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March Long Range Discussion


stormtracker
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19 minutes ago, high risk said:

      maybe 50s Saturday and near 70 Sunday?     850 temps still look pretty low on Saturday......

Yeah, last couple runs have trended a little cooler for sunday as well...Wont complain as long as its 60 and sunny, but 70 might be a stretch except for southern zones

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All of the models this year displayed a cold bias at range. Days 4-10 or so. Now I don’t know dick about computer programming, but you’d think a consistent bias could be programmed out even if it was as simple as add 10 degrees day 8-10, 7 days 5-7 and so on.

And on a side note, as far as practical weather, I thought the ICON did a pretty fair job this year. It’s forecasts are very stable from run to run.

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4 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

All of the models this year displayed a cold bias at range. Days 4-10 or so. Now I don’t know dick about computer programming, but you’d think a consistent bias could be programmed out even if it was as simple as add 10 degrees day 8-10, 7 days 5-7 and so on.

And on a side note, as far as practical weather, I thought the ICON did a pretty fair job this year. It’s forecasts are very stable from run to run.

It scored a fair bit too, such as latching onto the Feb 7th storm not going OTS. It mainly sucks that it has very limited visuals, like no 850s and no mixing indications (No soundings too I think), but yeah. 

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8 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

All of the models this year displayed a cold bias at range. Days 4-10 or so. Now I don’t know dick about computer programming, but you’d think a consistent bias could be programmed out even if it was as simple as add 10 degrees day 8-10, 7 days 5-7 and so on.

And on a side note, as far as practical weather, I thought the ICON did a pretty fair job this year. It’s forecasts are very stable from run to run.

I thought the same about the ICON. It is almost boring with its lack of being prone to advertising extremes-  a good thing at range.

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