RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Gonna have to watch this sucker. If that ULL maintains integrity longer, it’s going to cause some bigger issues on Friday. It doesn’t take all that long for the cold air to get drawn in with that high pressing down. Also could enhance the fronto. That’s a pretty cold profile as depicted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 Para 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 15, 2021 Author Share Posted March 15, 2021 Wow. That s/w phases in on the backside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 That turns into an all out snowstorm here lol... goes into Friday night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 And NNE gets the shaft again. Not that I want but still...Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 I’m not expecting much out of this storm due to the northern stream phasing in so late and the overall progressive nature of the pattern, but I have to admit the models did get a bit more interesting. The Euro in particular moved the northern stream a couple hundred miles west. If we are looking for a big storm that northern stream needs to drop in about 3-400 miles west of where the euro currently has it. This is very unlikely and is not supported by the pattern, but it needs to be watched. I do believe that the shift on today’s models has drastically increased the ceiling of the storm from a couple of inches of slop to a massive slow moving ocean low. More likely, there will be a late phase which may allow for some precip to back into eastern mass but not more than a couple of inches. I would give the probability of a phased slow moving monster ocean low around 5%, which is quite low but better than what I thought the ceiling was yesterday. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: And NNE gets the shaft again. Not that I want but still... Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk Sounds about right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 Another important thing to note is as things are right now the snow maps are likely inflated as the setup is marginal, so ratios would be less than 10:1. Also some precip would be wasted as rain early in the storm. 3-6+ isn’t happening in my opinion unless we get an earlier phase, which is what I am watching for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 1 minute ago, George001 said: Another important thing to note is as things are right now the snow maps are likely inflated as the setup is marginal, so ratios would be less than 10:1. Also some precip would be wasted as rain early in the storm. 3-6+ isn’t happening in my opinion unless we get an earlier phase, which is what I am watching for. It's a cold snowstorm once it flips. Rain and 40s after midnight in E MA and then snowing hard with mid 20s in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 Just now, dendrite said: It's a cold snowstorm once it flips. Rain and 40s after midnight in E MA and then snowing hard with mid 20s in the afternoon. Definite flash freeze potential. It takes some unique conditions to get a true flash freeze but this would have those conditions present as modeled right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Definite flash freeze potential. It takes some unique conditions to get a true flash freeze but this would have those conditions present as modeled right now. Nah...winters over, time for truck washing and brisket at breweries. Winter..she gone. DIT says so. So this can’t happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 I really don’t want a snow /remote day Friday. Ugh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Nah...winters over, time for truck washing and brisket at breweries. Winter..she gone. DIT says so. So this can’t happen. One more day of winter and then it's speedos and tiki huts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: One more day of winter and then it's speedos and tiki huts. Lol...ya I’m fine with it. In fact, that’s just great with me. Let’s get it warm/mild after whatever this is on Friday, can’t stand the late March/April raw cloudy damp BS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 9 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I really don’t want a snow /remote day Friday. Ugh I hear ya. So just Call in sick. Don’t feel well enough to remote teach. Problem solved. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 26 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Nah...winters over, time for truck washing and brisket at breweries. Winter..she gone. DIT says so. So this can’t happen. They salted all the state roads here yesterday after that massive squall. The town didn’t , but I drove home after watching both daughters soccer games at Manchester HS and hit the middle of the squall in Vernon. It snowed so hard with graupel mixed in that it was just blowing powder snow snakes across the road . There was about .3.to maybe 1/2” on grass and the sun came out and 10 minutes later you’d never know it snowed yet they dropped salt and ruined everyone’s spotless vehicles. Drove me nuts . I’m not on the Thursday night train . Think we’ll see it reverse and shear . But maybe it does hit Could be a stat padder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 26 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I really don’t want a snow /remote day Friday. Ugh Huh? We all have to make sacrifices for snow, no matter when it comes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 Let's not discount the fact this could be a strong noreaster with winds gusting to 45. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: They salted all the state roads here yesterday after that massive squall. The town didn’t , but I drove home after watching both daughters soccer games at Manchester HS and hit the middle of the squall in Vernon. It snowed so hard with graupel mixed in that it was just blowing powder snow snakes across the road . There was about .3.to maybe 1/2” on grass and the sun came out and 10 minutes later you’d never know it snowed yet they dropped salt and ruined everyone’s spotless vehicles. Drove me nuts . I’m not on the Thursday night train . Think we’ll see it reverse and shear . But maybe it does hit Could be a stat padder I hear ya on the roads/vehicle issues. I’m super meticulous with my King Ranch, and can’t stand it full of salt/filth. You should see my truck after a N. Maine sledding trip...filth and salt beyond belief. I can’t get to the car wash fast enough once in town. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: They salted all the state roads here yesterday after that massive squall. The town didn’t , but I drove home after watching both daughters soccer games at Manchester HS and hit the middle of the squall in Vernon. It snowed so hard with graupel mixed in that it was just blowing powder snow snakes across the road . There was about .3.to maybe 1/2” on grass and the sun came out and 10 minutes later you’d never know it snowed yet they dropped salt and ruined everyone’s spotless vehicles. Drove me nuts . I’m not on the Thursday night train . Think we’ll see it reverse and shear . But maybe it does hit Could be a stat padder Lol moral is don't expect your truck to remain salt free in March any year 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 Well Steve, you appear to be right about Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Let's not discount the fact this could be a strong noreaster with winds gusting to 45. Could be heading that way....if we’re gonna do this, let’s do it right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Well Steve, you appear to be right about Friday. Let's do this Jerry, one more for the road 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 Just heard that the CHH raob site has experienced significant, rapid erosion, and will be decommissioned at the end of the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol moral is don't expect your truck to remain salt free in March any year At least half the years it does after about the 10th. Almost made it this year . One random squall FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, radarman said: Just heard that the CHH raob site has experienced significant, rapid erosion, and will be decommissioned at the end of the month. Any plan to relocate the site? Maybe do them at BOX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 Just now, dendrite said: Any plan to relocate the site? Maybe do them at BOX? I heard coastal SEMA, location tbd, 18-24 mos downtime. How bout BOGO and a site at BDL or CEF?? Not saying I don't love the ALB soundings.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, radarman said: I heard coastal SEMA, location tbd, 18-24 mos downtime. How bout BOGO and a site at BDL or CEF?? Not saying I don't love the ALB soundings.... I'd assume they'd want to keep the sites spaced out like you alluded to. Maybe FMH would be a good spot...they're manned at the coast guard air station already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 48 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I hear ya. So just Call in sick. Don’t feel well enough to remote teach. Problem solved. Nah... I have a lab scheduled for some of the kids that day. Really hard to reschedule with the current model I am in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 Man.. Phil onboard too. We are in an official long term drought. Even the wet Dec can’t overcome this #gypsyinfestation#driedupwells#watershortage 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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