Birds~69 Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 2 hours ago, KamuSnow said: I'm okay with 60s through April, then 70s in May. I saw a lot of small bugs yesterday and thought of RedSky for some reason. I know he has issues with the stink bugs. I've been wondering if the lack of cold this winter will result in more bugs this year. Haven't seen any stink bugs yet....spotted lantern flies are suppose to make a return though. 61F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Haven't seen any stink bugs yet....spotted lantern flies are suppose to make a return though. 61F Yeah we got the spotted lantern flies in a big way last year, not good for the walnut trees. Gonna try wrapping tape around the trunk sticky side out once they get started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 Stink bugs, lantern flies, killer hornets...what sweet, fresh hell awaits us this year?? Saw a few surviving snow piles in a parking lot today. Not much left of them but they’d make Kamu proud. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 On 3/25/2021 at 10:33 PM, RedSky said: GFS thinks April is winter this year. We're not really going to do ANOTHER cold April? I've been saying for years now, that April can be a very cruel month. Most (even a lot of winter/snow lovers) have gone over to Spring mode. The tulips, hyacinths, daffodils, etc are popping out and growing, and then, bam...one or more arctic blasts with snow potential. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 28, 2021 Author Share Posted March 28, 2021 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 Wall of rain moving in, dark low clouds... 53F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 28, 2021 Author Share Posted March 28, 2021 Interesting Mt. Holly discussion for the mid/late week system. An impactful system is expected to move through the region on Wednesday and Thursday, with much colder and breezy conditions expected to close the week. Deterministic model solutions have noticeably converged regarding the Wednesday/Thursday system evolution. However, critical differences remain, particularly with the track of the developing wave of low pressure along the advancing front in the southeastern U.S. Tuesday into Wednesday morning. The 00z ECMWF and CMC remain noticeably slower with the advancing trough and continue to be preferred owing to the developing high-amplitude ridging downstream. The 00z GFS has trended closer to the tracks of the ECMWF/CMC with tonight`s output, increasing confidence somewhat. Nevertheless, the GFS continues to be more progressive and drier with the precipitation from the system during this period, an important caveat to the discussion below. As the low approaches the CWA Wednesday afternoon and evening, considerable large-scale lift will be in place via right- entrance region upper divergence from a favorably positioned 250-mb jet streak, strong differential cyclonic vorticity advection downstream of the advancing, more neutrally-tilted trough, and substantial warm/moist advection on the northern periphery of a poleward-advancing warm sector. Models indicate widespread precipitation developing in this regime, convectively enhanced near the approaching front and in vicinity of the intensifying surface low. Model soundings do indicate some instability in the pre-frontal warm sector, especially if the surface low tracks farther west. Have added thunder to the forecast for much of the region Wednesday afternoon and evening. Heavy rainfall is quite possible with this setup, especially since upper-level flow will become oriented mostly parallel to the approaching front (thanks in large part to the high- amplitude ridging downstream). QPF of 1-2+ inches is depicted with the CMC/ECMWF (50+ percent less in the GFS/ICON). Given the potential convective enhancement of the precipitation and a couple of antecedent soaking rain events, this seems like a setup that favors some flooding potential. Will monitor this closely as the event approaches. In addition, very strong cold advection will occur on the upstream side of the cold front, with temperatures dropping 10-20 degrees in a matter of a few hours after frontal passage. The cold conveyor belt of the intensifying surface low, along with favorable frontogenetical forcing/deformation, may produce a band of precipitation on the west/northwest side of the low that lingers for several hours. Thermal profiles would favor a switchover to snow for the southern Poconos and far northwest New Jersey, perhaps resulting in some accumulations Thursday morning. (Much heavier snow may occur to our north/northwest, notably.) Will be monitoring this potential as well in the coming days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 28, 2021 Author Share Posted March 28, 2021 Picked up 0.27" of rain so far today. Current temp 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 Under a severe thunderstorm warning here, radar looking decent: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 Heavy downpour for 5 minutes, but that’s about it so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 15 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Heavy downpour for 5 minutes, but that’s about it so far. That's about what it was here too, no lightning either. Pretty windy, maybe 35 mph? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 15 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Heavy downpour for 5 minutes, but that’s about it so far. And looking at radar that's about it for us besides some showers...quite uneventful. 56F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stemwinder Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 It came through roaring like an express train, but was relatively brief. At West Windsor, NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 0.48" earlier with another 0.35 with the FROPA - total rain today 0.83" here in NW Chester County PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 Roaring March wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 Winds have picked up quite a bit in the last hour. Figures, trash night...my cans are probably half way down the street by now. 53F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 Something nasty rolled through Neptune, NJ this evening. Pics I saw were of damage to car windows, and lumber (presumably structure damage) strewn about. Don't know if it was straight line winds or a small spin-up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 16 minutes ago, Voyager said: Something nasty rolled through Neptune, NJ this evening. Pics I saw were of damage to car windows, and lumber (presumably structure damage) strewn about. Don't know if it was straight line winds or a small spin-up... Watching the news now, yeah Philly S & E got drilled way more than the burbs...I was surprised to see this. Winds howling / 51F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 26 minutes ago, Voyager said: Something nasty rolled through Neptune, NJ this evening. Pics I saw were of damage to car windows, and lumber (presumably structure damage) strewn about. Don't know if it was straight line winds or a small spin-up... Straight line winds per 6abc at McGurie... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 29, 2021 Author Share Posted March 29, 2021 Picked up 0.42" of rain for the day Current temp 55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 With the rain/sun this past week the grass has turned super green in areas... 44F/windy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 Yeah, if we could get a stretch of 4 or 5 warm, sunny days, the lawns would really pop. Plenty of buds starting to show on the trees and well. 45F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 1 hour ago, JTA66 said: Yeah, if we could get a stretch of 4 or 5 warm, sunny days, the lawns would really pop. Plenty of buds starting to show on the trees and well. 45F With highs in the 40s Thurs/Fri and nights below freezing plants, buds and grass won't know if they're coming or going.... 46F/gusty 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 Going to be another example of a +3F month that did not feel like one because it's skewed by 5 or 6 torch days Don S was giving the month 50/50 odds at above normal mid month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 50 minutes ago, RedSky said: Going to be another example of a +3F month that did not feel like one because it's skewed by 5 or 6 torch days Don S was giving the month 50/50 odds at above normal mid month I'm not a big stats guy for this reason unless I lived through it. We could get a 24" snowstorm on Dec 27th then blow torch the rest of the winter w/heavy rain. People 75yrs from now will say Philly was above snow average for that particular year...totally skewed and nonsense. 49F/still gusty 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 Winter finale this week. Thinking about heading to like Malone NY, somewhere far N NY....could see 12-20”. I think I’ve personally witnessed more snow than anyone in the country this year lmao 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 30, 2021 Share Posted March 30, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 31, 2021 Share Posted March 31, 2021 On 3/29/2021 at 6:06 PM, Wentzadelphia said: Winter finale this week. Thinking about heading to like Malone NY, somewhere far N NY....could see 12-20”. I think I’ve personally witnessed more snow than anyone in the country this year lmao I think you've earned the Golden Weenie for your dedication this year 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 31, 2021 Share Posted March 31, 2021 12z nam gets snow down to the 95 corridor tomorrow morning. Highly doubt we see accumulation but will still be cool to see on April 1st. Poconos may see 1-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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