RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Weeklies had that, but on the EPS, we have some ridging in the S and SE so verbatim doesn't seem that bad. But. we know how sneaky backdoors can be. Isn’t there a correlation (even if it’s weak) between winter nao and spring/summer? I’m wondering if we are passed the dominate +ao/nao and moving into a more blockiness period again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 24 for the low, already up to 36⁰, should be another great day...enjoy! Tomorrow looks meh, hopefully Thursday over performs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Frost everywhere this morning. Two mornings in a row. There goes your growing season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, mreaves said: There goes your growing season. Looks like a nuclear crater outside here. Unlike tropical Tolland, we don't have any fragile plants growing yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 57 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Return of the nao in the LR. Just in time for Hatepril. Like clockwork 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 Damn, the 00z Euro is epic for here. It actually has a defined low SE of me in the GOM... LOL sure thing, Euro. I will take my scattered snow showers and like it as the storm passes harmlessly OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 38 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Weeklies had that, but on the EPS, we have some ridging in the S and SE so verbatim doesn't seem that bad. But. we know how sneaky backdoors can be. Thoughts on Sunday? Supposed to be a baseball double header at work; but looks like it could be quite wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Big Big Winter Incoming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 12 hours ago, 78Blizzard said: Quite the start for the new GFS today for north central Maine - 73" total run snowfall on the 18z, lol. Laughable map, but that silly 70+ is Katahdin, where it snows a bit. They'll add some white over the weekend and beyond. Nice 44° span yesterday with 61/17, but only took another inch off the pack, maybe more sublimation than melting as the small brooks show little effect. Seems to have stayed above 20 this morning and frost was thick, pointing toward less desert-like dews. So did the dense fog I drove thru going to Augusta, which took until the past 20 minutes to burn off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Like I said, looks good. Keep that garbage way north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Frost everywhere this morning. Two mornings in a row. Yeah, this was a razor cold layer/decoupling ...based - no doubt - on the lay into the overnight with such low DPs... Because the FOUS grid had T1s at ALB-LGA-BOS all like +5 overnight...so... not sure what MOS actually had, but that +5 is the synoptic low and we obviously went lower than 40 for a low. No real warmth in the guidance overnight until the end of April - Not sure I buy that, even removing the hyperbole. I don't believe that Euro solution will be very successful, given to what it has to work with up there in the flow ... circa D4/5 ... it is clearly taking an "impression" - more so - of a trough mechanics up there, and you can see it flipping D7 onward, it just all the sudden cores out this massive depth from 'not enough' kinematic insert from that D4/5 sourcing. So a little complex ...but in short ( and I know you didn't ask - just in general ...), it is unclear where the Euro get the power to to do that. I suspect it is the Euro's correction scheme at that range - their model does not make the application of the correction application very seamless - tends to 'flash' in... overly conserves what ever it is handling around D5 ..and gives it a mechanical boost. I was clicking through that and thinking, it's going to do it again and yup... historic low from a phantom dent in Alberta - The other aspect which is - I admit - a personal fan favorite is the "MIami Rule" ..there is a 590 dm height ridge spanning the skies of the Gulf to southern GA/Florida and the SW Atlantic Basin, on D4 ...and the Euro digs that out of nowhere trough power, into it... without demoing any shearing from compression and velocity that would certainly have to happen if the heights attempted to lower over top of that heat wall... I think there is going to be a wave there... but.. perhaps a NJ model reduction would be a decent compromise... I don't buy the juggernaut for all those reasons intimated above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 13 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: SIS you should move to Atacama to enjoy a good drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 Last few days temp swings has been pretty epic 3/20 61/22 3/21 67/25 3/22 65/25 3/23 52*/28 * as of 10 am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2021 Author Share Posted March 23, 2021 47 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Thoughts on Sunday? Supposed to be a baseball double header at work; but looks like it could be quite wet Looks like a crappy day, especially the aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like a crappy day, especially the aftn. Up this way also, planning a small bbq with the folks now that they have their shots.. if I listen to you should do it on Sat if I listen to Kev no problem.. hmmm.. wonder who I should go with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like a crappy day, especially the aftn. He’s been calling for flooding and then asks how it looks to play baseball . Showers and 50. Play 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2021 Author Share Posted March 23, 2021 20 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Up this way also, planning a small bbq with the folks now that they have their shots.. if I listen to you should do it on Sat if I listen to Kev no problem.. hmmm.. wonder who I should go with. Sunday at the least will be increasing clouds and onshore flow. Saturday probably will have morning clouds and a decent aftn with NW winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 This event was so localized. I remember how well modeled this was too. Aloft it was over the CTRV and deposited 10-15 miles east 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2021 Author Share Posted March 23, 2021 Might be CT FTL tomorrow with lower clouds circulating in from the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 42 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Might be CT FTL tomorrow with lower clouds circulating in from the south. I love this time of year...so dangerous and always living on the edge. See ya in May for a day, then August. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2021 Author Share Posted March 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I love this time of year...so dangerous and always living on the edge. See ya in May for a day, then August. Boring AF, but pants tent wx for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I love this time of year...so dangerous and always living on the edge. See ya in May for a day, then August. Go Red Sox, lot's to look forward to there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Boring AF, but pants tent wx for this time of year. It feels like I just went through a good DC winter. A monster storm, big torch, nothing too cold all winter, meh pack, and then we cherry blossom in March. Hopefully we can advect in some cicadas next month too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 Headed to North Conway next Sunday to Wednesday. Should I start my expectations at 1 or 2 feet of snow? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2021 Author Share Posted March 23, 2021 13 minutes ago, dendrite said: It feels like I just went through a good DC winter. A monster storm, big torch, nothing too cold all winter, meh pack, and then we cherry blossom in March. Hopefully we can advect in some cicadas next month too. Bring back the days of yore when Winni ice out was almost May. Now, it's warming up and is a few years away from brain eating amoebas. Of course those were the days when we would get cold fronts in the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Bring back the days of yore when Winni ice out was almost May. Now, it's warming up and is a few years away from brain eating amoebas. Of course those were the days when we would get cold fronts in the summer. We don’t want cold fronts in summer bringing in drying and cooling though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 23, 2021 Author Share Posted March 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We don’t want cold fronts in summer bringing in drying and cooling though I like those airmasses too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 21 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Headed to North Conway next Sunday to Wednesday. Should I start my expectations at 1 or 2 feet of snow? 1-2 inches. That area is horrible for snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Bring back the days of yore when Winni ice out was almost May. Now, it's warming up and is a few years away from brain eating amoebas. Of course those were the days when we would get cold fronts in the summer. "Dad...tell me that story again about the last time Laconia had a 49F dewpoint in July." 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 23, 2021 Share Posted March 23, 2021 23 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Headed to North Conway next Sunday to Wednesday. Should I start my expectations at 1 or 2 feet of snow? 1-2ft sounds about right 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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