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March Long Range Discussion


stormtracker
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  On 3/5/2021 at 1:53 PM, Weather Will said:

WB 6Z EPS is quiet through the end of next work week, it will be interesting to see if there is one last bout of wintry weather to track as we go into the last two weeks of March, but I will be cleaning out my garden beds this week as things finally dry out.

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The potential interesting time frame would be after this. Starting next weekend and beyond.

Wouldn't shock me to have 1 more event to track. 

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  On 3/5/2021 at 2:02 PM, Chris78 said:

The potential interesting time frame would be after this. Starting next weekend and beyond.

Wouldn't shock me to have 1 more event to track. 

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Yea there’s no threat until after this front day 7 or so, if that front is strong enough (near lakes) it could set up the follow up wave near texas

077A9560-4C09-44F0-ADF8-F200A68538C2.png

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I was flipping through pictures and was amazed at how crazy March 2014 was.  We had March 3 with 5-6 inches with temps in the TEENS the next day.  Then about 10" on March 17 and I think it might have snowed one more time at the end of the month. 

I agree with Mappy though and this 6-10 day outlook pleases me

image.png.6c6e87f20899f7a9cb86314f67308f75.png

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  On 3/5/2021 at 2:36 PM, BlizzardNole said:

I was flipping through pictures and was amazed at how crazy March 2014 was.  We had March 3 with 5-6 inches with temps in the TEENS the next day.  Then about 10" on March 17 and I think it might have snowed one more time at the end of the month. 

I agree with Mappy though and this 6-10 day outlook pleases me

 

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Should easily get our first 70 (and maybe 75 if things break right) of the year in DC!

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  On 3/5/2021 at 6:57 PM, nj2va said:

Should easily get our first 70 (and maybe 75 if things break right) of the year in DC!

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Perfect progression of temps! As much as we didn't like the outcome, the core of cold + blocking actually happening in winter with a gradual warmup entering Spring is a welcome sight. Hopefully no pesky neg NAO making its mark into April with a sudden jump to Summer as we've had in more than one recent winter. 

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  On 3/5/2021 at 5:31 PM, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z Para digital snow only 13 days away....

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Pretty sure if the Para couldn't deliver us the digital snow in Jan and Feb in a extremely blocked pattern, then for  sure it will be wrong for about the 40th time this winter with that depiction you posted.  

All I can say is I love winter storms, but for now, Good bye winter ! Hello Spring ! 

Looking forward to rain free weather and temps near 70 degrees next week.  

My emotional state has already improved. Planning my landscaping now, and enjoying the sun and outdoors. 

 

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  On 3/5/2021 at 8:08 PM, losetoa6 said:

End of the Euro run looks like a storm train to me with a reinforcing cold shot poised to drop se out of central Canada extraping :D. A bit of a ridge bridge showing up in the northern latitudes at 240 as well .

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No sign of a ridge bridge on the mean in that timeframe but roll this forward a day or 2 and there is a decent look with ridging out west, cold pressing, and the SE ridge flattened. As I posted this morning the best potential for something wintry appears to be from around the 15th and esp beyond.. St Patty's day storm!

1615809600-rlUmiVdiERU.png

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00z GFS laughs at the 18z GFS and says 18z must have had too much to drink. 

00z GFS has 60s Wed/Thur and 70 on Friday... but then cool air returns next weekend with highs in the 40s Sat and around 50 on Sun

Week of the 15th had warm Monday... but then Tues-Fri must have a backdoor front around cause highs are mainly in the 40s and 50s.... and stays there in the super extended

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  On 3/6/2021 at 6:20 AM, yoda said:

00z GFS laughs at the 18z GFS and says 18z must have had too much to drink. 

00z GFS has 60s Wed/Thur and 70 on Friday... but then cool air returns next weekend with highs in the 40s Sat and around 50 on Sun

Week of the 15th had warm Monday... but then Tues-Fri must have a backdoor front around cause highs are mainly in the 40s and 50s.... and stays there in the super extended

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You’re doing play by play on the 300 hour gfs???

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