Baltimorewx Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 Not much to speak of on the Euro other than the back door front friday pushes a bit faster than some other models so therefore friday and saturday arent great days. Otherwise heights push north ahead of the next storm and it drives way up into the upper plains anyway so all we get is a frontal passage anyhow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 On 3/8/2021 at 6:02 PM, Ji said: what happened? Bob chill came back again and everything fell apart! Expand A day 230 forecast didn't pan out? Shocker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 8, 2021 Author Share Posted March 8, 2021 On 3/8/2021 at 6:30 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: We aren’t on the mat. We are already in the ambulance. Expand Finally. Welcome aboard my man. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 First chance of spring thunderstorms on the long range GFS this run. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 what a disaster things became within 24 hours. We always have 2 places to go at the Crossroads and we always seem to go the other way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 On 3/8/2021 at 7:19 PM, Ji said: what a disaster things became within 24 hours. We always have 2 places to go at the Crossroads and we always seem to go the other way Expand We were so close! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 On 3/8/2021 at 7:19 PM, Ji said: what a disaster things became within 24 hours. We always have 2 places to go at the Crossroads and we always seem to go the other way Expand Objectively there was never a path to victory. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 On 3/8/2021 at 7:15 PM, clskinsfan said: First chance of spring thunderstorms on the long range GFS this run. Expand I put some grass seed down yesterday. Now that the cold is exiting, I will start watering that area. With the increasing sun angle and soil warming up, It might germinate in the next 10 days. Can't have a tropical deluge washing it away lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 On 3/8/2021 at 7:19 PM, Ji said: what a disaster things became within 24 hours. We always have 2 places to go at the Crossroads and we always seem to go the other way Expand Only 8 more months till November 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 On 3/8/2021 at 8:36 PM, Chris78 said: Only 8 more months till November Expand And then only 2 more months after that before it snows. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 On 3/8/2021 at 7:35 PM, CAPE said: Objectively there was never a path to victory. Expand Dunno...I never thought it was likely and still don’t but I also still wouldn’t be shocked if the area saw another snow either. Honestly I feel people are letting their disappointment and desire to be done with winter to cloud their judgement. We know it can snow in late March. And yes even on the coastal plain. It’s pretty rare. Like a 5-10% probability (of something more then just mood flakes) in any year type thing. But that’s not “no way” like people keep saying. And the fact the winter was a disappointment until now also doesn’t have that much correlation. Some years with late snow were pretty dismal before that also. I kinda feel like this is more people’s desire to have warm weather and not suffer one more disappointment. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 He means in that particular set-up. Not generally. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 On 3/8/2021 at 9:40 PM, psuhoffman said: Dunno...I never thought it was likely and still don’t but I also still wouldn’t be shocked if the area saw another snow either. Honestly I feel people are letting their disappointment and desire to be done with winter to cloud their judgement. We know it can snow in late March. And yes even on the coastal plain. It’s pretty rare. Like a 5-10% probability (of something more then just mood flakes) in any year type thing. But that’s not “no way” like people keep saying. And the fact the winter was a disappointment until now also doesn’t have that much correlation. Some years with late snow were pretty dismal before that also. I kinda feel like this is more people’s desire to have warm weather and not suffer one more disappointment. Expand I am referring to the Monday timeframe. See my post this morning based on the EPS/GEFS from 0z. Either way it would be tough to pull off, and an "in between" scenario has never seemed very likely. Yes in general it can snow in March anywhere in our region and even down into NC. We have seen it a lot in recent years. It still might, but I don't like the odds for the Sun-Tuesday timeframe at this juncture. I really don't like the h5 look much going forward either, so I am pretty pessimistic about seeing a widespread 4"+ event anywhere other than the elevated western areas of our region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 On 3/8/2021 at 9:15 PM, CAPE said: And then only 2 more months after that before it snows. Expand Not for Mt psu 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 8, 2021 Share Posted March 8, 2021 On 3/8/2021 at 8:36 PM, Chris78 said: Only 8 more months till November Expand But only 6 until September 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 On 3/8/2021 at 11:52 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: But only 6 until September Expand and only 15 months until Summer 2022 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 On 3/9/2021 at 12:27 AM, nj2va said: and only 15 months until Summer 2022 Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9, 2021 Author Share Posted March 9, 2021 On 3/9/2021 at 12:51 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: Expand I’m going to Denver. You can ride shotgun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 On 3/8/2021 at 7:19 PM, Ji said: All of my posts are a disaster. Expand Fixed 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 On 3/8/2021 at 9:50 PM, CAPE said: I am referring to the Monday timeframe. See my post this morning based on the EPS/GEFS from 0z. Either way it would be tough to pull off, and an "in between" scenario has never seemed very likely. Yes in general it can snow in March anywhere in our region and even down into NC. We have seen it a lot in recent years. It still might, but I don't like the odds for the Sun-Tuesday timeframe at this juncture. I really don't like the h5 look much going forward either, so I am pretty pessimistic about seeing a widespread 4"+ event anywhere other than the elevated western areas of our region. Expand I get ya. I think Ji was being more universal in his post though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 On 3/9/2021 at 1:34 AM, stormtracker said: I’m going to Denver. You can ride shotgun Expand Wish I could afford a winter retreat in the West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 GFS is the new DGEX? 89” of snow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Just imagine how much snow Denver and Colorado Springs would get if they got the type of orographic enhancement that parrs ridge gets. Could easily be over 100”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 @CAPE also I’ve moved on. I had a health issue and got a family function coming up and besides that I’m totally swamped at work now. So I’d love another snow but if we don’t get another flake I won’t blink. But I find the “it’s over” posts amusing. Maybe it is. Maybe it isn’t. I don’t ever assume anything that has happened multiple times won’t happen again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 On 3/9/2021 at 1:34 AM, stormtracker said: I’m going to Denver. You can ride shotgun Expand I’m in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 This thread is filled with a bunch of complete weenies. You should all move to Miami. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 On 3/9/2021 at 1:44 AM, psuhoffman said: I get ya. I think Ji was being more universal in his post though. Expand He was specifically bemoaning the 'degradation' - as he sees it- of the early week storm potential. His disaster/venting posts always have an element of universality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 Meant to ask but forgot ... how did the modeled outbreaks of Arctic air work out? They were pretty much modeled all winter. Any of them actually make it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 On 3/9/2021 at 4:53 PM, losetoa6 said: Significant changes on the Latest Gefs at h5 for early week. Lookin wintery Expand Bring it home dude. It’s in your hands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 9, 2021 Share Posted March 9, 2021 On 3/9/2021 at 5:00 PM, losetoa6 said: Ukie at 144 looks promising Expand UKMET and GFS have similar snow amounts in CO despite the UKMET being 18 hrs slower. I don't remember any major Front Range snowstorms that were also big east coast snowstorms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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