Spring Banter

[Bostonseminole]

Come on bruins.. 1 pt to clinch 3rd


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[WhitinsvilleWX]

8 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

@UMB WX will hit my post with a weenie emoji, but a lot of this lurched the wrong way when Biden came into office. He pushed the CDC and other Federal agencies so far in the other direction of mandating masks at all times in all places that it will take a long while to dig back out due to gov't inertia. It had zero to do with the science; it was all posturing and "keeping campaign promises." He also pressured states to do the same things.

Like I have said, I work on a Federal installation. Before Inauguration Day, with no vaccine, you could be outside socially-distanced without a mask or be in your office with no mask.

Once Biden came into office, the rules were suddenly tightened and now you need a mask at all times everywhere even if no one is within 100 feet of you. Signs went up all over post overnight and guards are enforcing the rules. Food trucks that had been operating for months were also run out of the area.

That isn't "following the science" at all.

Once there’s a federal reg, it’s hard to get rid of. See bare feet in the airport because of one idiot trying to light his shoe on fire 20 years ago.

[Bostonseminole]

Come on bruins.. 1 pt to clinch 3rd


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Yes, get some guys a rest tomorrow.


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[WhitinsvilleWX]

8 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

Come on bruins.. 1 pt to clinch 3rd


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And the Red Sox are going down in Balmer.

[powderfreak]

23 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

I love when I read, "If you can't afford to pay people in unskilled jobs a livable wage, you can't afford to be in business."

That seems to be the rallying cry of some out there. It's a really dumb sentiment. When a business folds, everyone is let go and it's a net loss for the community.

The other side of the coin that young people are not taking the jobs and desperate businesses are paying more to hire older folks is that those entry level jobs now require degrees and/or years of experience. This is something else the younger crowd complains about a lot, but they helped create the issue.

If that's towards me, and it must be (?), then I think I must be not saying it correctly.  Is that what people read from my posts?

I'm not having a philosophical discussion.  I'm not trying to pass judgment or an opinion on the situation.  My wife and I both lead a large staff trying to satisfy high-end income earners.  It is rough when you don't have the staff to do that.  I sure as hell don't own a business, but I bet it would suck to own a business with some demand and not be able to staff it.  What's the answer there?  How do you make it appealing for people to work for you so you can meet demand?  Shame them?  Pay them, offer them affordable housing, offer benefits?  Some might say it's babying those employees.  But it's a reality in parts of the service industry if you want to operate tomorrow, and next month, or the year after that.  Revenue won't come if the guest experience sucks.

Skilled or unskilled, doesn't matter.  You need to get people to work for you who obviously find some barrier... what do you do?

[Supernovice]

Just now, powderfreak said:

If that's towards me, and it must be (?), then I think I must be not saying it correctly.  Is that what people read from my posts?

I'm not having a philosophical discussion.  I'm not trying to pass judgment or an opinion on the situation.  My wife and I both lead a large staff trying to satisfy high-end income earners.  It is rough when you don't have the staff to do that.  I sure as hell don't own a business but I bet it would suck to own a business in demand and not be able to staff it.  What's the answer there?  How do you make it appealing for people to work for you so you can meet demand?  Shame them?  Pay them, offer benefits?

Skilled or unskilled, doesn't matter.  You need to get people to work who don't want to work for you... what do you do?

We might be witnessing the biggest labor reorganization in history. All by way of ‘closed for the day’ signs in fast food restaurant windows. The ramifications will be fascinating to watch.

[DavisStraight]

Beautiful goal by Taylor Hall, what a pickup he's been.

[Bostonseminole]

Hall is nasty


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[powderfreak]

14 minutes ago, WhitinsvilleWX said:

And the Red Sox are going down in Balmer.

Bats just haven’t gotten it going tonight.  That double bobble by Xander was a routine fly in traditional positioning... but the shift had everyone vacating the left side of the infield.

Sucks, but I keep telling myself they took 3 out of 4... hard to pull off the 4 game sweep

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Also, I’ll say this too, clamoring for everyone to get the vaccine to get back to normal, and then the best you can do as far as updated guidance is to tell people who can adequately distance outside that they don’t need masks, some of the time. That is a horrendous message to send to people on the fence about getting it.

Exactly, up the risk / reward.

[PhineasC]

14 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

If that's towards me, and it must be (?), then I think I must be not saying it correctly.  Is that what people read from my posts?

I'm not having a philosophical discussion.  I'm not trying to pass judgment or an opinion on the situation.  My wife and I both lead a large staff trying to satisfy high-end income earners.  It is rough when you don't have the staff to do that.  I sure as hell don't own a business, but I bet it would suck to own a business with some demand and not be able to staff it.  What's the answer there?  How do you make it appealing for people to work for you so you can meet demand?  Shame them?  Pay them, offer them affordable housing, offer benefits?  Some might say it's babying those employees.  But it's a reality in parts of the service industry if you want to operate tomorrow, and next month, or the year after that.  Revenue won't come if the guest experience sucks.

Skilled or unskilled, doesn't matter.  You need to get people to work for you who obviously find some barrier... what do you do?

That wasn't directed at you, it's just something I have been seeing some people online say when discussing why min wage needs to be 25/hr. 

I don't really have an answer for this. It will need to be some combo of taxation and UBI. I just think people are still fooling themselves that we can get this all back to normal via policy. I think we have crossed a threshold for society. The good jobs are not coming back.

There are other long term systemic issues that contributed to us getting here, including women entering the workforce (which caused a glut of cheap unskilled labor -- lowering wages), mass immigration of unskilled labor (same as prior), bad tax policy, bad trade policy, bad social policy (family units destroyed, everyone goes to college and delays entering the workforce until they have racked up huge debt, badmouthing trade schools), welfare policy, crime, white flight to the suburbs, among other things. Those topics are all not good for this subforum so I will leave it at that. LOL

 

[WhitinsvilleWX]

Just now, powderfreak said:

Bats just haven’t gotten it going tonight.  That double bobble by Xander was a routine fly in traditional positioning... but the shift had everyone vacating the left side of the infield.

Yea, and if Devers hadn’t double clutched the throw to third I think he would have been out. 

[kdxken]

11 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Beautiful goal by Taylor Hall, what a pickup he's been.

Do you sign him long term? Tough call. You don't want another Coyle.

[UMB WX]

26 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

@UMB WX will hit my post with a weenie emoji, but a lot of this lurched the wrong way when Biden came into office. He pushed the CDC and other Federal agencies so far in the other direction of mandating masks at all times in all places that it will take a long while to dig back out due to gov't inertia. It had zero to do with the science; it was all posturing and "keeping campaign promises." He also pressured states to do the same things.

Like I have said, I work on a Federal installation. Before Inauguration Day, with no vaccine, you could be outside socially-distanced without a mask or be in your office with no mask.

Once Biden came into office, the rules were suddenly tightened and now you need a mask at all times everywhere even if no one is within 100 feet of you. Signs went up all over post overnight and guards are enforcing the rules. Food trucks that had been operating for months were also run out of the area.

That isn't "following the science" at all.

 

[Typhoon Tip]

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

The hand is getting forced here.  Certainly much different than other economies but places are being squeezed now to pay like $30-40k/yr for non-skilled service starter jobs.  They literally can’t operate without raising wages significantly.  Pretty soon you’ll be able to answer phones at a hotel switchboard for the same wage as a teacher, if you can’t already.

Heh ... reminds me of that age old truism about everyone can’t be rich. 

the problem is a form of inflation .. Not so much printing mire money, just the valuation trickery - which may be inevitable eventually as any capitalism ages and unavoidable - the intention of profit doesn’t really ever ceiling. It’s inevitably always increasing, dependable over valuing everything given time and speculation’s conversions into appreciation 

Eventually ... eggs and toast get too difficult ... forget menial savings .. quality of life declines spread out over the ballast population, which now has an advocate like never before for their plights in the same vein as  ‘no child left behind’ etc etc  But wage increases to even the game - even if its proportionately laughable and not “evening” jack squat. It’s not big corporation that’s footing the bill - it’s mid size down to start ups ...  

pure capitalism eats its self inevitably but the expose’ is a wildcard - people May one day stop blaming government ...  

Might be an interesting watershed era if/when that happens 

 

 

[DavisStraight]

Just now, kdxken said:

Do you sign him long term? Tough call. You don't want another Coyle.

He's said he's wanted be here for awhile and his agent is Bobby Orr, I'd sign him, I think this is the place for him to revive his career, former number one pick and MVP, kids got talent.

[PhineasC]

1 minute ago, UMB WX said:

 

At least you are starting to contribute a little bit. Type some words now.

[dendrite]

NH down to 1492 active cases and it's been dropping fast.

[Bostonseminole]

He's said he's wanted be here for awhile and his agent is Bobby Orr, I'd sign him, I think this is the place for him to revive his career, former number one pick and MVP, kids got talent.

Yeah, I mean you can see the talent thanks to playing on the 2nd line. He’s no coyle..


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[STILL N OF PIKE]

stocks shakey today and tonite 

ARKK tanking , TSLA looks to be taking it on chin

 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

TSLA down another 6% already today

TSLA can fall to 400 and nobody can say there valuation is cheap there . FAANG stocks also going on sale , GOOG, AMZN, FB  . Those are stocks to own for generations , have reasonable valuations and dips are buying opps. APPL is going to fall decent as well .

Data shows Hedge funds were biggest net sellers of stocks for 3 straight weeks (and saw biggest outflows since 2008, institutions were net sellers for several straight weeks, and good ole retail was there to buy the dip in April . This time I don’t see enough volume from buyers (sell in May and go away ) for a snap back . Thou who knows what goes on .

[Hoth]

9 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

stocks shakey today and tonite 

ARKK tanking , TSLA looks to be taking it on chin

 

Cathie continues to dump her higher quality liquid stocks like Apple to double down on her illiquid shitcos. Things become very interesting if outflows continue. Feeling better and better about those ARKK puts I picked up a few weeks ago.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

5 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Cathie continues to dump her higher quality liquid stocks like Apple to double down on her illiquid shitcos. Things become very interesting if outflows continue. Feeling better and better about those ARKK puts I picked up a few weeks ago.

Worst case would be restricting withdrawals as ARKK could tailspin down As outflows accelerate 

Let’s see what hedge funds levered up and long (that were already silently bleeding ) go belly up if the market weakness continues 

[Hoth]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Worst case would be restricting withdrawals as ARKK could tailspin down As outflows accelerate 

Let’s see what hedge funds levered up and long (that were already silently bleeding ) go belly up if the market weakness continues 

Given both the record long positioning and record margin debt in this market, things can turn ugly on a dime.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

8 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Given both the record long positioning and record margin debt in this market, things can turn ugly on a dime.

Gotta watch for bodies 

[Hoth]

6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Gotta watch for bodies 

 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Looks like last chance here for market (for short term prospects ) last Thursday SP low was 4145 , we are just a hair above Which could set up a technical bounce on positive divergence unless we go below that 

[PowderBeard]

27 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

TSLA down another 6% already today

TSLA can fall to 400 and nobody can say there valuation is cheap there . FAANG stocks also going on sale , GOOG, AMZN, FB  . Those are stocks to own for generations , have reasonable valuations and dips are buying opps. APPL is going to fall decent as well .

Data shows Hedge funds were biggest net sellers of stocks for 3 straight weeks (and saw biggest outflows since 2008, institutions were net sellers for several straight weeks, and good ole retail was there to buy the dip in April . This time I don’t see enough volume from buyers (sell in May and go away ) for a snap back . Thou who knows what goes on .

VIX is climbing. 

My tin-foil hat says Hedge Funds are behind a lot of the crypto pumps. They need it.

Edit: Borrow rate for AMC >70% LOL, godspeed to all those involved on that. 

[Hoth]

I wonder what percentage of ARK's investors are under water at this point. There was a looot of chasing going on in January and February.

[amarshall]

20 minutes ago, Hoth said:

I wonder what percentage of ARK's investors are under water at this point. There was a looot of chasing going on in January and February.

ARKG I'm up 92%

ARKK I'm up 128% 

Thinking about pulling the trigger.