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March 2021 Discobs


nj2va
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Those who are jonesing for Spring snow should take a drive. The places that typically get it are going to, and maybe a good amount in some cases.

Per WPC-

As the low lifts northeast, it will be accompanied by moist and warm advection from the Gulf of Mexico with widespread and ample precipitation spreading northward. Initially, the column will be too warm for any wintry precipitation. However, a cold front sinking southeastward will lead to CAA and full-column cooling, aided by what is likely to be an intense deformation axis on the NW side of the low, into which robust WAA will drive strong omega through the DGZ. This suggests that a period of heavy snow is likely as precip changes over from rain to snow, and model-cross sections indicate a chance for CSI banding across upstate New York Thursday morning. While the heaviest snow is likely in the terrain where temperatures will be colder and cool more quickly, WPC probabilities for moderate to heavy snow have expanded slightly to encompass some lower terrain as well where the dynamic cooling will overcome the marginal low-level thermal structure. WPC probabilities have increased, and are now high for 6 inches on days 2.5-3 in the Finger Lakes region, the Tug Hill Plateau, and Adirondacks of New York. In the Adirondacks, locally more than 10" is likely where some upslope enhancement will occur as NW flow develops behind the low. WPC probabilities for 4 inches are moderate for much of upstate New York outside of the Hudson River Valley, and parts of VT. Lighter snows adding up to a few inches are likely as the low pulls away in the favored upslope regions of WV, and downwind of Lake Erie and Ontario.

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1 hour ago, losetoa6 said:

Looking like a real hard freeze Thursday night.  Far NW areas might see low 20s 

This does look likely. Thinking 28ish IMBY. That should be ok for my blooming magnolia. Under 25 is where the blooms could get nuked and I think I stay above that.

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36 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

This does look likely. Thinking 28ish IMBY. That should be ok for my blooming magnolia. Under 25 is where the blooms could get nuked and I think I stay above that.

yeah the wind should help from reaching min lows I guess but might be close.  Fairly impressive cold shot for April 1, luckily it looks to be short lived and by easter sunday and next week we're defintely back into Spring

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2 hours ago, losetoa6 said:

Looking like a real hard freeze Thursday night.  Far NW areas might see low 20s 

Maybe the temporary cold will slow the warp-speed growth of my backyard grass, which will be knee-high in spots by this weekend if I don't get my butt out there today and do the first cut. But I doubt it.  :) 

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1 hour ago, Baltimorewx said:

yeah the wind should help from reaching min lows I guess but might be close.  Fairly impressive cold shot for April 1, luckily it looks to be short lived and by easter sunday and next week we're defintely back into Spring

These forecast lows are not that impressive. Like -10F departures. We had +20F minimum departures last week. The beat goes on.

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4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

These forecast lows are not that impressive. Like -10F departures. We had +20F minimum departures last week. The beat goes on.

Yeah, I guess maybe Im just saying that because we havent had low departures all winter really...I think maybe I had one morning where it got in the teens.

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1 hour ago, vastateofmind said:

Maybe the temporary cold will slow the warp-speed growth of my backyard grass, which will be knee-high in spots by this weekend if I don't get my butt out there today and do the first cut. But I doubt it.  :) 

I got the lawn mower tuned up two weeks ago.  Have mowed grass twice now.  Check that, I mowed 50% weeds, 50% grass.  Warm temps gonna keep that stuff stretching upwards 

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Hope the CMC is correct. Would be nice to see N central MD get a 2"+ soaking rain. Hate to see them get into early pre-drought concerns after all the dryness last summer/Fall.

As for here, would love to underperform for a second straight event. A half to 1 inch would be perfect.

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3 hours ago, vastateofmind said:

Maybe the temporary cold will slow the warp-speed growth of my backyard grass, which will be knee-high in spots by this weekend if I don't get my butt out there today and do the first cut. But I doubt it.  :) 

Just came in from my first cut. Nicest day this week for it.

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