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Severe Weather 3/12-3/15


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Just now, stormdragonwx said:

Theres also a lot of haze and cloud cover that hasn't cleared off as expected. Reminds me of May 20th, 2019.

I was chasing the storms around Nazereth, but it was very messy. Lots of blowing dust and haze. Cool inflow as well. Not gospel, but car thermo was showing 63-65F. Saw plenty of scud/appendages, but it looks like it’s forming a line. The road network doesn’t give much breathing room, so heading toward the Caprock.

Low level lapse rates are still marginal across the SE panhandle region, but better moisture and modest heating appears to be advecting that way. 

Messy so far, but not that far off from CAM solutions. 

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any iffyness in the vertical wind profile is definitely gone on the Amarillo doppler VWP. so the environment ahead looks great. and latest doppler-indicated strm tops out of Amarillo is showing tops on these cells near 45-48kft. surrounding VWP's: MAF is perfect, FDR is showing a bit of VBV on occasion near 8-10kft, but it's only intermittent. otherwise it looks ok. so as time heads on, don't see any real problems immediately upstream.

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big question here. when the line of thunderstorms northwest of AMA end up potentially meeting the supercell causing all the oohs and ahs south of Lake Tanglewood, near Pullman and Saint Francis, near and east of the Amarillo NWS office? hopefully the supercell gets shoved east, but not sure how this environment will handle it.

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