MillvilleWx Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: Went from 0.82" to 1.48" quick. Well now I am not happy. I need to try another chair. Or bed. Or bowl of porridge. This ain't quite right. 33 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: 1.98” Still some light rain but probably not enough to get over the hump. 54 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: 1.72” and still pouring. This is a good example of what I keep talking about with the “new normal” for rain events IMBY. Once again, what should’ve been a typical 0.3-0.5” shower becomes a 2+” deluge for no real reason. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 1 hour ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: 1.72” and still pouring. This is a good example of what I keep talking about with the “new normal” for rain events IMBY. Once again, what should’ve been a typical 0.3-0.5” shower becomes a 2+” deluge for no real reason. Same here. It is pretty bizarre. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 This storm seemed more tropical than a run of the mill spring storm. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Looks like a low cloud deck stuck east of the mountains. No decent sunset tonight. Booo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said: This storm seemed more tropical than a run of the mill spring storm. Mount Holly had a great discussion this morning, saying this had similarities to a PRE, similar the setup ahead of a tropical event. That low that was hanging off NC had some semi tropical characteristics before moving inland, and even though it weakened, it maintained a circulation and interacted with the front from the low well to the NW. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, CAPE said: Mount Holly had a great discussion this morning, saying this had similarities to a PRE, similar the setup ahead of a tropical event. That low that was hanging off NC had some semi tropical characteristics before moving inland, and even though it weakened, it maintained a circulation and interacted with the front from the low well to the NW. I read that. Probably why I said it. I’m not capable of an original thought. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Imagine if this were snow... Heard that 1000 times, right? Well... What a stinkin' rotten day to be outside! Now it's all foggy and, well yuck! So bloody muddy now. Good thing we're not getting 50 mph winds after this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Looks like 1.85" is the total. 60 degrees at 8pm. Bring on the heat and the hot wind, I guess. Maybe we can dry up some of this mess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 25, 2021 Author Share Posted March 25, 2021 Tree buds are going to explode on Friday with the forecast temps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 2 hours ago, CAPE said: Mount Holly had a great discussion this morning, saying this had similarities to a PRE, similar the setup ahead of a tropical event. That low that was hanging off NC had some semi tropical characteristics before moving inland, and even though it weakened, it maintained a circulation and interacted with the front from the low well to the NW. It looked like a PRE on the models leading up to the event. Shouldn’t have been surprised that it overperformed for 95 and East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 A warm rain in the mid to upper 50s should wake the lawns up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 55 this morning and foggy. Looks like the first 80 degree day tomorrow. We will surely see a 90 in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 lots of fog and drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 25, 2021 Author Share Posted March 25, 2021 44 minutes ago, CAPE said: 55 this morning and foggy. Looks like the first 80 degree day tomorrow. We will surely see a 90 in April. We do +10 to +20 departures quite easily these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Mount Holly - " Rogue - severe caliber gusts " Model soundings suggest winds will be increasing in this regime, readily gusting to 35+ mph by afternoon. As winds begin to veer, diurnal mixing peaks, and a reinforcing cold front approaches the area, speeds will likely exceed advisory criteria in much of the area. Winds at 850 mb will be approaching 50 kt, and mixing has the potential to reach or even exceed this level. Seems likely we will need a wind advisory for Friday afternoon and evening, and if mixing ends up being more efficient than currently advertised, a rogue severe-caliber gust may occur. Held off on issuing wind headlines early this morning given ongoing/near-term weather, but expect wind products to be issued for the afternoon package. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 GFS has rain this afternoon but seems like the only guidance that does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 18 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GFS has rain this afternoon but seems like the only guidance that does. The GFS also likes the idea of the world spinning backwards the first week of April with a low moving west-southwest. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said: The GFS also likes the idea of the world spinning backwards the first week of April with a low moving west-southwest. Doesnt seem like the new model is gonna be off to a good start lol. Despite what verification scores might have shown I felt like it wasn’t as good as old GfS but I guess I’m wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 1.72" yesterday. I was surprised at how many waves of heavy rain we had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Another foggy cold day at the beaches. Can't wait to get out of here on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Today definitely has the feel of one where the wedge holds on and we don’t even sniff that 70F forecast. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 57 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Today definitely has the feel of one where the wedge holds on and we don’t even sniff that 70F forecast. Yea it's not likely we break out today across the board, especially with a high/mid level cloud deck streaming in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 We're gonna need the 40 mph gusts to get this damn wedge out of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Why doesn't the NWS ever put up a Wedge Advisory to alert us that their optimistic temp/sunshine forecast has a 90% chance of not verifying?? I thought I was going to be able to eat outside today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 25, 2021 Author Share Posted March 25, 2021 I noticed the Cherry Blossoms in our neighborhood are starting to show puffy blossoms - they usually follow the Tidal Basin bloom to the day so I’d imagine those are progressing along towards Peak Bloom Easter Weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Let's get ready for WIND!!! URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 241 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 MDZ001-501-502-WVZ501>504-260245- /O.UPG.KLWX.HW.A.0001.210326T0600Z-210326T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.HW.W.0001.210326T0900Z-210326T2100Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- Including the cities of Mountain Lake Park, Oakland, Grantsville, Frostburg, Cumberland, Bayard, Mount Storm, Petersburg, Elk Garden, Antioch, Keyser, New Creek, Ridgeville, Russelldale, Headsville, and Fort Ashby 241 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Southwest to west winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected. * WHERE...In Maryland, Garrett, Extreme Western Allegany and Central and Eastern Allegany Counties. In West Virginia, Western Grant, Eastern Grant, Western Mineral and Eastern Mineral Counties. * WHEN...From 5 AM to 5 PM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 RGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 241 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-504-506-VAZ051>054-502-506-260245- /O.NEW.KLWX.WI.Y.0005.210326T1500Z-210326T2300Z/ District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Central and Southeast Howard-Culpeper- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Southern Fauquier- Eastern Loudoun- Including the cities of Washington, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Columbia, Ellicott City, Culpeper, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Turnbull, Leesburg, Ashburn, and Sterling 241 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of The District of Columbia, central and northern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 11 AM to 7 PM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 241 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 MDZ003>006-008-503-505-507-508-VAZ025>031-036>040-501-504-505- WVZ051>053-506-260245- /O.NEW.KLWX.WI.Y.0005.210326T1200Z-210326T2200Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil- Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page- Warren-Clarke-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock- Northern Fauquier-Eastern Highland-Western Loudoun-Morgan- Berkeley-Jefferson-Eastern Pendleton- Including the cities of Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Elkton, Germantown, Damascus, Lisbon, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Harrisonburg, Strasburg, Woodstock, Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah, Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Lovingston, Charlottesville, Stanardsville, Madison, Washington, Warrenton, Monterey, Purcellville, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, Shepherdstown, Brandywine, Franklin, Oak Flat, Ruddle, and Sugar Grove 241 PM EDT Thu Mar 25 2021 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Southwest to west winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northeast and northern Maryland, central, northern, northwest and western Virginia and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From 8 AM to 6 PM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Ooooooh. Wind Advisory. And none of the good stuff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 rain here last hour, 0.11 and 59.5/58.6 after a 62.3 high around noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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