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Spring Banter


Baroclinic Zone
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  On 5/19/2021 at 11:19 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Could see this down below 1.50 shortly 

Today is going to be  influential on what prices do for stocks and crypto for a few weeks 

We either recover now or things go on sale  . 
 

Hedge funds and institutions were very big net sellers since Mid April 

Federal reserve will parade a bunch of Fed Governers(bankers) in front of TV

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As they have every single day for the last year. It's ridiculous.

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  On 5/19/2021 at 11:45 AM, Hoth said:

As they have every single day for the last year. It's ridiculous.

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Larry summers speaks at 10am at Atlanta Fed and he has been vocal of saying “You’ve done 2 much , tighten policy “ not a favorite thing For markets to hear

But as you know , In this sea of liquidity , there have been many surprising kick saves when charts looked dicey in the last year 

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  On 5/19/2021 at 11:56 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Larry summers speaks at 10am at Atlanta Fed and he has been vocal of saying “You’ve done 2 much , tighten policy “ not a favorite thing For markets to hear

But as you know , In this sea of liquidity , there have been many surprising kick saves when charts looked dicey in the last year 

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For sure. I was interested to see UBS expects the 10 year to yield 1.9% by the end of June. Take with a grain of salt, but if it does play out that way you would probably see some fireworks.

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  On 5/19/2021 at 11:19 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Could see this down below 1.50 shortly 

Today is going to be  influential on what prices do for stocks and crypto for a few weeks 

We either recover now or things go on sale  . 
 

Hedge funds and institutions were very big net sellers since Mid April 

Federal reserve will parade a bunch of Fed Governers(bankers) in front of TV

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1.40

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Back to the "other" banter subject:  Maine is looking really weird concerning COVID - top 5 in vaccination percentage, also top 5 in new cases per 100k.  Not quite the logical trend, especially since state regs have been on the very conservative side, though that's scheduled to change on 5/24.  However, the fatality rate is running <0.5% so maybe most new cases lean toward the younger and less vulnerable folks.

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  On 5/19/2021 at 12:48 PM, Lava Rock said:

you think it'll fall a lot more this week? i almost bought some last week, but maybe this week? hard to know how low they'll go.

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BTC could do a 50% Fibonaci retrace which would get us down 31K to 32K area.  During down times the market does what bitcoin does.

I was watching a video last night and the guy was talking about the Bitcoin and Ethereum outflows.  The institutions are doing some selling but it’s more the retail investors panicking and giving the whales cheap crypto. 

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  On 5/19/2021 at 12:52 PM, tamarack said:

Back to the "other" banter subject:  Maine is looking really weird concerning COVID - top 5 in vaccination percentage, also top 5 in new cases per 100k.  Not quite the logical trend, especially since state regs have been on the very conservative side, though that's scheduled to change on 5/24.  However, the fatality rate is running <0.5% so maybe most new cases lean toward the younger and less vulnerable folks.

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yeah, I was pointing this out recently. We're some kind of outlier, although I heard that maine cdc labs is using a PCR Ct = 45. Whittonsville will cringe at that.

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  On 5/19/2021 at 1:01 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

BTC could do a 50% Fibonaci retrace which would get us down 31K to 32K area.  During down times the market does what bitcoin does.

I was watching a video last night and the guy was talking about the Bitcoin and Ethereum outflows.  The institutions are doing some selling but it’s more the retail investors panicking and giving the whales cheap crypto. 

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There is very very very little institutional money in crypto. Like next to none. 
 

just checking in and saw the sell off accelerating as we near the open. Has me thinking...maybe I should finally complete the KYC process  so I can buy some of this crap in the next 24-48 hours.

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  On 5/19/2021 at 1:15 PM, Supernovice said:

There is very very very little institutional money in crypto. Like next to none. 
 

just checking in and saw the sell off accelerating as we near the open. Has me thinking...maybe I should finally complete the KYC process  so I can buy some of this crap in the next 24-48 hours.

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I'm going to buy a little ADA too. Seems like a decent bet at around a dollar or so. Maybe I turn it around and double my money. 

I think people with small fortunes locked up in this stuff are crazy. 

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  On 5/19/2021 at 1:22 PM, PhineasC said:

How's the dog coin doing?

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Off 32.6% over the last 24 hours.

Glad I stayed away from the crypto trade in recent weeks. I’m sure long term holders are still going to end up way ahead but I never want to be the last one in the door to any asset class.

Meanwhile, stocks and bonds are getting smoked too, but we are due for that.

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  On 5/19/2021 at 1:15 PM, Supernovice said:

There is very very very little institutional money in crypto. Like next to none. 
 

just checking in and saw the sell off accelerating as we near the open. Has me thinking...maybe I should finally complete the KYC process  so I can buy some of this crap in the next 24-48 hours.

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https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.forbes.com/sites/michaeldelcastillo/2020/08/06/valuable-sec-data-on-20-institutional-bitcoin-investors-could-soon-disappear/amp/

 

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  On 5/19/2021 at 1:31 PM, bch2014 said:

Off 32.6% over the last 24 hours.

Glad I stayed away from the crypto trade in recent weeks. I’m sure long term holders are still going to end up way ahead but I never want to be the last one in the door to any asset class.

Meanwhile, stocks and bonds are getting smoked too, but we are due for that.

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Yeah, it's way too jumpy for me. I am buying a little to just play around with. It makes it easier to buy different coins if you already have some crypto to exchange. So even more like certain casinos or perhaps the arcade with the tokens. LOL

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  On 5/19/2021 at 1:32 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said:
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So exactly like I said- next to none...20? and how much AUM dedicated to cryptos? I'm not trying to pick a fight here.  I just know this space extremely extremely well.

My pt was...there is not institutional money here as a backstop to stop this slide.

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  On 5/19/2021 at 1:01 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

BTC could do a 50% Fibonaci retrace which would get us down 31K to 32K area.  During down times the market does what bitcoin does.

I was watching a video last night and the guy was talking about the Bitcoin and Ethereum outflows.  The institutions are doing some selling but it’s more the retail investors panicking and giving the whales cheap crypto. 

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@Lava Rock

Just like clockwork, we hit under 31k support and the whales come rushing, in to run a train on all of the paper hands and scoop up the bargain basement prices. 
 

E0415DB0-27EE-4D3D-B64D-092325E4C03F.thumb.jpeg.08b7eb7bb32d85130c4d08e081a329d0.jpeg

 

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