OceanStWx Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Don't know if it was OceanSt posted this on the Gray NWS FB page but I never thought about this. Great graphic. Makes total sense met. winter isn't on the same date across the country. Areas near water will lag. I supplied the graphic but I wasn't the one who posted it. I've long said winter is 12/15 to 3/15 around here, and that graphic pretty much matches it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Today’s 50’s vanished faster than a box of donuts in Ant’s police cruiser . Poor Tip can’t catch a nape Getting close for me. 47F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: My 1/5 chance from two days ago is now like 1/20. You need the ridge/trough placements to be off by several hundreds of miles 5/6 days out. Pulling for a miracle but you probably need to see a lot more improvement by 12z today or it's ova The ridge isn't in a terrible spot. It's a little bit east, but nothing crazy....over the Dakotas or so. The bigger problem is you have a negatively tilted trough over Quebec/NE made up of a massive PV lobe....so you need something to amplify underneath that which is really hard. Not impossible, if you can phase a spoke of PV energy with the southern stream, it's possible. But you can start to envision how much has to go right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 Easy winter grade here, 6th letter in the alphabet, Going to be a lot of black ice overnight and frozen vehicles in the morning tomorrow. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: The ridge isn't in a terrible spot. It's a little bit east, but nothing crazy....over the Dakotas or so. The bigger problem is you have a negatively tilted trough made up of a massive PV lobe....so you need something to amplify underneath that which is really hard. Not impossible, if you can phase a spoke of PV energy with the southern stream, it's possible. But you can start to envision how much has to go right. Yeah..I think if there was any inkling of this starting to come together..you'd have a few ensemble outliers trying to make it happen. Ah well, an easy system to never get too invested in anyway as it never made it past day 8 on models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 17 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: The difference between tomorrow's dawn through noon versus Tuesday's is nothing shy of appalling!! my god - +8 C at 850 in laze faire westerly air, under partly sunny tomorrow -24 C at 850 in a cryo stung hell of 50 mph turbines on Tuesday w t f Talkin a 32 veritable mixing depth swing 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Today’s 50’s vanished faster than a box of donuts in Ant’s police cruiser . Poor Tip can’t catch a nape Nothing sunny or really warm about today at the moment. Socked in with fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 13 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Nothing sunny or really warm about today at the moment. Socked in with fog. Fog and 36.4. Cold front quickly approaching. Nape warnings all discontinued 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 28 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The ridge isn't in a terrible spot. It's a little bit east, but nothing crazy....over the Dakotas or so. The bigger problem is you have a negatively tilted trough over Quebec/NE made up of a massive PV lobe....so you need something to amplify underneath that which is really hard. Not impossible, if you can phase a spoke of PV energy with the southern stream, it's possible. But you can start to envision how much has to go right. Its a shame because it doesn't look like it would be LBSW for once. I like the evolution of the mid levels, but its just OTS. That would have had real classic upper tier potential around here....not the decaying dynamics of the N mid atlantic's sloppy seconds that we have seen all season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 22 minutes ago, dryslot said: Easy winter grade here, 6th letter in the alphabet, Going to be a lot of black ice overnight and frozen vehicles in the morning tomorrow. If we go snowless this month, I’m revising my D+/C- to a solid D. The 12+ event on 12/17 saved this winter from receiving a straight up F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: If we go snowless this month, I’m revising my D+/C- to a solid D. The 12+ event on 12/17 saved this winter from receiving a straight up F. My C- assumes a lame March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: If we go snowless this month, I’m revising my D+/C- to a solid D. The 12+ event on 12/17 saved this winter from receiving a straight up F. Never even saw anything past 9" here, And that was back on 12/17, The grinch set the tone for the remainder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 Looks like just upslope for NNE through the middle of the month on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 57 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There is almost no room for the storm to get far enough west in the longwave pattern. Everything would have to break right.....plausible? Sure. Extremely unlikely? Also true. Again.. As I stated... We dont know how this will play out yet. Am I holding my breath, no. Just stating where we are at this point. I am well aware that the chances are pretty low that this will hit, but, the final outcome is yet to be determined. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: Looks like just upslope for NNE through the middle of the month on the models. We done. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2021 Author Share Posted March 1, 2021 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Fog and 36.4. Cold front quickly approaching. Nape warnings all discontinued You'll warm up wth fropa at first. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 36 minutes ago, dryslot said: Easy winter grade here, 6th letter in the alphabet, Going to be a lot of black ice overnight and frozen vehicles in the morning tomorrow. Should be some good frost heaves too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Should be some good frost heaves too. Oh, There were a few on Rte 27 on the way back from Eustis yesterday, More to come, Road postings should be getting underway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: Never even saw anything past 9" here, And that was back on 12/17, The grinch set the tone for the remainder. That’s brutal. What is your typical seasonal avg and where are you now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s brutal. What is your typical seasonal avg and where are you now? 72" avg and i'm at 45.6" to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 16 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Again.. As I stated... We dont know how this will play out yet. Am I holding my breath, no. Just stating where we are at this point. I am well aware that the chances are pretty low that this will hit, but, the final outcome is yet to be determined. preparations are underway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You'll warm up wth fropa at first. Won’t come near mid 50’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: 72" avg and i'm at 45.6" to date. 63 and 49.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 32 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: If we go snowless this month, I’m revising my D+/C- to a solid D. The 12+ event on 12/17 saved this winter from receiving a straight up F. D- for the winter grade in methuen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 My Radarscope is showing another batch by Keene area, is this the leading edge, or is that much later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2021 Author Share Posted March 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Won’t come near mid 50’s Unfortunately no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 63 and 49.5". Your closer, But not a whole lot better there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 It seems like the past few springs we've had less wheel o'rhea weeks on end....perhaps tip's fast flow and hadley cell expansion FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2021 Author Share Posted March 1, 2021 Pretty close to season avg here. 43.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2021 Author Share Posted March 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Whineminster said: It seems like the past few springs we've had less wheel o'rhea weeks on end....perhaps tip's fast flow and hadley cell expansion FTW? Yeah true. Who knows though...this season has not acted like Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2021 Share Posted March 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Unfortunately no. Scarves on napes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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