snowman19 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 9 minutes ago, Amped said: UKMET and GFS have similar snow amounts in CO despite the UKMET being 18 hrs slower. I don't remember any major Front Range snowstorms that were also big east coast snowstorms. They usually cut so far west they bring rain to Chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Everytime we hit 70 in early March, it snows within a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Even though it is almost at the end of its run I find it cool to just look at the made up storms. It looks like a nice late March nor-easter. The best part though, is that it falls apart and becomes suppressed before reaching us now we can't even get virtual snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Also the GFS Para brought back snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 GEFS targets central VA. Right where we want it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2021 Author Share Posted March 9, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Bring it home dude. It’s in your hands. Dude is definitely tenacious. If I were pinned down in a foxhole, I'd want him beside me. Although he might let me die because he hates my moderation skills. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2021 Author Share Posted March 9, 2021 33 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Even though it is almost at the end of its run I find it cool to just look at the made up storms. It looks like a nice late March nor-easter. The best part though, is that it falls apart and becomes suppressed before reaching us now we can't even get virtual snow. 354 hours. Yall kinda get out of control with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 GEFS targets central VA. Right where we want it lolThat is a crazy run-to-run shift on the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: That is a crazy run-to-run shift on the mean. I'll take the HECS P16 shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: That is a crazy run-to-run shift on the mean. its not crazy for that range though... some subtle shifts in the longwave pattern at that range has significant impact on the synoptic details. Maybe it shifts back next run who knows...but that's why I was lol at the "its over" posts the last 24 hours. I would be equally LOL at any "it's gonna snow" posts too. Maybe the winter got to everyone because some people are acting silly lately with making determinations about synoptic details from ranges that are not realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: I'll take the HECS P16 shows. p28 seems to fit the seasonal pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 19 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 354 hours. Yall kinda get out of control with this. I know, but I just find looking at storms that far out interesting not because it will happen but because it shows a simulation of a storm. Even though the storm won't happen I find it still interesting to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 26 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: GEFS targets central VA. Right where we want it lol lol what timeframe is this for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Gfs has a mega block at the end of the run with a pretty epic pattern, could it be just in time for a late season blockbuster or will it just make spring colder? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ji said: lol what timeframe is this for? Next December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 10 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Gfs has a mega block at the end of the run with a pretty epic pattern, could it be just in time for a late season blockbuster or will it just make spring colder? Gross. That'd be 40s and drizzle for days for here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 51 minutes ago, Ji said: lol what timeframe is this for? The one you declared dead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Euro caved too. Precip kind of paltry but has some snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 51 minutes ago, Ji said: lol what timeframe is this for? Then it targets just north layer in the week. I suppose one more DC split would be a perfect way to end things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Plenty of hits on EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The one you declared dead. the precip is so paltry---id be more excited about flurries in october Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Dude is definitely tenacious. If I were pinned down in a foxhole, I'd want him beside me. Although he might let me die because he hates my moderation skills. lol same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 14 minutes ago, Ji said: the precip is so paltry---id be more excited about flurries in october I said Gefs. There are some members that are wet. But it’s still not in details range anyways. I’m not really paying much attention. Just made a half joking observation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 23 minutes ago, Ji said: the precip is so paltry---id be more excited about flurries in october The event hasn't happened yet. There was no snow modeled at all until recently. There is plenty of time for the modeled solution to get better or to vanish, but pretending like this is the final solution and saying it isn't a big enough event to be exciting is a bit much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: GEFS targets central VA. Right where we want it lol Short pump, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 WB 12Z EPS individual members, there are some decent hits inside 8 days. About 12/50.... almost 25%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 I've seen worse at this range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2021 Author Share Posted March 9, 2021 34 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: This is good stuff lol. But not sure how tenacious one has to be to track snow in mid March. And actually you were pretty civil to me for the record. You have to be VERY tenacious. In Dec-Feb, I don't give up easy. But March, especially going into Mid March....I dunno man. I become worse than Ehoffman or Baltwx. It takes a lot to get me on board. I haven't completely given up, I just don't expect much or follow nearly as closely. I would love one last hurrah tho. Would be a shame to waste that 1030 high/wedge 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2021 Author Share Posted March 9, 2021 If there was one reason why I hate tracking snow in the mid to late march is the extra effin hour we gotta wait for models, especially at night. Don't these storms know people gotta get up for the work the next morning? 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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