storm with maxed out rotation today. Today rivaled many high risk days including April 27 2014 ... its just the area is not populated . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 Just now, wizard021 said: There was a storm with maxed out rotation today. Today rivaled many high risk days including April 27 2014 ... its just the area is not populated . Definitely did not rival a high risk day. Yes that storm was very impressive but that was the only truly cyclic beast of the day. Yes there were other tornadoes but were relatively short lived and not long tracked. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 Just now, StormChaser4Life said: Definitely did not rival a high risk day. Yes that storm was very impressive but that was the only truly cyclic beast of the day. Yes there were other tornadoes but were relatively short lived and not long tracked. April 27 2014 also had only 1 long tracker . The instability area was limited so many areas east were not going to get impacted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/140427_rpts.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 Yeah I chased that day and the high risk the next day which was a much more significant outbreak with multiple long track strong to violent tornadoes. It's a good thing that storm today stayed away from major population areas. That would have been a catastrophe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/140427_rpts.html https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2014/day1otlk_20140427_2000.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 00z NAM coming in hot for WEDS to say the least could start late Tuesday night even OK/MO/AR a cold bowling ball at 500mb moving into the warm sector results in MLCAPE >2000 overnight with little CIN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 the best.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 EDIT: NWS Dodge City on Twitter: "We understand there is some concern over a potential brief tornado that occurred earlier near Ensign. We saw the couplet, we saw the drop in CC, but these storms were elevated (not ingesting air from the surface), so it is unlikely a tornado occurred." / Twitter A more appropriate response in this thread, but still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Texas Weather Center Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 What a day for some in Texas. With 11 tornadoes reported, a couple of those being strong, Texas has seen its first big storm of the season. Praying for protection for those who were impacted. Stay safe everyone. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 The DDC flukey tor appeared to happen near the warm front/low intersection. It seems like we get at least 1-2 events a year where the main focus is over TX/OK and a seemingly random tornado spins off near Dodge City... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 Some folks yesterday got hit by one of the satellites of the Happy tornado Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted March 14, 2021 Share Posted March 14, 2021 With a couple of landspout reports in NW KS/SW NE today, makes for a nice 3-day event. Pretty sure we exceed 15 tornadoes/landspouts for this 3-day period, and yesterday might have exceeded 10 tornadoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A777 Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 I have to say HRRR did a fantastic job with Saturday. From its guidance going all the way back to the day before, I had targeted an area between Clarendon and Groom, TX. And of course the towns are indeed mentioned in the storm report. The tornadoes even appeared to have crossed at areas where I had actually parked that day. (most notably Washburn, the west side of Clarendon, and Greenbelt Reservoir) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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