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March 2021 Weather Discussion


CoastalWx
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Today ... perhaps early Wednesday, then again, late week, if Logan does not put a trace of snow ( at least ..) in the books, things are gonna get tight -

It seems the models/ ens means ... are struggling and losing against the seasonal hemisphere. It's like they are suppressing the storm, at the same time the air mass is moderating over top (00z Euro) if subtly - the system for late week. In general, there seems an attempt to minor that out more every run...and at this point, the GGEM and GFS ( 12z ) can't even get measurable to HFD.  

For several runs, the Euro's offering a sneaky "nape" day in there on Wednesday. The 00z has 300, 500, and 700 sigma level RH fields allowing at least partly sunny cut through, 18z on Wednesday, with light wind.  Not a total loss... but the whole complexion there after suppressing the low S and moderating the 850 mb thermal layout seems is trend more so than aberration run.  It'll be interesting to see if the 12z continues.  

anyway, "tight at Logan"  ... there has never been a March without at least a trace of snow at that location.  If they don't do it today ...over this week, it would be dicey whether they can the rest of the way.  Because it does not appear there is an opportunity after this immediate week - aspect would have to change.  

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