Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: It will be nice wx, but that was an insane week. Hopefully April and May are nice. I like the mild wx, but when it's still sort of dead outside...it doesn't have the same feeling. In order to have life after death , you need warmth .. Biggie Smalls. Some rain would help too, a couple showers end of week won’t offer much help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 This could be truly hot summer ... wow - the lower RH free rise variety - 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 Hey....someone want to fire up a 2021 Tropical thread to discuss whatever that is spinning over the Gulfstream south of Hatteras? Bit early; I'm sure, for true tropical development but fairly interesting structure none the less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22, 2021 Author Share Posted March 22, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: In order to have life after death , you need warmth .. Biggie Smalls. Some rain would help too, a couple showers end of week won’t offer much help We'll have some rain later this week and probably Sunday. Stein ain't worrying me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: We'll have some rain later this week and probably Sunday. Stein ain't worrying me. End of week looks like under .30. We’ll see about the weekend deal. Could cut way nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: End of week looks like under .30. We’ll see about the weekend deal. Could cut way nw Lol..it just poured Thursday night/early Friday morning. Plenty wet around here. No droughts happening around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Won't even be close. Thanks for posting. Ya, that’s in a whole different league from what is happening this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol..it just poured Thursday night/early Friday morning. Plenty wet around here. No droughts happening around here. Most of CT had under .90.. s coast and Ginx had a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 I really don't wish to be all that engaged in any drought discussion ... However, just as an observation and experience: I feel the next 3 ...maybe 4 weeks will be key in setting us up the rest of the way this summer - unless we do like a June 1998 thing.. The total soil moisture and longer term moisture deficits states are crucial to seasonal resilience. When there is an abundance of arlier/warmer spring conditions , sans "April showers" normal, that climate leads to top layer issues accelerating ... pretty fast as early as late May per my own experience. April rain is more than an affectation... Sometimes this happens with earlier warmth prior to continental green up - green up adds atmospheric moisture, clouds and thunder follow were moisture is present. Pretty easy arithmetic there... But when desiccation abounds prior to green up, this has a nasty negative feed-back on soil moisture ...setting the gears toward a beige lawn by the 4th of the July, as well as crop/gardening problems.. But this is no reasons to play volleyball with U.S. DS charts all summer long either.. Obviously, 70/ 25 dp ...sucks water out of anything - including the earth... This can happen prior to reservoir depletion, which res level reduction doesn't kick in - in my own experience - until August, provided the previous year was sufficiently wet to get them at capacity prior to the onset of the warm spring in question. Basically ...there is a lot of lag facets to this hydro shit. We don't have a warm spring .... yet. What we have is the expectation of one, with perhaps 2 days and counting - if we negate the lows last night and priors... These diurnal averaging policies do a warm pattern a disservice at this time of year. But, it can be warm, we just need the anti-stein events to punctuate over the course of these 3 or 4 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 33 minutes ago, metagraphica said: Hey....someone want to fire up a 2021 Tropical thread to discuss whatever that is spinning over the Gulfstream south of Hatteras? Bit early; I'm sure, for true tropical development but fairly interesting structure none the less. Lol... yeah, just title the thread, ...while we're at it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 4 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Just because it's you, I hope you get several feet on in ypur yard!! Lol gonna be a long, stifling hot nine months until the next snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 2012 was pretty epic up here. Only 5 straight days of 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 4 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: gonna be a long, stifling hot nine months until the next snow 8 1/2 months for the next snow. 9 months is the 60F dews to melt it all away before Christmas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: 2012 was pretty epic up here. Only 5 straight days of 80s. Just looking at that 3/18 again and had to laugh. Wake up to 29F and a frosted windshield and then sweating your ass off in shorts in the afternoon 52 degrees later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 4 hours ago, dryslot said: Trees are starting to budd here which is kind of early but i'm not surprised. One can easily distinguish gender of quaking aspen now (if one is interested in such things ) as buds on the male trees have become large while the females' buds haven't enlarged at all. Red maple buds should be swelling now, too, but most other trees await April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: We'll have some rain later this week and probably Sunday. Stein ain't worrying me. Sunday has the potential to be a soaker.... more so than the Friday deal I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: 8 1/2 months for the next snow. 9 months is the 60F dews to melt it all away before Christmas. Nah, these days we get garbage snow events post 4/15. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Nothing is like that week. We're +10 yesterday and today, might approach +15 Thursday if the overnight is mild enough. Not quite 2012, by 15°+, Farmington co-op data: 18 78/31 +25 19 71/32 +22 20 80/32 +26 21 82/35 +28 22 83/36 +29 23 64/42 +22 The co-op's previous March warmest was 79 on 3/20/1903. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 11 minutes ago, tamarack said: One can easily distinguish gender of quaking aspen now (if one is interested in such things ) as buds on the male trees have become large while the females' buds haven't enlarged at all. Red maple buds should be swelling now, too, but most other trees await April. My red maple has budds, My pin oaks still have last years leaves left on them so those certainly have not started yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 Right ...come hell or high water ... something will make sure we packing pellet a trace from an overzealous virga exploded cumulus cloud over Logan on May 2nd no less - call it the, "Great Just Because Someone Made The Impertinent Suggestion That It Won't Snow For 8.5 Months" storm - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 It appears that we got the changes we needed on the Atlantic overnight on the models, not only have they shifted to a favorable pattern but there are 2 threats, the 28th and 31st. The setup for the first threat is more marginal, but it appears that the polar vortex is displaced to the south for the second one which increases the chances for a favorable northern stream injection that phases and delivers the cold air. It also appears that there is another Miller B threat in early April when you extrapolate the most recent Canadian run. We will be fighting climo and ptype issues with any storm we get, but I am a lot more optimistic than I was yesterday due to the drastic changes we needed in the Atlantic materializing on the overnight runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 12 minutes ago, George001 said: It appears that we got the changes we needed on the Atlantic overnight on the models, not only have they shifted to a favorable pattern but there are 2 threats, the 28th and 31st. The setup for the first threat is more marginal, but it appears that the polar vortex is displaced to the south for the second one which increases the chances for a favorable northern stream injection that phases and delivers the cold air. It also appears that there is another Miller B threat in early April when you extrapolate the most recent Canadian run. We will be fighting climo and ptype issues with any storm we get, but I am a lot more optimistic than I was yesterday due to the drastic changes we needed in the Atlantic materializing on the overnight runs. https://youtu.be/3Fn36l_z3WY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 17 minutes ago, George001 said: It appears that we got the changes we needed on the Atlantic overnight on the models, not only have they shifted to a favorable pattern but there are 2 threats, the 28th and 31st. The setup for the first threat is more marginal, but it appears that the polar vortex is displaced to the south for the second one which increases the chances for a favorable northern stream injection that phases and delivers the cold air. It also appears that there is another Miller B threat in early April when you extrapolate the most recent Canadian run. We will be fighting climo and ptype issues with any storm we get, but I am a lot more optimistic than I was yesterday due to the drastic changes we needed in the Atlantic materializing on the overnight runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 5 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Pics of your flowers Here friend. In a not that sunny area . Glad we live here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Here friend. In a not that sunny area . Glad we live here Foundation sprouts on the south side, pretty common.Nice to see. My water Lilly broke out. Nothing else yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: sweet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 64.7F. Day two of 40 degree swing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 64/18 Tiger lilies near the foundation beginnig to come up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 22, 2021 Share Posted March 22, 2021 65/13 13% RH. It is very dry out there. If it started raining it would be like 39F, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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