tamarack Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 17 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Was that region wide? Not that bad for NNE while CT/MA/RI all recorded their driest year in 1965. Also DE/NJ/PA. NY only missed because the record was set in its western counties where climate is significantly drier. NYC in 1965 had 6"+ less precip than the 2nd driest, which came the year before. I can't say how bad the municipal water supplies were in SNE, but Gotham's reservoirs were down to about 3 weeks' supply when the 9/21/66 downpour effectively ended the drought (though that termination only became apparent in the succeeding months.) Met summer 1966 remains NYC's driest, and also hottest until eclipsed by 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, George001 said: Based on what I see on the models today they are close but not quite there when it comes to phasing. This could very well phase and produce a monster ocean low if it keeps trending, but there isn’t a whole lot of time. Instead it looks like the streams will phase a little bit over western NY (a bit better than yesterday’s models having the northern steam diving into central NY, which would allow the low to strengthen a little more). The setup is quite marginal with there not being a strong cold air mass in place, which explains why the models have the storm starting as rain. As it is right now, I’m not really buying the 6-12 snow maps as the low is not strong enough to create its enough cold air to dynamically cool the atmosphere and increase the snow ratios, so the 6-12 inch snow maps would translate to 2-4 inches of wet snow. If we can get that northern stream to dive 200 miles west however it’s a whole nother story. I could be wrong but I'm guessing you like fiction? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 16 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: OKX thinks the cold arrives too late to make an impact. They are always late to the party Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: They are always late to the party Yea. I always feel uneasy when they are bullish so I prefer it the other way around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nah warm. Toss any snow right? For ORH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I could be wrong but I'm guessing you like fiction? That is actually a pretty reasonable assessment...the N Stream does help to intensify the low as it departs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 On 3/13/2021 at 12:30 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I’m with Tip on a mild month overall with 40’s and 50’s. It’s not a cold or snowy pattern at all. I’m honestly not sure where Scooters getting that from. Could it snow if timed right? Sure.. but it’s not a high likelihood in this fast flow pac jet pattern. I’ll hope it happens and plan on it not 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is actually a pretty reasonable assessment...the N Stream does help to intensify the low as it departs. It’s just easier to always award him with a bun after the first sentence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 I still see a decent chance of the high pressing down and suppressing this for many I would rather snow but we’ll see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2021 Author Share Posted March 16, 2021 23 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I still see a decent chance of the high pressing down and suppressing this for many I would rather snow but we’ll see I don’t think it will IMO. I guess it depends where you mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 A wind driven, cold, catpaw rain. Great. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t think it will IMO. I guess it depends where you mean. NAM (18z) is quite the crusher for us 6-12z Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 1 minute ago, weathafella said: NAM (18z) is quite the crusher for us 6-12z Friday Yet BOX is saying not much snow because it's hard to accumulate during the day this time of year unless it snows hard... Looks like most comes at night? Also NAM. Has some light snow tonight first I saw that on a model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Yet BOX is saying not much snow because it's hard to accumulate during the day this time of year unless it snows hard... Looks like most comes at night? Also NAM. Has some light snow tonight first I saw that on a model People think its mid March and it can't snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: NAM (18z) is quite the crusher for us 6-12z Friday Sure is 3k as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Just now, weathafella said: NAM (18z) is quite the crusher for us 6-12z Friday I think we're in a good spot. Current NWS map will be too conservative if cold advection is as quick as 12z/18z NAM and 12z Euro depict. Also great timing, it's all overnight so no sun issues. This late game critter could bump up this winter C to C+ for Boston metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: People think its mid March and it can't snow I had a few inches in mid April a few years back.. Also seen it stick in the morning hours in Mid May I think it was 2002 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 This is the type of event no one gets too invested in which makes it fun. No need to shovel-mr sun will have it clear by sundown Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: This is the type of event no one gets too invested in which makes it fun. No need to shovel-mr sun will have it clear by sundown Sunday. They arent real weenies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: This is the type of event no one gets too invested in which makes it fun. No need to shovel-mr sun will have it clear by sundown Sunday. We have a thread now for this. If its over 6 I am snow blowing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 11 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Yet BOX is saying not much snow because it's hard to accumulate during the day this time of year unless it snows hard... Looks like most comes at night? Also NAM. Has some light snow tonight first I saw that on a model Toss em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 40.5 seasonably cool degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 18 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I had a few inches in mid April a few years back.. Also seen it stick in the morning hours in Mid May I think it was 2002 5/18/2002 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/2002/us0518.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 Only made it to 37.5 here today. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 16 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: 40.5 seasonably cool degrees For a high? Can't wait for this cold weather to depart. Next week looks nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 38 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I had a few inches in mid April a few years back.. Also seen it stick in the morning hours in Mid May I think it was 2002 It snowed and stuck here last April 18th . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2021 Author Share Posted March 16, 2021 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: It snowed and stuck here last April 18th . That was the latest true snow I can remember. Special event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2021 Share Posted March 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That was the latest true snow I can remember. Special event. What about May 11 last year? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2021 Author Share Posted March 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What about May 11 last year? I think we had flakes but don’t remember accumulation. Wasn’t that event south anyways? Maybe we coated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2021 Author Share Posted March 16, 2021 18z gfs more suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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