Gino27 Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 3 hours ago, Hoosier said: If you want a laugh, pull up the Euro gust maps. There are pockets of 70-80 mph on there. But the gust products are to be used with caution given what I mentioned above, in addition to them tending to be overdone in shallower/more questionable mixing regimes. ILN seems to think it's possible. Their watch is for gusts to 65 after the front and the AFD states, " The wind fields -- both in magnitude and expanse -- are concerning. The LL directional and speed shear is notable, yielding hodographs are long and somewhat curved. The main limiting factor for severe potential will be the lack of instability rooted near the surface, which may be rather limited except /just/ along/immediately ahead of and east of the actual sfc low track itself. This would support an environment where the greatest severe threat would exist immediately near/east of the sfc low track, which current model consensus would place mainly near/west of the I-75 corridor. This, of course, is entirely dependent on the track of that sfc low and the degree to which we can attain SB destabilization in the wake of afternoon activity. The profile will be very saturated, but very energetic. If even a little bit of SB-instby is realized, it would not take much at all for stronger cores to translate down some /very/ strong wind to the sfc." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 The air smelt great for the first (or second) time this year with another 19C+ in the bag. The evening was beautiful as if it was mid-summer, with towers in the distance and the sky glowing. There was a string of cells that formed nearly on top of me at 6 that produced a few sprinkles like earlier but just missed. Likely legit t-storms to my north. Around here getting a storm in March is a twice in a decade occurrence at most. UW station hit 19.2C later in the day, I'm really wondering if it makes it tomorrow, which out of this stretch is the most likely day to get to 20C. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Lake Nokomis a few blocks from my house is now officially ice free. The median date of ice out is April 4th, so a couple weeks early this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 I'm getting my first sort-of thunderstorm of 2021 which tbh I didn't expect despite TWN putting one for this evening out FMBY. After the first string of cells moved north, hours later more cells are firing near the lakeshore and moving quickly NE with lightning. I saw a few flashes and can hear moderate thunder, pretty amazing March this is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 This is crazy, the UW weather station reached 19.8C and stayed there for 45 minutes before falling back!!! That is the closest to 20C I've ever heard of it getting to during the contest with the previous highest 19.7C . I almost wonder if the station even was functioning properly because it seems like a stretch for it to stay exactly at 19.8 for that long. The page wasn't updating for over a hour so who knows, I wouldn't be surprised to see a revision tomorrow where it hit 20C and the highest 24h tally didn't catch it or something. I was thinking based on yesterday's high and the increment from Tues that it would get to 19.6C so not bad . 2021 will not be the 5th year for 20C in March since the contest started in '98 and its been since 2012. I'm rooting for June this time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 On 3/24/2021 at 11:11 AM, Stevo6899 said: I noticed the grass getting a little green but not much. I got home from florida on March 1st and saw my first raindrop this morning. I can't recall this long of a precip drought. Feb was rocking but Mar has been as zzz as I can ever remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 On 3/24/2021 at 10:04 AM, Powerball said: How's the green up progressing there (if at all)? When you posted that I would say not at all but just now I noticed the grass greening up some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 Looks like I left Newnan just in time. Reports suggests that, at minimum, a EF4 tornado blew through the middle of town. Substantial structural damage being reported. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 17 minutes ago, Powerball said: Looks like I left Newnan just in time. Reports suggests that, at minimum, a EF4 tornado blew through the middle of town. Substantial structural damage being reported. I remember now you resided there IIRC, dang. The last 13 hours have been insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CorePunch Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 Picked up a $hit ton of rain last night and into this morning. Definitely needed it. After almost week of 60s - 70s the green-up has launched off the pad here. Started last week and is very noticeable now. Its beed a solid March. Hoping that April holds the line as indicated in the LR and we stay mild and sunny. Now all we need are some 2010 style T Storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 Yesterday afternoon and evening turned into a washout over here. I picked up 0.42". We have more rain on the way tonight, with a bit of thunder mixed in. It has been a cloudy, wet period recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 It's been a sneaky warm March here. 10th warmest March 1-25 here in Madison. Should end the month 4+ degrees above average. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 Finally got some rain. Had 1.25" overnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 3 hours ago, WestMichigan said: Finally got some rain. Had 1.25" overnight. Will be happy to see some green grass and growing buds now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Another 0.36" of rain fell here early this morning. This has been a cool, cloudy, wet week. The grass is greening up quickly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Was glancing thru ILN's wind reports from yesterdays wind storm and found an anomaly in my town: :3/25/2021,1155 PM, OH, Greene, 1 ESE Bowersville, , , 39.5706, -83.7047, PKGUST, 16, mph, OHDOT, Peak Wind Gust, :3/26/2021,1253 AM, OH, Greene, Fairborn, , , 39.8081, -83.9579, PKGUST, 32, mph, CWOP, Peak Wind Gust, :3/26/2021,0450 AM, OH, Greene, Beavercreek, , , 39.753, -84.074, PKGUST, 39, mph, CWOP, Peak Wind Gust, :3/26/2021,0430 AM, OH, Greene, Xenia, , , 39.7217, -83.9962, PKGUST, 41, mph, CWOP, Peak Wind Gust, :3/26/2021,0354 AM, OH, Greene, Spring Valley, , , 39.6002, -83.9733, PKGUST, 42, mph, CWOP, Peak Wind Gust, :3/26/2021,0340 AM, OH, Greene, Wright-Patterson AFB, , , 39.8167, -84.0333, PKGUST, 59, mph, AWOS, Peak Wind Gust, :3/26/2021,0335 AM, OH, Greene, Xenia Greene County Apt, , , 39.7, -83.9833, PKGUST, 60, mph, AWOS, Peak Wind Gust, :3/26/2021,0518 AM, OH, Greene, Bellbrook, , , 39.636, -84.0708, PKGUST, 112, mph, CWOP, Peak Wind Gust, pretty sure there was no 112MPH wind gusts anywhere near here! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dayton1996 Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 112mph in Bellbrook! That's faster than my car! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted March 27, 2021 Share Posted March 27, 2021 Bing that was my neighbor chewing out her husband for forgetting their anniversary. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 Topped out at 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 Looking pretty boring the next 10 days. Still waiting on the first 70 here although MLI has hit the low 70s a few times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 1.67 in my tippy bucket from last night. Agrees well with the radar estimates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 We just cannot get rid of the damn clouds. We've been cloudy and in the 40s for several days. Today was supposed to be full sun and 50º, but instead it's full clouds and 40º. We will finally get one mild day tomorrow, albeit very windy, before more cold moves in midweek. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted March 28, 2021 Share Posted March 28, 2021 Was just ripping sleet at 40 degrees lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 0.21” of rain yesterday with backend flurries this morning. Tomorrow we should bag our first 70 of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 30, 2021 Share Posted March 30, 2021 Cedar Rapids officially hit 70º for the first time this afternoon. Now we get a few cool/cold days before the bigger warmup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted March 31, 2021 Share Posted March 31, 2021 I got to 19C Mon with filtered sun most of the day, which is too bad. It was one last parting shot for one of the best Marches in memory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted March 31, 2021 Share Posted March 31, 2021 getting some flurries here with the passing convective showers today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted March 31, 2021 Share Posted March 31, 2021 5 hours ago, madwx said: getting some flurries here with the passing convective showers today Pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 31, 2021 Share Posted March 31, 2021 Pretty benign month for this area. Hopefully April brings the goods at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted March 31, 2021 Share Posted March 31, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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