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March 2021 Weather Discussion


CoastalWx
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  On 3/29/2021 at 6:24 PM, CoastalWx said:

Might be one of those deals where NW flow aids in cooling 850 and below vs even just east of the spine. Could also tick east some too.

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Yeah for sure.  Champlain Valley cools off very quickly usually in those situations and up to the west slopes.  From what I can see it looks more like a sleet profile east of the Spine.  There's definitely a climatology norm for upslope cooling assist on the western slopes in marginal CAA situation.

It's sort of like a very mini-2011 style with low tracking through SNE/E.NNE at this junction with cold air coming in but the low level cold seems to usher in first down the Champlain Valley.  

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I expect it to "tick" east and get lighter ...both.

It's passing from it's weird correction - which causes over amped results over eastern N/A in general... - time, into it's better performance ( < D5 ) over the next couple .. few cycles.

And in tandem with that ... the models et al have routinely shallowed troughs and made them more progressive - we all know that at this point.  But, if that all ended up 1/3 or 1/2 those quantitative results, and also smeared E to be almost more of an up-slope event, I personally would not be shocked - in which case, a summit or two over performs ( probably. )

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  On 3/29/2021 at 6:59 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

Actually ... I had yesterday's 12z run up ...

I guess that's D3 --> 4 .. different then.   That may actually perform on whole though the usual suspects of over zealous snow total print outs apply

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Agreed with both your posts.  I think a bit weaker and east.  Maybe a NAM/ICON type solution?  Though just saying those two models as more possible than ECM/GFS/GGEM reads weird.

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My road has apparently been closed all day...they’re doing something just down from me. Lisa heard a loud crack and tree fall in that direction this morning. We still have power and internet though. Maybe I’ll check it out later...probably gusting 45-50 right now if I had proper siting. 

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  On 3/29/2021 at 7:30 PM, dendrite said:

My road has apparently been closed all day...they’re doing something just down from me. Lisa heard a loud crack and tree fall in that direction this morning. We still have power and internet though. Maybe I’ll check it out later...probably gusting 45-50 right now if I had proper siting. 

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Our email seems to be out but internet and phone are fine...  not sure if related to winds, but I doubt it

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  On 3/29/2021 at 8:26 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

Boston basically skunked for March for 2 years in a row   0.1" for this year...zero last year

That is a record (albeit a weird one)

 

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We basically have 2-3 winter months now. Usually always Feb. Some years it’s JAN or DeC. but usually not both . Sucks but it’s real 

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  On 3/30/2021 at 12:04 AM, CoastalWx said:

As much as the December storm was fun, I feel like the only thing memorable from this winter will be 10/30 snow.  I can’t shake the stanky funk of the Grinch Storm.  Ruined 12/17 snow. 

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The Grinch storm was horrifying, and I will never forget it. It ruined a white Christmas for me.

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