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March 2021 General Discussion


Hoosier
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On 2/25/2021 at 11:03 PM, RCNYILWX said:

There's something wrong with the NAM's boundary layer scheme that gives modeled snow depth super powers. This creates a feedback cycle in which the snow cover is melted far slower than in reality due to the phantom snow cover influence keeping temps cooler and the cooler temps not allowing the snow to fully melt. Very easy to see this in action on the 00z NAM via Pivotal Weather. Just compare the model snow depth to the modeled 2m temps.

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Continuing this thought, todays 12z NAM has high temps(21z) here for the next 4 days of 33, 33, 33 and 32.  Can't wait to see how much they are going to bust by

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16 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

59 at ORD and 60 at MDW today.

Early-mid next week will easily top those numbers, but currently warmest since mid-November.


.

good call. sneaky win from your statement last week Monday or so we could hit 50's this week.

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7 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Never totally eradicated the strip of D1 in IL/IN over the course of winter.  Look at that coverage out west though.

20210302_usdm.thumb.jpg.eeb5187a9977cbcdc95f0e54a2689e44.jpg


Hadn’t looked at the drought monitor in months, and yikes! Not a good look. C’mon Hoosier we know the real reason you posted this you are itching for 1936 :P

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5 hours ago, Chambana said:


Hadn’t looked at the drought monitor in months, and yikes! Not a good look. C’mon Hoosier we know the real reason you posted this you are itching for 1936 :P

Just checked out the snow cover and it looks like by late next week there will be no snow on the ground in most of the Midwest and Great Lakes. Even most of southern Ontario and parts of Northern Ontario will have little to no snow on the ground (aside from a few areas in Muskoka and around the shores of Lake Superior) 

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Officially, the snow here is gone.  There is obviously still some scattered snow, plus the piles, but green is quickly expanding.  My measuring spot had 18", now 0.  Visible satellite still shows white in rural areas all around Cedar Rapids.  The next two days should get rid of all of it.

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17 hours ago, fluoronium said:

NWS point and click gives me 50's and 60's throughout the whole forecast. The previous few days have been great as well. B)

What a nice change for early March compared to recent years!

In like a lamb, out like a lion?

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