cut Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 23 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: You and me both... it's been a crushing winter ( for me personally...) and just the change in environment - any change is good at this point for me frankly. I don't normally get affected by sensible weather stuff.. or the modeling noise, but the former personal stuff is making this experience rather unique. Seeing no white and tinting green in lawn... hell, maybe even swell a few Forsythia shrub buds - is that too much to ask? ...begging the Dickensian ward whipper ... Those might be welcoming as symbolic to better times. It really has not been a very entertaining meteorological winter, so not much hope ...none of these events left me ultimately very inspired. Although the 30" CSI band from N or ALB to mid NH was point fantastic. Otherwise, this has been a drag slog of rationalized bs to get through ... and I know I may be in the minority but I do love summer, ...tracking heat...tracking convection. These are equally as interesting to me as deep winter fair ... The last thing my personal druthers either wants nor requires at this point is protracting abysmal cold weather that only placates nostalgia threads of storms of spring yore, but won't deliver shit out the window. ... You know, in a separate texting thread a Met buddy referred to yesterday as a "bottom 10 day - only in New England can a gem sky of irradient life giving sun manage to pull off a piece of shit afternoon " Lol ..funny Totally agree - a challenging personal period that beckons for some nice weather. If get into a string of backdoor hell I'm going out my 5th floor window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 35F and overcast...this blows. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 36 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: You and me both... it's been a crushing winter ( for me personally...) and just the change in environment - any change is good at this point for me frankly. I don't normally get affected by sensible weather stuff.. or the modeling noise, but the former personal stuff is making this experience rather unique. Seeing no white and tinting green in lawn... hell, maybe even swell a few Forsythia shrub buds - is that too much to ask? ...begging the Dickensian ward whipper ... Those might be welcoming as symbolic to better times. It really has not been a very entertaining meteorological winter, so not much hope ...none of these events left me ultimately very inspired. Although the 30" CSI band from N or ALB to mid NH was point fantastic. Otherwise, this has been a drag slog of rationalized bs to get through ... and I know I may be in the minority but I do love summer, ...tracking heat...tracking convection. These are equally as interesting to me as deep winter fair ... The last thing my personal druthers either wants nor requires at this point is protracting abysmal cold weather that only placates nostalgia threads of storms of spring yore, but won't deliver shit out the window. ... You know, in a separate texting thread a Met buddy referred to yesterday as a "bottom 10 day - only in New England can a gem sky of irradient life giving sun manage to pull off a piece of shit afternoon " Lol ..funny 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'd take a pack that's good enough to have winter fun in over bare ground for sure. But at this stage with nothing imminent, I'll take any nice weather. It really is a shame that we didn't get better luck with some of the more stochastic nuances within the long wave flow because this winter really could have been a keeper for the whole region. When you couple that extended period without torches with a couple more well-timed heavy hitters, it changes the overall tenor the season dramatically. Having the Christmas event phase into a cutter, and missing out on some phases in January and that second week of February turned this into a forgettable winter for at least the northern half of the region. Too bad so much got left on the table because all of the ingredients were there for a great season, but just didn't quite come together. In hindsight, this year was a perfect example of why it so risky to forecast a banner of a snowfall season....it very easily could have been 2011, but it just did not happen because you need a lot of breaks to achieve a stretch like that, despite the long wave pattern being conducive. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2021 Author Share Posted March 3, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It really is a shame that we didn't get better luck with some the more stochastic nuances in the long wave flow because this winter really could have been a keeper for the whole region. When you couple that extended period without torches with a couple more well-timed heavy hitters, it changes the overall tenor the season dramatically. Having the Christmas event phase into a cutter, and missing out on some phases in January and that second week of February turned this into a forgettable winter for at least the northern half of the region. Too bad so much got left on the table because all of the ingredients were there for a great season, but just didn't quite come together. If we don't get much this month, this winter is maybe a grade better than last year? At least for here. I know it was better in other areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If we don't get much this month, this winter is maybe a grade better than last year? At least for here. I know it was better in other areas. Funny you say that....I have been harping all season on how its been very similar snowfall wise in my hood...just colder. Half of my seasonal allotment came in the early December deal last year, and this year, 27.5" of the 49.5" came in two events (11" 12/17 and 16.5" 2/1). I have 5" more than I did last season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2021 Author Share Posted March 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Funny you say that....I have been harping all season on how its been very similar snowfall wise in my hood...just colder. Half of my seasonal allotment came in the early December deal last year, and this year, 27.5" of the 49.5" came in two events (11" 12/17 and 16.5" 2/1). I have 5" more than I did last season. Feb was good this year which saves it. I can't complain at all even after getting skunked on 2/1. That was the first real Feb since 2015 here as far as snow and snow pack go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 I remember that storm. Had about 10 inches per memory. What a great March that was! Didn’t we have another threat about a week later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Feb was good this year which saves it. I can't complain at all even after getting skunked on 2/1. That was the first real Feb since 2015 here as far as snow and snow pack go. February was good, it just underachieved as a whole, as I intimated above...vast majority of my monthly snowfall came on 2/1. We looked primed for a huge month, then "whoosh"...that period immediately following VD Day just went to hell in a hand basket. What looked like two consecutive mod-heavy hitters just gave SNE the 7-10 split....with one going rainer, and the other nuisance. That week's failure was the game changer....only getting 10.5" of snow between Feb 2 and 28 leaves a good deal to be desired. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 26 minutes ago, dendrite said: 35F and overcast...this blows. 48 and glorious....this rocks 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 26 minutes ago, dendrite said: 35F and overcast...this blows. Yup...I was wrong .... well, 'hoping' anyway, that the clouds were not going to make it SE due to drying ( although you may be in it either way in that regard -) ... It's clouded over here. Nape over - Not so down near the Pike... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 41.7 at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 58 minutes ago, MJOatleast7 said: So as the HC expands north (CC)do you think it’ll eventually put E NE in the trade wind belt in the summer? Says the weather geek looking for his first landfalling TC from the *east* like in the Caribbean...Probably still 50 years or so from that happening. I've tempted the notion in my internal monologue a few times ... I don't know about that in any absolute sense, tho.. It seems already that sort of N displaced Bermuda ridge ..where by an anomalous easterly wind band has come into the M/A at higher latitudes? That seems to be a "quasi" established ... maybe even warning that that could eventual evolve. Perhaps as a more distant destiny given a few decades of continued unmitigated, relentless rise in global warming/CC - I am not personally privy to the most recent state of the art with the longer termed climate modeling - but... I wonder if a future world is so warm that we lose the Ferrel distinction altogether, and what emerges becomes ever more like a two cellular hemisphere: HC and the Polar regions... It seems these velocity soaked winters are really an early warning signal that the intrusion of the HC into the mid latitudes is underway - at an insidiously slow rate ... I say that in part sardonically, but it is happening just slowly enough to creep. But that's all speculation. I am an accomplished Sci fi author, full disclosure and I can sell this shit when not attempting to "sell" anything. I just love the pastime of open discourse and created witticism and admit to advancing more plausibility than at times is really very 'possible' - I try to make it clear which is which tho. I would prefer not driving people's opinions ...I would only wish thought provocation and then have that maybe lead to skeptical testing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Ooooh ha-ho-ho-ho ... so you're adMITting it's napey now - Wow, I actually made it to the end of one of your posts. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 49.5F and sunny. Making me excited for next weeks potential 60 degree weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 D6 Euro is insane nape on this 12z run... At least by the coarse view - if that depiction where enough, might as well be naked angles of one's carnal dreams tongue tickling beneath the ears with that look ... Actually, D7 DEFINITELY is... in fact, that would be straight warm-like 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: D6 Euro is insane nape on this 12z run... I mean might as well be naked angles of one's carnal dreams tongue tickling beneath the ears with that look Last a solid 3+ days it looks like. Hopefully it is correct....pretty good multi-guidance support today anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Last a solid 3+ days it looks like. Hopefully it is correct....pretty good multi-guidance support today anyway. It's a big useful factor at this time of year right there. yeah - Thing is ... parroting Scott early ...it's interesting that is not a BD look. How the hell did we wend the hemisphere into that modeled look in March... ...maybe owing to the rising NAO out there.. unknown Folks, you shouldn't get hopes up if you are spring enthusiasts until that's inside D4.5 because we've all got time-trialed experience in this part of the world - very minute synoptic construct changes can end that with a lvl cold wedge, doing so out of nowhere in sort term corrections. Yet, still overall verify the pattern recognition as a success - we are the Labrador 'Red Headed' step child, eating shit so that the rest of 'em get cake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2021 Author Share Posted March 3, 2021 Now watch the EPS show a backdoor. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: D6 Euro is insane nape on this 12z run... At least by the coarse view - if that depiction where enough, might as well be naked angles of one's carnal dreams tongue tickling beneath the ears with that look ... Actually, D7 DEFINITELY is... in fact, that would be straight warm-like This would be the type of March where we get widespread 70s 2nd week of March and then snows a week later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 7 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: This would be the type of March where we get widespread 70s 2nd week of March and then snows a week later. It’s happened many times before...March can bring it all, and all in a weeks time at that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Funny you say that....I have been harping all season on how its been very similar snowfall wise in my hood...just colder. Half of my seasonal allotment came in the early December deal last year, and this year, 27.5" of the 49.5" came in two events (11" 12/17 and 16.5" 2/1). I have 5" more than I did last season. 12" less here going into this month, and current models point downhill from there. Last season finished at C- with its mild wx after Nov and mediocre storms thru met winter. The 2 biggest snowfalls came after the equinox. After 3 straight cold Aprils maybe we get some nice early spring wx? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Now watch the EPS show a backdoor. No, that will start showing up on the 84 hour NAM when it gets in range, and we'll all dismiss it as the NAM being the NAM and when it stills shows 38F with Tip's northeast-facing screen door slamming shut at 48 hours out, other guidance will start coming on board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 16 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: This would be the type of March where we get widespread 70s 2nd week of March and then snows a week later. Mmm... until I see this, ... fill/ leave the Canadian shield, I don't care how utopic the synoptic backyard looks, whatever happens after next week isn't without risk afterward. That said, as the month ages obviously the sun's perpetual 'bright flash' off a hydrogen bomb becomes evermore the modulating factor- ...ever think of that? That bright flash that blinds people in nuclear bomb explosion, that's what the sun is ..... ALWAYS ... heh, kinda neat We can even lose that cold bank account up there and still go through a 'marginal' bowling ball vulnerability - although I wonder if that's less favored this year .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 Exciting times ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 Over the years, I've come to enjoy each of the seasons on their own merits. I know most of y'all seem to want it to snow and then flip a switch to summer, but personally, I like the a spring season in New England for all that it entails: clouds, showers, sleet, backdoor cold fronts, warmups, wind-driven rain at 49F, and 60s and clear. Summers giving me chances at those hot, humid, and hazy days and nights where the moon and stars just feel like they're smeared across the sky from the humidity I also enjoy. Fall is still my absolute favorite; the September 1 to December 1 progression is my favorite time of the year. It all has a certain appeal to me and I don't think I'd be happy with a switch flipping from season to season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 Man...that's a shit pattern for California ... Almost looks like an 'atmospheric river' ... I mean, c'mon ... how many different ways can we see the pattern NOT look like La Nina before we realize La Nina ain't running the show - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2021 Author Share Posted March 3, 2021 23 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Man...that's a shit pattern for California ... Almost looks like an 'atmospheric river' ... I mean, c'mon ... how many different ways can we see the pattern NOT look like La Nina before we realize La Nina ain't running the show - I think they need the moisture though. If I’m not mistaken, they are drier than normal. Anyways, the mid month period does look interesting on the EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 Wash and wax em up !!!! 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2021 Share Posted March 3, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I think they need the moisture though. If I’m not mistaken, they are drier than normal. Anyways, the mid month period does look interesting on the EPS. Lets get a 2007 St. Pattys redux. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2021 Author Share Posted March 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lets get a 2007 St. Pattys redux. Yeah a little colder and south and we are golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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